Global Asia

Co-operation Not Competitio­n: The New Multilater­al Developmen­t Banks and the Old

The New Multilater­al Developmen­t Banks and the Old

- By Ramon Pacheco Pardo & Pradumna B. Rana

the AIIB’S and ndb’s focus on infrastruc­ture financing in developing asia is welcome.

A new wave of decentrali­zation in developmen­t financing represente­d by the China-led Asian Infrastruc­ture Investment Bank and New Developmen­t Bank has been widely seen as a threat to the World Bank and Asian Developmen­t Bank. This need not be the case. The new banks’ focus on infrastruc­ture financing in developing Asia is welcome, while the World Bank and others represent continuity and good governance, write Ramon Pacheco Pardo and Pradumna B. Rana. Signs of useful cooperatio­n are already emerging.

Global ECONOMIC governance is in flux. In the case of the internatio­nal developmen­t financing architectu­re, a new wave of decentrali­zation is under way. among the most relevant phenomena is the launch of new multilater­al developmen­t banks with non-traditiona­l donors in the lead: the asian Infrastruc­ture Investment Bank (AIIB) and the new Developmen­t Bank (NDB). Both have one thing in common: China’s centrality. as a result, they are seen as challenger­s to the traditiona­l developmen­t banks — most notably the World Bank and the asian Developmen­t Bank (ADB).

In this essay, we argue that the creation of new institutio­ns is, per se, neither good nor bad. It depends on how the institutio­ns work with each other. I also argue that contrary to popular belief and ongoing criticisms, there are as yet no signs of “unhealthy” competitio­n between the traditiona­l and non-traditiona­l multilater­al developmen­t banks (MDBS). On the contrary, the two new ones are beneficial to the existing developmen­t financing architectu­re in general and to the World Bank and ADB in particular. the reasons are threefold. to begin with, the China-led institutio­ns are necessary due to massive infrastruc­ture financing needs in asia and the obsolete — and seemingly unreformab­le — governance structures of the traditiona­l MDBS. Furthermor­e, the AIIB and NDB have introduced a degree of “healthy” competitio­n to the developmen­t financing architectu­re that should help developing countries by providing more funds. In fact, the existing MDBS have reacted to the challenge by leveraging more funds for infrastruc­ture finance both internally and from the private sector.

More importantl­y, there are great opportunit­ies for functional complement­arity and co-operation between the traditiona­l MDBS and the new, China-led developmen­t banks. Indeed, the World Bank and ADB have signed their own separate co-operation and co-financing agreements with the AIIB and NDB, and co-financed projects are already being implemente­d. Functional areas of potential co-operation include knowledge and informatio­n-sharing; country-, sector- or firmspecif­ic co-operation; and regular consultati­on. therefore, greater complement­arity is expected among institutio­ns to define their relationsh­ip to the benefit of developing countries across asia.

the Case against Co-operation

at first glance, however, many believe the creation of the new MDBS will spur “unhealthy” competitio­n. new institutio­ns lead to the decentrali­zation and fragmentat­ion of global governance. a patchwork of internatio­nal institutio­ns with different characters, members, geographic­al reach and subject matter emerges. Inevitably, these institutio­ns take different approaches and develop their own policy solutions — even if they are tackling the same problem, such as the developmen­t needs of asia. also, these different institutio­ns often compete for the same clients, especially in an internatio­nal system awash with liquidity. this raises the incentive to reduce standards to attract clients, who have opportunit­ies for forum shopping and arbitrage.

Contested multilater­alism is the result of this fragmentat­ion. the Bretton Woods institutio­ns, launched in 1944, dominated both short-term liquidity provision in the case of the IMF and longer-term developmen­t financing in the case of the World Bank. In the case of the latter, a wave of regional and sub-regional developmen­t banks created throughout the decades did not challenge the World Bank’s position at the top. It was the largest provider of developmen­t financing and, crucially, led the way in terms of new thinking and ideas about developmen­t. the new developmen­t banks, however, are dominated by non-traditiona­l donors with their own ideas about developmen­t. Most notably, their focus is on infrastruc-

building rather than the social developmen­t goals favored by the World Bank since the turn of the millennium. For the first time, the World Bank faces competitio­n in the realm of ideas, and not only in terms of pure financial power.

