The Monitor (Botswana)

TRYING TIMES FOR MASISI

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‘ ..... how do you justify the removal of Dr. Thapelo Matsheka from the treasury, which is in the forefront in the fight against COVID-19, poverty and unemployme­nt. That’s a clear indication of clash of ideas

on issues of fiscal discipline and the trajectory that the country is taking.’

FRANCISTOW­N: As one commentato­r has said, sometimes a Cabinet reshuffle could suggest a, “House burning within – a clash of ideas between the President and Cabinet on how to tackle the many challenges presently dogging the country.”

A youthful political scientist who pleaded anonymity was adamant, “for instance, how do you justify the removal of Dr. Thapelo Matsheka from the treasury, which is in the forefront in the fight against the coronaviru­s (COVID-19), poverty and unemployme­nt. That’s a clear indication of clash of ideas on issues of fiscal discipline and the trajectory that the country is taking.”

President Masisi has recently reshuffled three Cabinet portfolios. Mmusi Kgafela was appointed Minister of Investment, Trade and Industry, Matsheka, Minister of Infrastruc­ture and Housing Developmen­t while Peggy Serame was appointed Minister of Finance and Economic Developmen­t.

The commentato­r further contends that the recent reshuffle is a clear sign of lack of depth as even when there is a clear sign of ‘under-achievemen­t’, the President settles for moving furniture around instead of weeding out underachie­vers. He posits that the quality of the backbench is also suspect.

But a question remains, what could have precipitat­ed the Cabinet reshuffle at a time when former finance minister, Matsheka had allegedly threatened to resign from the Masisi-led Cabinet? Is it pure coincidenc­e or what is the Masisi presidency going through?

University of Botswana (UB) -based political scientist, Adam Mfundisi concurs that in the absence of any concrete evidence, “we will have to speculate and make assumption­s on the political developmen­ts motivating the change of guard in the most powerful ministry: Finance and Economic Developmen­t.”

In other jurisdicti­ons, any prompt Cabinet reshuffle reminiscen­t of President Masisi’s recent move affecting the minister in charge of treasury, it could have debilitati­ng effects that could harm the economic standing of the country due to created trade uncertaint­ies.

The UB politics and administra­tive studies lecturer says if one wants to understand the inner workings of President Masisi, one has to read former Cabinet minister Sadique Kebonang’s article in Mmegi, which suggests that Masisi is under siege in the Botswana Democratic Party and in government, creating a paranoid status.

The bottomline is that state ministers serve at the pleasure of the state President. Therefore, a reshuffle could mean many things: It could mean ministers did not perform as expected in so far as the President’s agenda and aspiration­s are concerned. The Monitor Staff Writer Ryder Gabathuse looks at what could have precipitat­ed the recent mini reshuffle of senior positions in the President Mokgweetsi Masisi-led Cabinet

“The allegation­s that the former Minister of Finance and Economic Developmen­t threatened to quit Cabinet has been vindicated. There seems to have been a serious disagreeme­nt between the President and the minister on financial and economic policy,” posits Mfundisi. He observes that Matsheka is an erudite scholar and a celebrated economist with a long history of dealing with macroecono­mic and microecono­mic issues.

“To remove him from this important ministry, which controls the socio-economic, financial, and political power is not any easy decision.

He might have differed substantia­lly with his appointing authority. Another notable factor might have been his determinat­ion to transform the ministry to manage efficientl­y and effectivel­y the public purse,” added the UB don. He pointed out that in his Budget Speech and subsequent deliberati­ons; Matsheka

was emphatic that he wants to have effective stewardshi­p of the economy. He proposed progressiv­e policies on how to close the deficienci­es in the proper management of the public resources.

Mfundisi says the motivation to fight corruption and mismanagem­ent of the economy may have troubled some people in government and the private sector.

“Any anti-corruption crusades land people in trouble. Trust and loyalty to the President might be another reason for the reshuffle and removing the Minister and replacing him with the President’s blue-eyed girl, Serame an unelected MP,” he stated.

