Swedes Unfazed By March Of Robots
GARPENBERG, Sweden — From inside the control room carved into the rock nearly a kilometer underground, Mika Persson can see the robots on the march, supposedly coming for his job here at the New Boliden mine. He’s fine with it. Sweden’s generous social welfare system makes this a place not prone to fretting about automation — or much else, for that matter.
Mr. Persson, 35, sits in front of four computer screens, one showing the loader he steers as it lifts freshly blasted rock containing silver, zinc and lead. If he were down in the mine shaft operating the loader manually, he would be inhaling dust and exhaust fumes. Instead, he reclines in an office chair while using a joystick to control the machine.
He knows that robots are evolving by the day. Boliden is testing self- driving vehicles to replace truck drivers. But Mr. Persson assumes people will always be needed to keep the machines running. He has faith in the Swedish economic model and its protections against the torment of joblessness.
“I’m not really worried,” he says. “There are so many jobs in this mine that even if this job disappears, they will have another one. The company will take care of us.”
increasingly anxious about a possible wave of unemployment threatened by automation. As the frightening tale goes, globalization forced people in wealthier lands like North America and Europe to compete with cheaper laborers in Asia and Latin America, sowing joblessness. Now, the robots are finishing off the humans.
But such talk has little currency in Sweden or its neighbors, where unions are powerful, government support is abundant, and trust between employers and employees runs deep. Here, robots are just another way to make companies more efficient. As employers prosper, workers have gained a proportionate slice of the spoils — in contrast to the United States and Britain, where wages have stagnated even while corporate profits have soared.
“In Sweden, if you ask a union leader, ‘Are you afraid of new technology?’ they will answer, ‘No, I’m afraid of old technology,’ ” says the Swedish minister for employment and integration, Ylva Johansson. “The jobs disappear, and then we train people for new jobs. We won’t protect jobs. But we will protect workers.”
Sweden presents the possibility that innovation may be best advanced by maintaining ample cushions against failure.
“A good safety net is good for entrepreneurship,” says Carl Melin, a director at Futurion, a research institution in Stockholm. “If a project doesn’t succeed, you don’t have to go broke.”
In countries like America, where most people depend on employers for health insurance, losing a job can trigger a descent to catastrophic depths. It makes workers reluctant to leave jobs to forge possibly more lucrative careers. It makes unions inclined to protect jobs above all else.
Yet in Sweden and the rest of Scandinavia, governments provide health care along with free education. They pay generous unemployment benefits, while employers finance extensive job training programs.
Swedish Unions generally embrace automation as a competitive advantage that makes jobs more secure. This is especially crucial in mining, a major industry in Sweden. Wages are high, with pay and working conditions set through national contracts negotiated by unions and employers’ associations.
Boliden’s mines have some of the world’s lowest- grade ore, meaning it contains minute quantities of valuable minerals. The only way for the company to ensure profit is to increase efficiency.
It is pressing ahead with plans to deploy self- driving trucks, testing a system with AB Volvo, the Swedish automotive giant, at a mine in the town of Kristineberg. There, Boliden has expanded annual production to close to 600,000 tons from about 350,000 tons three decades ago — while the work force has remained about 200. “If we don’t move forward with the technology and making money, well, then we are out of business,” says Magnus Westerlund, 35, vice chairman of a local union chapter. “You don’t need a degree in math to do the calculation.”
At the mine below the frigid pine forests in Garpenberg, 180 kilometers northwest of Stockholm, Mr. Persson and his co-workers earn about 500,000 krona per year (nearly $60,000). They get five weeks of vacation. When a child arrives, the par- ents have 480 days of family leave to apportion between them. No robot is going to change any of that, Mr. Persson says.
“It’s a Swedish kind of thinking,” says Erik Lundstrom, a 41-year- old father of two who works alongside Mr. Persson. “If you do something for the company, the company gives something back.”
A 2016 World Economic Forum survey of 15 major economies that together have two-thirds of the global work force — about 1.86 billion workers — concluded that the rise of robots and artificial intelligence will destroy 5.1 million jobs by 2020.
But when automated teller machines first landed at bank branches in the late 1960s, some foresaw the extinction of humans working in banks. Instead employment swelled as banks invested the savings into new areas like mortgage lending and insurance. Similar trends may play out again.
Three years ago, Soren Karlsson quit his job on the business side of a Swedish newspaper to develop a robot, named Rosalinda, that scans data about sporting events to yield news stories. “The stories are not as colorful as a human would write,” he says.
Today, Mr. Karlsson has six people working at his offices in Malmo. He expects that Rosalinda will write 100,000 stories this year for various Swedish media outlets, bringing his company revenue of about 5 million krona (about $590,000).
At the Swedish Union of Journalists, no one seems concerned. Rosalinda is mostly adding coverage that did not exist before — stories about high school f loor hockey games, middling soccer matches. “We have always tried to applaud and embrace new developments,” says the union president, Jonas Nordling. “We can’t just moan about what is happening.”
Sweden and its Nordic brethren have proved successful at managing job transitions made necessary by automation. So- called job security councils financed by employers help people who lose jobs find new ones.
One such council in Stockholm, the TRR Trygghetsradet, boasts that 83 percent of participants have found new jobs this year. Two-thirds have landed in positions paying the same as or better than their previous jobs.
But some worry that the system could be overwhelmed. The number of students older than 35 has fallen by nearly one-fifth in recent years at Swedish universities, which have curtailed enrollment of midcareer laborers while focusing on traditional degree programs.
“That’s a kind of warning signal for us,” says Martin Linder, president of Unionen, which represents some 640,000 white- collar workers.
Maintaining Sweden’s social safety net also requires that the public continue to pay tax rates approach- ing 60 percent. Yet as Sweden absorbs large numbers of immigrants from conflict-torn nations, that support may wane. If large numbers wind up depending on government largess, a backlash could result.
“There’s a risk that the social contract could crack,” said Marten Blix of the Research Institute of Industrial Economics in Stockholm.
For now, the social compact endures, and at the Boliden mine, a sense of calm prevails.
The Garpenberg mine has been in operation more or less since 1257. More than a decade ago, Boliden teamed up with Ericsson, the Swedish telecommunications company, to put in wireless internet. That has allowed miners to talk to one another to fix problems as they emerge. Miners now carry tablet computers that allow them to keep tabs on production throughout the mine.
“For us, automation is something good,” says Fredrik Hases, 41, who heads the union chapter representing technicians. “No one feels like they are taking jobs away. It’s about doing more with the people we’ve got.”