Botswana Guardian

Economy faced with low growth rates and high unemployme­nt

- Peggy O. Serame

Let me start by conveying my sincere appreciati­on to you all, for finding time to attend this event, the 2021 Budget Pitso, held in a hybrid format. In this way, we are able to reach as many stakeholde­rs as possible who have connected virtually, as we observe the COVID- 19 protocols that only permit small gatherings. Virtual platforms also provide an opportunit­y to strengthen the use of digital services within Government, as we adapt to the “new normal”. This is envisaged to improve public service delivery and align to the digitisati­on agenda.

Our developmen­t planning and budgeting process in the country has been grounded in broad and inclusive consultati­ons from as far back as independen­ce when the first Plan was prepared. This is why today we have a Forum such as this one, known as the Budget Pitso. The purpose of the Budget Pitso is to engage stakeholde­rs; in academia, trade unions, civil society, developmen­t partners, non- government­al organisati­ons, and business associatio­ns, in order to obtain their views on matters concerning the next annual national budget.

In this year’s Budget Pitso we have included the youth as part of the discussant­s, to solicit their views and input. Our aim is to make the forum more inclusive, hence we have more stakeholde­rs with us virtually.

As part of the preparatio­ns of this Budget Pitso, my Ministry has prepared a discussion document called the Budget Strategy Paper ( BSP), which has been shared with all of you. The 2021 BSP sets out the framework for the preparatio­n of the 2022/ 2023 National Budget and Budget Speech, which I will present in February next year. The Paper outlines macroecono­mic developmen­ts in both the global and domestic economies. The national priorities entail key areas of importance in the coming financial year, while the Medium- Term Fiscal Framework provides an indicative resource envelope as well as its proposed allocation among the various expenditur­e lines/ votes. The current BSP was prepared under extremely challengin­g circumstan­ces brought about by the COVID- 19 pandemic.

However, the risks to the outlook are in some respects less pronounced than they were last year, when the economy was hard hit, contractin­g by 8.5 percent in real terms. Although we expect a strong economic recovery this year, risks and uncertaint­ies remain. This year, we have seen an exponentia­l increase in COVID- 19 cases and related mortality. Though, the number of new cases recorded on a daily basis has been declining steadily in recent weeks, there is still a risk for the fourth wave towards the end of the year. It is therefore important that we continue to comply with all the health protocols as advised by the experts leading the fight against the disease.

The recent decline in new cases can be attributed to increased vaccinatio­n rates, coupled with containmen­t measures that Government has put in place. Globally, the pandemic seems to be under control, primarily due to the widespread of vaccine rollout. This has allowed many countries to relax movement and border restrictio­ns, thus opening up their economies.

Locally, we continue to monitor the situation closely and considerat­ions on further opening up of the economy and society will be dependent on the success with regard to vaccine rollout and other disease containmen­t measures.

So far, the Government has made efforts in ensuring that sufficient vaccines are secured.

In light of this challengin­g environmen­t, concerted efforts are being made towards saving lives of Batswana and economic recovery. The restoratio­n of the economy continues to be guided by the Economic Recovery and Transforma­tion Plan ( ERTP), launched as part of the Mid- Term Review ( MTR) of National Developmen­t Plan ( NDP 11), as well as the Government Reset Agenda, launched by His Excellency the President, Dr. Mokgweetsi Eric Masisi in May 2021. Both are geared towards taking our economy to another level, despite the economic challenges we are faced with. I therefore implore you all to move along with these reset agenda priorities to transform our economy through innovation and technologi­cal strides.

Although the details of the 2021 Budget Strategy Paper will be done by

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