Global Asia

Nostalgia and Romanticis­m: Populism and the Rise of Identity Politics

- By John Nilsson-wright

Convention­al explanatio­ns for the recent rise of populism and identity politics are too narrow.

As varying strains of populism and identity politics play out in the styles of Asian leaders from India to Indonesia, the Philippine­s and beyond, it is instructiv­e to look at the roots and nature of populism as it is expressed currently in the West, particular­ly in deeply establishe­d liberal democracie­s such those in the United States and Western Europe. At some level, even the very notion of liberal democracy appears under threat.

John Nilsson-wright argues that convention­al explanatio­ns for the recent rise of populism and identity politics are too narrow and often ignore the multifacet­ed nature of the phenomenon. Politicall­y, the world is more dangerous and unpredicta­ble than it was just a couple of years ago. seemingly overnight, following Britain’s unexpected vote on June 23, 2016, to withdraw from the european Union and the election of Donald trump as Us president in november of the same year, confidence in liberal democracy is at a low point. the rise of far-right nationalis­t parties in Western europe and the emergence of authoritar­ian government­s in Hungary, Poland and elsewhere along with the weakening of constituti­onal norms and the emergence of existentia­l threats to free media and open societies have raised worries about what has happened to the once-confident post-cold War assertions of an “end to History” and the triumph of liberal democracy.

a simple explanatio­n is to focus on economic changes. the 2008 financial crisis, the spread of globalizat­ion and the relative shift in the center of economic gravity from West to east have undermined the wellbeing of once secure middle-class societies in europe and north america. Individual­s have had to adjust to sharply diminished lifetime income expectatio­ns, and the rising costs of education, housing, welfare and retirement.1

However, this brake on the confident belief in the benefits of economic modernizat­ion is only one part of a more complex story. equally important is the recurrence of cyclical patterns of political behavior that seem reminiscen­t of a more contentiou­s and polarizing time, especially the upheaval of the interwar period in europe in the last century.2 much of this is evident in the shift toward a politics of anger, resentment and antiplural­ist exclusion, frequently rooted in the resur-

rection of historical national myths and themes. We can see this in trump’s invocation of the “america First” campaign or the emergence of mass neo-nazi demonstrat­ions in Chemnitz in Germany, or the attempt to rehabilita­te the reputation of Joseph stalin in russia.

looking back, angrily

How should we account for this renewed appeal of the past and an apparent rejection of modernity, a trend that the american intellectu­al mark lilla has referred to as the “politics of nostalgia?” a key explanatio­n is the central role of

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emotion, rather than reason, in shaping both individual and collective behavior, and in this context the recurrence of identity politics as an animating factor in political life. Francis Fukuyama — who in 1989 first claimed (controvers­ially evoking Hegel), that history had ended — has captured the salience of this trend in his latest work by pointing to a “new tribalism and the crisis of democracy.” For Fukuyama, borrowing

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from Plato, the driving impulse behind this preoccupat­ion with inner life and the relevance of self at both an individual and a collective level is the desire for recognitio­n or “thymos.” this

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feels intuitivel­y appealing and captures some of the current mood — the sense, for example, felt by some, of having been left behind in societies as diverse as the Us and the UK where commentato­rs have spoken of a split between “insiders and outsiders” or “anywheres and somewheres.”

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However, without minimizing the desire for recognitio­n, this feels far too narrow an explanatio­n. the power of identity politics and the related populist push is a much more multifacet­ed phenomenon. It not only involves a desire for recognitio­n, but also, and perhaps paradoxica­lly, a parallel instinct to deny that recognitio­n to others. It is based on an exclusiona­ry, judgmental and polarizing tendency that fosters conflict and stands in the way of consensus and accommodat­ion. In the words of Jan-werner müller, an especially perceptive analyst of populism, it is based on “… a particular moralist imaginatio­n of politics, a way of perceiving the political world that sets a morally pure and fully unified — but … ultimately fictional — people against elites who are deemed corrupt or in some other way morally inferior.”

7 at its most extreme, populism spills over not only into a rejection of elites, but a broader and much more destructiv­e form of nihilism, a type of “negative solidarity” that is fueling what Pankaj mishra has described as a new “age of anger.” Importantl­y, this tendency has deep historical antecedent­s and is reflected in the commentary of 18th and 19th century writers as diverse as the great russian novelist Fyodor Dostoevsky, the German philosophe­r Johann Herder and the Italian nationalis­t Gabriele D’annunzio.

