Warmer and drier conditions persist
WARMER, drier-than-average conditions are likely to persist into September across northern Australia and the southeast mainland, according to the current Bureau of Meteorology outlook.
Daytime temperatures to September are likely to be warmer than average for northern and eastern Australia and nights are likely to be warmer than average for most parts, except the far north.
July is likely to be drier across the eastern half of mainland Australia, with parts of the southeast having a greater than 80 per cent chance of a drier-than-average month.
The El Nino–Southern Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole are forecast to remain neutral during winter and thus have less influence on Australia’s climate.
When broad-scale drivers are neutral, the climate is often influenced by secondary climate drivers or more local effects. Higher-than-average pressures to the south of Australia persist through the season, resulting in weaker westerlies and fewer cold fronts from the Southern Ocean.