Higher chance of drought this year

Daily Nation (Barbados) - - World/caribbean -

The Bar­ba­dos-based Caribbean In­sti­tute for Me­te­o­rol­ogy and Hy­drol­ogy says chances of drought and re­cur­rent dry spells in the re­gion have in­creased, ex­cept for The Ba­hamas and Cuba, dur­ing the first three months of this year.

The agency, in its Caribbean Cli­mate

Out­looks re­leased on Tues­day, said that with an El Niño on fore­cast, chances of drought and re­cur­rent dry spells dur­ing the dry sea­son are in­creased; how­ever, re­gion-wide ex­treme drought is un­likely.

“Wet days and wet spells are ex­pected to be­come less fre­quent by March. Ex­treme wet spells in the coastal Guianas, though less likely than in other years, re­main pos­si­ble there, lead­ing to con­cerns of flash flood po­ten­tial,” it said.

Ac­cord­ing to the agency, as of De­cem­ber 1 last year, short-term drought in north­west­ern parts of The Ba­hamas and Cuba, and in south­ern- and east­ern-most His­pan­iola have been recorded, while there have been longterm sit­u­a­tions in Cay­man, south­ern-most His­pan­iola, east­ern Ja­maica and much of the Lee­ward Is­lands.

It said that short­ert­erm drought is evolv­ing in Bar­ba­dos, Cay­man Is­lands, and coastal Suri­name, and is pos­si­ble in many other ar­eas.

There is long-term drought con­cern in Antigua, north­ern Ba­hamas, Cay­man Is­lands, west­ern Cuba, Grenada, east­ern Ja­maica and St Kitts, and may pos­si­bly de­velop in many other ar­eas in the Caribbean Is­lands up to the month of March. (CMC)

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