China’s position is particular­ly problemati­c for traditiona­l MDBS. It is no secret that Beijing launched the AIIB and NDB at least partly as a result of displeasur­e with the distributi­on of power in the World Bank and ADB. First, China sought to reform these institutio­ns in order to have a greater say within them, particular­ly the World Bank. When it became clear that this would not work, Beijing simply used part of its savings to establish the two new institutio­ns. Given their origins, it seems reasonable to think that co-operation between new and traditiona­l developmen­t banks will not be forthcomin­g. It would not make sense for China to launch new institutio­ns for them simply to provide economic support to World Bank and ADB projects under existing ideas about developmen­t.

the NEEDS of developing asia

But traditiona­l and non-traditiona­l MDBS are being co-operative, most notably with cofinanced projects. a key reason relates to the needs of developing asia. studies for the ADB show that this region will need us$8.2 trillion in infrastruc­ture investment. neverthele­ss, from the 1980s onwards, the World Bank and ADB have focused on structural reforms and social developmen­t. In contrast, infrastruc­ture developmen­t has received a decreasing percentage of developmen­t funds flowing into the region. By the 2000s, investment in infrastruc­ture accounted for 30 percent of the World Bank’s total, down from 70 percent in the 1960s. the fall was less dramatic in the case of the ADB, but the asian bank also saw a decline. Countries in asia were thus deprived of the necessary investment to build and upgrade their infrastruc­ture for more rapid economic developmen­t.

In order to address this situation, the AIIB and NDB have a clear focus on infrastruc­ture buildture

The AIIB and NDB have a clear focus on infrastruc­ture building. The projects so far approved and launched include pipelines, roads, railways, hydropower plants, dams, ports and other infrastruc­ture schemes. Noticeably, none of the two institutio­ns has any project focusing on structural reforms and social developmen­t.

ing. the projects so far approved and launched include pipelines, roads, railways, hydropower plants, dams, ports and other infrastruc­ture schemes. noticeably, none of the two institutio­ns has any project focusing on structural reforms and social developmen­t. taking a cue from China’s own developmen­t experience, the two institutio­ns focus on infrastruc­ture at the expense of other goals that — from a developing country perspectiv­e — can be seen as interferin­g in domestic affairs. Infrastruc­ture developmen­t, on the other hand, is generally seen as economical­ly beneficial without having any political connotatio­ns other than boosting the sitting government taking credit for the new road or dam.

the World Bank and ADB have also recognized this need. Both have launched joint infrastruc­ture building projects with the AIIB in countries such as azerbaijan and Bangladesh — albeit not with the NDB at the time of this writing. But they have not blindly agreed to AIIB demands. In fact, joint projects have undergone environmen­t and social protection assessment­s, suggesting that the World Bank and ADB are already having a practical influence on the work of the new MDBS. likewise, the latter are having an influence on the attention that the former pay to infrastruc­ture. In October 2014, the World Bank announced the launch of a new Global Infrastruc­ture Facility. the G20 followed suit with its own Global Infrastruc­ture hub, announced in 2016. these announceme­nts came shortly after the BRICS countries -- Brazil, Russia, India, China and south africa -- signed the agreement to launch the NDB in July 2014, and exactly a year after Chinese President Xi Jinping officially announced the creation of the AIIB.

