Gulf Today

Act of riot in Northern Ireland condemnabl­e

- Patrick Cockburn,

On the night of 15 August 1969, a Protestant mob burst into the Catholic part of west Belfast and burned down houses in and around Bombay Street, forcing the Catholic population to flee. The pogrom had a traumatic impact on Catholics in Northern Ireland, delegitimi­sing the authoritie­s for tolerating or assisting the mob, and playing a key role in the creation of the Provisiona­l IRA.

On Wednesday night this week, a Protestant mob from the Shankill Road used cars to smash their way through the massive steel gates in the so-called peace wall dividing Protestant­s from Catholics in west Belfast. “The atack was very dangerous,” says Brian Feeney, a historian and columnist on The Irish News, taking place as it did close to a rebuilt Bombay Street and reawakenin­g old terrors. “If the mob had broken through (the steel gates), they would probably have been met with gunfire.”

Reports on violence in Northern Ireland over the last week — the worst for decades according to the police — fail to understand that rioting in the province is of two types that look the same but have very different impacts. One is skirmishin­g with the police by seting fire to vehicles and hurling stones, petrol botles and fireworks. Dangerous though this is, it has been practised by both communitie­s at different times to advertise their grievances, on the correct presumptio­n that events in Northern Ireland will be ignored by people in mainland Britain and the wider world unless there are dramatic scenes of violence to grab their atention.

But there is another much more dangerous type of rioting in which one community is pited against another and which awakens memories of past sectarian blood-leting. This is what gives that atack launched from the Protestant Shankill Road towards the Catholic Springfiel­d Road in west Belfast this week such deadly potential. “It is so depressing,” said a friend in Belfast with long experience of the conflict. “This is the sort of thing I thought we had let behind us.” Sectarian hostility between the Catholics and Protestant­s never died away, but for 23 years the Good Friday Agreement (GFA) has kept a rough-and-ready balance of power between the two communitie­s that is now close to breaking down. My friend in Belfast, who lamented the return to old animositie­s, puts much of the blame on the first minister and Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) leader Arlene Foster. “She is incredibly incompeten­t,” he says, and she certainly has a record for inept opportunis­m that weakens her own community and exacerbate­s sectarian friction.

Yet there is more to the escalating conflict than the failings of Foster and the DUP. Unionists determined to keep Northern Ireland part of the UK are facing a more general crisis. The origins of this go back to the ending of the Protestant­dominated statelet ater what was politely called “The Troubles” but was really a vicious low-level war lasting 30 years. Demographi­cally the Protestant­s are slowly losing out. They constitute­d two-thirds of the population when the Northern Ireland state was establishe­d a century ago, but are now probably less than half of it — something that will become clearer with the publicatio­n of the latest census figures next year. Sinn Fein may become the largest party in the assembly election in May 2022, and thus able to appoint a first minister.

Such long-term trends might have been absorbed peacefully, but they have been envenomed by the UK voting to leave the EU in 2016, though the province voted solidly Remain. The decision automatica­lly reopened “the Irish question”, which had poisoned British politics for over 200 years, and which the GFA had temporaril­y put to rest. The partition of Ireland once again became a live political issue, to the delight of Sinn Fein. The 300-mile-long border between Northern Ireland and the Republic is now the internatio­nal frontier between the UK and EU. But, since the abolition of a hard border is an essential provision of the GFA, this border runs down the Irish Sea.the DUP briefly held high political cards between 2017 and 2019 because it kept a minority Conservati­ve government in power at Westminste­r. But it overplayed its hand catastroph­ically, put its trust in Boris Johnson’s hand-on-heart promises about rejecting any Irish Sea border, and ended up by accepting the Irish protocol, which was the worst possible option from the unionist point of view.

Graffiti saying “Kill the protocol” began to appear on walls in Protestant districts earlier this year as new regulation­s on trade between mainland Britain and Northern Ireland were applied. These regulation­s may not be particular­ly significan­t in commercial terms, but they looked like one more very visible wedge spliting the union.

More worrying for the DUP, an opinion poll in February showed it to be well behind Sinn Fein and losing support to the hardline Traditiona­l Unionist Voice. Flounderin­g about and looking desperatel­y for a policy, the DUP turned against the protocol, and is seeking vainly to replace it. But at the same time their leaders — since they head the Northern Ireland Executive — are meant to implement it.

Foster and the DUP fell back on a “dead cat” strategy — making a dramatic gesture to divert atention from their missteps. The result is that Foster is demanding that the head of the police service of Northern Ireland, Simon Byrne, should quit because of the failure to prosecute members of Sinn Fein who allegedly broke COVID-19 restrictio­ns by atending the funeral of IRA leader Bobby Storey last June.

In fact, the decision not to prosecute was taken by the director of the Public Prosecutio­n Service because there was no chance of a successful prosecutio­n. The COVID-19 regulation­s “had been amended on nine separate occasions” in a short period of time, and nobody quite knew what they were. Ater protests, this decision is now being reviewed.

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