Higher chance of drought this year
The Barbados-based Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology says chances of drought and recurrent dry spells in the region have increased, except for The Bahamas and Cuba, during the first three months of this year.
The agency, in its Caribbean Climate
Outlooks released on Tuesday, said that with an El Niño on forecast, chances of drought and recurrent dry spells during the dry season are increased; however, region-wide extreme drought is unlikely.
“Wet days and wet spells are expected to become less frequent by March. Extreme wet spells in the coastal Guianas, though less likely than in other years, remain possible there, leading to concerns of flash flood potential,” it said.
According to the agency, as of December 1 last year, short-term drought in northwestern parts of The Bahamas and Cuba, and in southern- and eastern-most Hispaniola have been recorded, while there have been longterm situations in Cayman, southern-most Hispaniola, eastern Jamaica and much of the Leeward Islands.
It said that shorterterm drought is evolving in Barbados, Cayman Islands, and coastal Suriname, and is possible in many other areas.
There is long-term drought concern in Antigua, northern Bahamas, Cayman Islands, western Cuba, Grenada, eastern Jamaica and St Kitts, and may possibly develop in many other areas in the Caribbean Islands up to the month of March. (CMC)