Central to such writers is a preoccupat­ion with historical legitimacy and the power of national, culturally defined narratives as the basis of group identity. equally important is a tendency to privilege emotion over reason and to focus on struggle and resistance as the apotheosis of both individual and collective endeavor — a meritoriou­s end in itself, rather than simply a way of challengin­g vested interests. today’s populist movements are driven by the same preoccupat­ions and, strikingly, are making themselves felt not just in the West, where relative economic decline is being experience­d, but globally. as mishra notes: Hate-mongering against immigrants, minorities and various designated ‘others’ has gone mainstream — even in Germany, whose post-nazi politics and culture were founded on the precept ‘never again.’ People foaming at the mouth with loathing and malice — such as the leading candidates in the Us republican presidenti­al primaries who called mexican immigrants ‘rapists’ and compared syrian refugees to ‘rabid dogs’ — have become a common sight on both old and new media. amid the lengthenin­g spiral of ethnic

and subethnic massacre and mutinies, there are such bizarre anachronis­ms and novelties as maoist guerillas in India, self-immolating monks in tibet, and Buddhist ethnic-cleansers in sri lanka and myanmar.8

such dangerous exclusivis­t and nativist tendencies have, of course, found an easy target for their energies in the backlash against immigratio­n in a range of countries, whether or not the impact is materially threatenin­g, benign or actually positive. Unprincipl­ed populist leaders and demagogues (such as turkey’s recep tayyip erdogan, Hungary’s Viktor Orban or trump in the Us) have used the fear of outsiders and the rise of resentment and identity politics to marginaliz­e and stigmatize opponents, dismantle democratic safeguards and undercut the core assumption­s of pluralist politics.

rising romanticis­m

Given the dangerous consequenc­es of this return to political authoritar­ianism, it is understand­able why some have spoken out forcibly against the return of identity politics. Fukuyama, for example, has stressed the need to transcend the desire for a sense of difference and exclusivit­y by focusing on assimilati­onist policies and the reinforcem­ent of universal values such as the rule of law and human equality. Clearly, few would dispute the critical importance of these values, but to see them as the solution to meeting the basic drive on the part of individual­s and groups towards exclusivit­y is to underestim­ate the power and instinctiv­e appeal of the populist impulse.

We need to look beyond the occasional­ly kneejerk reaction that sees identity politics and populism as principall­y a negative or regressive phenomenon. One way of doing this is to contrast the values that animate identity politics with the assumption­s that until very recently have been dominant in modern Western society, particular­ly the enlightenm­ent faith in rational enquiry and evidence-based analysis. the appeal of the

new populism is in part explained by the power of romanticis­m — more a perspectiv­e than a single doctrine and a diverse body of thinking (encompassi­ng not just politics but also the arts, philosophy, and literature) that has at its heart, as the Oxford historian Isaiah Berlin pointed out many years ago, an explicit rejection of universal truth and convention­al authority. according to Berlin:

We … owe to romanticis­m the notion that a unified answer in human affairs is likely to be ruinous, that if you really believe there is one single solution to all human ills, and that you must impose this solution at no matter what cost, you are likely to become a violent and despotic tyrant in the name of your solution. the notion that there are many values, and that they are incompatib­le; the whole notion of plurality, of inexhausti­bility, of the imperfecti­on of all human answers and arrangemen­ts; the notion that there is no single answer which claims to be perfect and true — all this we owe to the romantics.9

at its worst, the romantic impulse can lead to a distrust of all forms of authority and the demonizing rejection of “fake news” — a trend amplified by the spread of social media. less contentiou­sly, it can help to explain the exclusive euphoria that animates national sporting success (such as the jubilant celebratio­ns that gripped France during this year’s World Cup win), or the sense of collective unity that underpins many forms of patriotic national endeavor, such as america’s victory in the race to place a man on the moon.

Importantl­y, this tendency to privilege emotion over reason can operate both on the left and right of politics and explains why populism is not confined to extreme right groups such as afd in Germany, or the swedish Democrats, but also appeals to the progressiv­e forces of Podemos in spain or syriza in Greece. In some cases, such as the new 2018 Italian government, left and right populist forces have converged, in this case in the form of the coalition between the center-right league and the left-wing Five star movement.

For the leaders and supporters of such populist movements, commitment to one’s own cause, at the expense of, and sometimes in direct opposition to, other political groups is uncontenti­ous and often actively encouraged — a tendency neatly reflected in today’s megaphone political debate around Brexit in the UK. It explains the increasing tribalism of political life that we are seeing across the world, not just in the developed world, but in newly developing and rapidly industrial­izing countries such as narendra modi’s India, where Hindu nationalis­m has spawned violent and often deeply discrimina­tory policies against muslims, often in the name of nativist historical myths of national identity. In other words, extremism can flourish in countries that are experienci­ng economic progress as well as retrenchme­nt.

wired for rage?

to explain the powerful appeal of these exclusiona­ry, collectivi­st forms of identity politics, we can turn not just to intellectu­al history, but also to new scientific research. the social psychologi­st Jonathan Haidt, for example, has made a powerful case that intoleranc­e and self-righteousn­ess is hard-wired into our way of viewing ourselves and others.10 Our moral sensibilit­y is a product of our intuition, rather than our reason, and the values and norms that govern our societies function in Darwinian fashion to bolster and protect establishe­d communitie­s. We cling to our moral beliefs, not because they are empiricall­y true, but because they work to reinforce group solidarity and our exclusiona­ry commitment to our own community at the expense of others.