a dose of ‘healthy’ Competitio­n

the China-led MDBS also bring competitio­n to traditiona­l banks and donors. But competitio­n is “healthy” when administer­ed in the right doses, as is the case with the AIIB and NDB. Competitio­n can be beneficial for recipient countries with a pipeline of infrastruc­ture projects awaiting financing. ultimately, developmen­t banks have a clear remit: to support the developmen­t needs of emerging markets and developing countries. If this is the goal, then traditiona­l developmen­t banks ought to be unafraid of their younger counterpar­ts — especially given huge infrastruc­ture needs that cannot be met by existing institutio­ns. Indeed, the boom in infrastruc­ture projects since the AIIB and NDB were launched suggests that “healthy” competitio­n is already benefiting countries in need of building and upgrading their infrastruc­ture.

an added benefit is the streamlini­ng of the operationa­l procedures in existing MDBS. the ADB and, especially, the World Bank have been accused of inefficien­cies derived from their alleged bloated bureaucrac­y, stringent procedures or complacenc­y. Younger institutio­ns do not suffer from these problems. If anything, their thirst to secure clients and claim a seat at the developmen­t table might make them a bit too eager to approve new projects. For existing banks, this brings pressure to become more efficient. there are signs this is happening at the World Bank and ADB. the former, in particular, has launched painful and controvers­ial reforms under president Jim Yong Kim aimed at cutting costs and making more funding available to clients.

“healthy” competitio­n is also beneficial to the new banks themselves. the AIIB and NDB have had to hit the ground running. they cannot show complacenc­y and assume that developing countries will flock to them out of displeasur­e with the World Bank — and ADB — or out of shared values with China and other emerging economies. Government­s in developing countries want financing to support developmen­t and

are ultimately accountabl­e to their own population — not to Beijing. this means that it is becoming increasing­ly difficult for them to disregard their own domestic population’s legitimate concerns about the social and environmen­tal impact of some projects. the fact that the new developmen­t banks are collaborat­ing with their traditiona­l counterpar­ts and for the most part following establishe­d internatio­nal practices and standards related to debt management, procuremen­t integrity and due diligence shows that “healthy” competitio­n also affects them.

opportunit­ies for real Co-operation

Complement­arity and functional co-operation between traditiona­l and non-traditiona­l developmen­t banks is really a no-brainer. the decentrali­zation and fragmentat­ion of global governance — at least in this area — is to a large extent driven by functional differenti­ation due to the increas- ing complexity of policy domains. In other words, new institutio­ns are being created because developmen­t needs are growing ever more complex. It is necessary to attend to structural reforms and social developmen­t needs, and the World Bank and ADB have decades of experience in this. But building hard infrastruc­ture cannot be considered a secondary task or, worse, neglected. the AIIB and NDB have thus far clearly focused on bridging this gap.

table 1 above shows six concrete areas of potential functional co-operation between new and traditiona­l developmen­t banks. they are based on Mous that they have already signed with each other or with other partners such as the european Investment Bank or the european Bank for Reconstruc­tion and Developmen­t. these go beyond vague statements about the need to co-operate that government­s and the institutio­ns often make.

table 1 suggests that potential functional cooperatio­n is actually more likely between the World Bank and NDB, and between the ADB, on one hand, and the AIIB and NDB, on the other. the agreements include five of the six areas covered in the earlier World Bank-adb agreement. however, co-operation has hitherto been strongest between the AIIB and the World Bank. this is largely because project co-financing has so far spurred the greatest co-operation. as the AIIB and NDB become more experience­d and since they have common countries of co-operation in asia together with the World Bank and AIIB, functional co-operation in the other five areas will eventually emerge. Furthermor­e, the AIIB has developed countries such as south Korea, singapore, Germany and australia among its members. these countries are also part of the World Bank, leading them to push for co-operation with the AIIB. Plus, it seems that Beijing is prioritizi­ng the World Bank precisely because of its broader membership — which has boosted the soft power and responsibl­e stakeholde­r image of the Xi Jinping government.

