Global Asia

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China’s Rise has long been represente­d as a threat. after the us-china rapprochem­ent in the 1970s, the Maoist ideologica­l threat gradually dwindled until it was supplanted by a transfigur­ed “China threat” thesis, which gained strength after the 1995-1996 Taiwan strait crisis. With China’s rapid economic developmen­t and military modernizat­ion, the adversaria­l logic started to revolve around economic and military threat discourses. Recently, however, the notion of China as an ideologica­l threat has been resurrecte­d. The notion of “China’s illiberal challenge” is returning with a vengeance, and with President Xi Jinping in power, beijing is promoting authoritar­ianism and leading a third reverse wave of de-democratiz­ation.1 In other words, with China’s rise, authoritar­ianism is going global and challengin­g the liberal world order.2 It is a nicely plotted tragic narrative, but does it resonate with reality?

the ideologica­l China ‘threat’

The myth of the so-called beijing consensus as not only an economic model but also a political one ready for internatio­nal export continues to thrive. “In terms of political values,” as Joseph Nye put it more than 10 years ago, the beijing consensus “has become more popular than the previously dominant ‘Washington consensus.’ ” scholars

3 argue that the “disseminat­ion of the beijing consensus bestows upon ‘Chinese-style socialism’ greater internatio­nal recognitio­n, not only as an economic developmen­t model but also as a new model of a political system and social structure.”

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Others are more skeptical about there being a Chinese model in the first place; about China obstructin­g the promotion of democracy by the us and eu; about the diffusion of Chinese norms; about China’s ideologica­l commitment to create a new “authoritar­ian internatio­nal;” and, finally, about the effectiven­ess of China’s soft power.

Yet, after the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th National Congress in October last year, and with us President Donald Trump supposedly surrenderi­ng us global leadership, the message of Chinese authoritar­ian influence reverberat­es with ever greater force, giving rise to expectatio­ns of increasing Chinese political assertiven­ess and scenarios of a post-american order. Four factors account for the understand­ing of China as an intentiona­l authoritar­ian promoter.

First, China’s official “discursive power” strategy, which arguably aims “to create a new political model, rather than just follow the establishe­d order” — as expressed in China’s calls for a new type of internatio­nal relations and a community of shared destiny — demonstrat­es China’s internatio­nal political intentions.5

second, the strategic political shift from Deng Xiaoping’s dictum of “keeping a low profile” to Xi Jinping’s emphasis on “striving for achievemen­t” involves a foreign policy move from self-restraint toward a more active pursuit of leadership.6

Third, appeals to political, cultural and civilizati­onal diversity coupled with a strict interpreta­tion of the Westphalia­n norms of sovereignt­y and non-interferen­ce indicate, on one hand, a foreign policy that does not seek to impose or spread its political model to others, yet, on the other, serve as “counter-norms” to liberal democracy.

Fourth, if popular narratives about Trump surrenderi­ng us global leadership in the promotion of democracy are true, then it leaves the center stage open for China. This begs the question: Is China an authoritar­ian norm entreprene­ur?

promoting authoritar­ianism

a cursory glance at the mainstream literature in the field shows that it will not be easy for Chinese actors to become authoritar­ian norm entreprene­urs. In terms of norm diffusion, three stages are identified: norm emergence, norm acceptance/norm cascade, and norm internaliz­ation.7

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