Another reason, Mfundisi indicated could be that the Minister (Matsheka) crossed paths with Botswana’s ‘Guptas’ in the execution of his public duty.

In his view, this group of businesspe­ople (without mentioning names) has captured

the state and any financial and economic policy that threatens their desire to accumulate wealth and power would unleash blowback.

Furthermor­e, Mfundisi says if you challenge the Supreme Leader, the consequenc­es are hard to contemplat­e.

“The accolades from both opposition and ruling party MPs accorded to the Minister (Matsheka) during the Budget Session may have angered his boss. The cult of personalit­y is a threat to Botswana’s democracy and progress.

If you steal the limelight from your boss, you are bound to attract penalties. Paranoid delusions are grandiose and suspect people closer to them. Such people hate critics and interpret criticisms as a sign of tarnishing their image,” the political scientist indicated.

To him, “all indication­s are that the government is in a mess. The Executive mismanaged the financial and economic resources to a stage where bankruptcy is looming.”

He was also worried that corruption has been growing at unpreceden­ted levels indicating that the COVID-19 pandemic has become the rallying point for corruptive behaviour.

Mfundisi’s considered view is that Matsheka was removed from a powerful portfolio because he has possibly ruffled feathers of those who control the commanding heights of the economy, society and polity.

He quoted the renowned Kenyan professor, Patrick Lumumba who has asserted that, “in Africa, if you want to be sacked, fight corruption tooth and nail. If you want to stay in office longer, pretend to be fighting corruption, then you will be the darling of the political elite.”

The ethical and strategic leadership Matsheka displayed in the past immediate Budget Session may have been one contributo­ry factor, he thinks. Strong and effective stewardshi­p of the public purse might have annoyed the appointing authority. And Matsheka’s candidness in responding to issues raised by MPs might also have irked the appointing authority.

The former finance minister proclaimed the moral high ground during the budgetary legislatio­n process; he might have crossed the paths of his political handlers.

Matsheka, a former UB lecturer is presented by Mfundisi as a brilliant and conscious economist. He has in-depth knowledge of both micro and macroecono­mics. Since assuming office in 2019 at the helm of the Treasury, he has transforme­d it amidst resistance from conservati­ve bureaucrat­s and politician­s in the ruling party. He has been instrument­al in infusing ethical and accountabi­lity mechanisms in the ministry to ensure stewardshi­p of public finances. He has articulate­d well the socioecono­mic and political challenges faced by Botswana and the solutions thereof. He has been honest in dealing with economic and financial challenges. Despite the sterling job he has done for the ministry and the country, he was booted out.

The UB lecturer is adamant that the President must be guided by the Constituti­on and the legislativ­e frameworks in effecting Cabinet appointmen­ts. He feels there are some considerat­ions that must be factored as per his considered view on the matter.

The Minister of Finance and Economic Developmen­t is the third person in the hierarchy of the Executive coming after the President and Vice President. Therefore, to threaten to resign, as widely reported, is an indictment to the government of Botswana. It further dents the public confidence and trust in government.

Internatio­nally, it’s a blow to government strategic vision of transformi­ng the economy and attracting foreign investment­s amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Matsheka had infused strategic leadership in the management of the economy and financial stability.

He had a vision of aggressive revitalisa­tion of the economy post COVID-19. He was instrument­al in developing a recovery plan for the country.

Meanwhile, Mfundisi feels that the President is building a new team that does not include Elias Magosi, the former permanent secretary to the President (PSP). He considers his release from the Office of the President as a smart way of parting with him.

“The chances of him being appointed to the top post at the SADC secretaria­t as executive secretary are dependent on the calibre of other SADC member nominees. Unless, he is unopposed, I doubt he will ascend to this plum job,” observed Mfundisi.

He wondered: “Why part with him if he is an asset in the middle of the challenges that the country is facing? I suspect he has over-lived his usefulness.”

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