Gulf Today

Covid-19 will be ultimately answered

- Leo Campbell,

Current medical thinking has it that, as we eventually managed with Smallpox, we’ll get on top of Covid-19. Maybe not this year, possibly next, only a dim light at the end of this ever-lengthenin­g tunnel. Sadly, many of mankind’s more pervasive enemies don’t give as much cause for optimism.

Here’s another issue to struggle with: the recently released 2020 Global Nutrition Report could not be clearer. Malnutriti­on is now categorica­lly the leading cause of death and ill-health worldwide — and that’s more likely to mean a surfeit of bad food than the absence of anything to eat. Junk food, ultra-processed food, poor diet — however we label it, it’s filling us then killing us, at great cost too.

That wasn’t true even half a century ago. That’s why nutritiona­l diseases might also be called “the diseases of civilisati­on”. Hence the modern paradox of people who are very full, but dangerousl­y under-fed, with compromise­d immune systems that leave them vastly more susceptibl­e to becoming critically ill from, say, coronaviru­s.

It’s increasing­ly clear that COVID-19 alone is not an especially effective killer. It is, though, excellent at revealing our fatal conditions, and accelerati­ng their effect. It mainly works with old age, poor air quality and poor diet. While the first may not be preventabl­e and the second is a complex challenge, the last should be relatively easy to address. Fat chance.

Mal nutrition is defined as any non-communicab­le disease in humans either caused or reversible through a change of diet. Along with starvation, that covers the new headline epidemics of diabetes, heart disease, cancer and stroke, with hundreds of other conditions not far behind.

To pick just a few from the A-list, try anxiety, arthritis and asthma: all are exacerbate­d by poor diet (health.harvard.edu is especially enlighteni­ng on this, as is our own NHS). Talking of the NHS, scratch the surface of the Covid-19 data and the same patern emerges: the more overweight, the less likely to recover.

The link between weight and Covid-19 outcomes is now so widely accepted across the board that even the most perverse commercial or political agenda can’t succeed with the pernicious “alternativ­e facts” treatment that sustained tobacco and sugar lobbies for years. But poor diet is also a powerful ally to countless other agents of premature death, oten not linked to weight at all. Many a large person is healthier than many a thin one.

As for the “old” malnutriti­on, it’s still by no means a thing of the past. It’s being inventivel­y addressed, with insects and “meat replacemen­t” tech to the fore. Most of these new foods bang harder on the environmen­t drum than health, as the truth is that, so far, they’re just not that healthy.

And while “fixing meat” is indeed critical for the environmen­t, it won’t fix poor diet. Plants are just as much to blame for the “new” malnutriti­on, where people are “full but not fed”. Take sugar and over-processed wheat as two obvious contributo­rs. Add in the side-effects of modern consumeris­m — more meals out, much more marketing, less routine exercise — and we have a recipe for an unsustaina­ble species.

The NHS reports that, even puting Covid aside, the cost of treating a malnourish­ed patient is two to three times more than treating one who eats healthily. We can’t afford to keep undoing all the harm we do ourselves. Prevention must be the solution. But how?

The pioneering nutritioni­st Robert Lustig boils his prodigious learning down to two pieces of advice: protect the liver; feed the gut. As the latest reports from China indicate that Covid-19 is particular­ly hard on the gut flora, leading to gastro-intestinal complicati­ons that hinder recovery, that apparently simple advice could not be more critical.

That means seeking foods actively good for your gut health while avoiding sugars and over-processed carbs. Easily said, but next to impossible to bring about. Most people couldn’t make different choices if they tried. On streets and supermarke­t shelves, nutrition has been edged out and tastes manipulate­d away from health. Decades before coronaviru­s, poor diet was already a humanity-wide curse causing millions of people to die early.

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