Of the other areas of potential co-operation between new and traditiona­l MDBS, collaborat­ion in knowledge and informatio­n sharing is of crucial importance and is already happening. From an AIIB and NDB perspectiv­e, their staffs will build capacity as they learn from their counterpar­ts in traditiona­l banks. as for the World Bank and ADB, collaborat­ion in this area will help to allay concerns about the transparen­cy, governance and accountabi­lity of the new banks. Knowledge and informatio­n sharing will also result in better informatio­n about the needs and changes in client countries, as all institutio­ns gather informatio­n on the ground and elsewhere.

Co-operation should also result from eventual OECD Developmen­t assistance Committee (DAC) membership. the World Bank belongs to this donor co-ordination framework, which results in the adoption of existing internatio­nal standards and best practices. the AIIB and NDB

The negative perception of the emerging developmen­t bank architectu­re is wrong, at least in the case of Asia and with regard to the China-led institutio­ns. For one, the financing needs of developing Asia open up enough room for a host of institutio­ns to co-exist. Furthermor­e, new and traditiona­l MDBS are involved in a process of “healthy” competitio­n beneficial to both.

are likely to come under pressure to adopt these standards and eventually join DAC. the former is to an extent already happening, as mentioned above. the latter might be more problemati­c due to accusation­s of the OECD’S pro-western bias. Only two of its members come from elsewhere — south Korea and Japan. however, a compromise could be found in the AIIB and NDB becoming observers at DAC meetings, like the IMF, undp, ADB and other regional developmen­t banks. this would be in the interests of both traditiona­l donors represente­d in DAC and new developmen­t banks seeking legitimacy.

partners, Not adversarie­s?

the decentrali­zation of global financial governance in general and the MDB network in particular has been portrayed as a threat to traditiona­l institutio­ns. Fragmentat­ion, the argument goes, results in forum-shopping and arbitrage. this leads to contested multilater­alism, with existing institutio­ns having to engage in competitio­n with their younger counterpar­ts. Displeasur­e with traditiona­l developmen­t banks accelerate­s this process, since it is the main reason why these new counterpar­ts have been launched.

I argue that this negative perception of the emerging developmen­t bank architectu­re is wrong, at least in the case of asia and with regard to the China-led institutio­ns. For one, the financing needs of developing asia open up enough room for a host of institutio­ns to co-exist. Furthermor­e, new and traditiona­l MDBS are involved in a process of “healthy” competitio­n beneficial to both. there is also plenty of opportunit­ies for functional co-operation in a range of areas between the two sets of institutio­ns. the AIIB, in particular, has taken advantage of this and is co-financing projects with the World Bank and ADB. this proves that new and existing banks can have a friendly relationsh­ip based on co-operation and mutual support. unlike in trade architectu­re, where regional trading agreements could undermine the centrality of the World trade Organizati­on’s rules, and financial architectu­re, where regional safety nets could compete with the IMF, in the developmen­t architectu­re the World Bank and the ADB do not face a threat from the new institutio­ns.

Going forward, the traditiona­l and non-traditiona­l MDBS should, as in the past, seek to further enhance the beneficial impacts of “healthy” competitio­n and functional co-operation among themselves while minimizing the costs of “unhealthy” competitio­n or a race to the bottom. Global oversight bodies such as the G-20 and the OECD could help in promoting such competitio­n within a collaborat­ive framework. In 2011, the G-20 issued a number of principles for co-operation between the IMF and regional financing arrangemen­ts. similar principles for co-operation between traditiona­l and non-traditiona­l MDBS could also be useful. ramon pacheco pardo is senior lecturer in internatio­nal relations, department of European and internatio­nal studies, King’s College london and Kf-vub Korea Chair, institute for European studies, Vrije universite­it brussels.

pradumna b. rana is associate professor and Coordinato­r of the internatio­nal political Economy programme at the Centre for Multilater­alism studies of the s. rajaratnam school of internatio­nal studies, and served for 25 years at the asian developmen­t bank.

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