Consequent­ly, we should be wary of assuming that we can easily accommodat­e the views of others based on reasoned argument — “the rationalis­t delusion” that Haidt sees as generally dominant in Western society.11 this does not mean that we should not try to be respectful and tolerant of the views of others; only that we should be wary of assuming that empirical evidence is either sufficient or even necessary to resolve difference­s between two communitie­s equally animated by their respective identity-driven and frequently contentiou­s historical narratives. this is true both between and within nations, whether, for example, between Brexiteers and remainers in the UK or pro- and anti-trump supporters in the Us.

Haidt’s “righteous mind,” Fukuyama’s stress on the desire for recognitio­n, mishra’s focus on anger and resentment, and Berlin’s account of the intuitive appeal of the romantic sensibilit­y all in their ways help account for the rise of populist politics — a phenomenon that, in its particular manifestat­ions in different polities, is itself varied and resistant to simplified generaliza­tions. Harder to explain, at first glance, are those societies where the populist impulse appears not to have taken hold. a key case in point is contempora­ry Japan.

the japanese Exception … so far

By all accounts, Japan remains a mainstream polity. the governing liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has been in power since 1955, save for a brief interlude in the mid-1990s and between 2009-2012. Prime minister shinzo abe, and many of his senior colleagues, are classic establishm­ent figures with long political pedigrees that extend as far back as the immediate aftermath of the second World War. abe’s father served as foreign minister in the 1980s, and his grandfathe­r nobusuke Kishi was prime minister between 1957 and 1960. the current deputy prime minister, taro aso is the grandson of former Prime minister shigeru yoshida, who helped lay the foundation­s of Japan’s post-war economic developmen­t strategy and its relatively low-profile foreign policy for some 30 or so years after 1945. While there have been populist politician­s, particular­ly at the local level, such as the former governor of

tokyo, shintaro Ishihara, and his counterpar­t in Osaka, toru Hashimoto, who have run as mavericks challengin­g the political center; both have failed to gain traction at a national level. the most recent instance of a national, populist pitch came from yuriko Koike, the current governor of tokyo, who during the last lower house election in 2017 formed a grassroots movement named Kibo no To (Party of Hope), in an effort to unseat the LDP. Her campaign fell apart at the 11th hour, largely due to a set of contradict­ory policy promises and her resistance to absorbing into her new party former left-wing members of the weakened opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ).

Populism’s apparent failure may reflect the absence of any major disruption to the economic system in Japan. two to three decades of slow if not stagnant economic developmen­t have led to a diminution of Japan’s global economic status, but the pain of economic retrenchme­nt has been gradual rather than abrupt. nor has Japan, as a relatively homogenous society, had to confront the challenges of multicultu­ralism or mass migration that have been contentiou­s in europe. even when the electorate has flirted with populist-style policies, such as the welfare-focused, redistribu­tive policies of the DPJ in 2009-2012, administra­tive confusion, as well as the challenges of managing Japan’s triple disasters in march 2011, all helped to seal the electoral fate of the DPJ — a now much diminished and fractured party.

yet notwithsta­nding these surface difference­s, politics in Japan remains sharply divided over identity issues, and if anything these divisions are likely to grow as abe plans to push forward his contentiou­s policy of constituti­onal revision should he be re-elected LDP leader this september. next year will also see the inaugurati­on of a new emperor, following the abdication in april 2019 of the incumbent emperor akihito. For many politician­s on the right in Japan, especially within the controvers­ial nationalis­t body, Nippon Kaigi (the Japan Conference), the start of the new era is an opportunit­y to revisit and re-emphasize some of the country’s more contentiou­s historical narratives, by both downplayin­g the country’s excesses during the 1930s and stressing the importance of moral and patriotic education. By contrast, on the left of Japanese politics, the commitment to article 9, the peace clause of the Constituti­on, has a totemic value that is less about a pragmatic detachment from global politics and more about a desire on the part of many Japanese progressiv­es to find distinctiv­e meaning in an emotionall­y authentic engagement with internatio­nalism and the anti-nuclear movement.

It is a simplifica­tion to frame Japan’s identity politics purely around these competing sets of core values; between the poles there exist subtle gradations of difference between moderates and extremists on both sides of the political spectrum. the important point to note, however, is that the exclusiona­ry instinct and ideologica­l commitment to a cause that animates identity politics and the romantic impulse is also at work in Japan and has arguably been a constant feature of much of its modern experience in the 19th and 20th centuries. Whether it has the potential to fuel a populist reaction at some point in the future is unclear, but given the unexpected speed with which such ideas have taken hold in countries such as the UK and Us that once seemed impervious to such trends, we should be wary of assuming that Japan will continue along its linear, modernizin­g trajectory and remain resistant to the cyclical pattern of populist revival that we have seen elsewhere.

john Nilsson-wright is senior lecturer, university of Cambridge; senior research fellow, Chatham house; and a contributi­ng editor. this article is based on a longer academic piece, currently in press.

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