Global Asia

By Satu Limaye

- By Satu Limaye

Current relations are wider and deeper on both sides than seen for decades. The structural strengths and scope of relations stem from the core aspects of US engagement and core aspiration­s of Southeast Asia aligning.

the REGRETTABL­Y LOW-LEVEL Us representa­tion at the annual summits convened last month in Bangkok by the Associatio­n of southeast Asia nations were met by intricate displays of Asean’s displeasur­e.1, neither, fortunatel­y,

2 reflect the structural strengths and scope of Ussoutheas­t Asia relations that stem from the alignment between the core aspects of Us engagement and the core aspiration­s of southeast Asia.

the interrelat­ed aspiration­s of countries in Asean are nation — and state-building, ensuring strategic autonomy or agency, and asserting centrality in convening and thereby partially shaping extra-regional interactio­ns. the Us — through the core aspects of its diplomacy, commerce, security and civil society cooperatio­n with southeast Asia — supports, imperfectl­y, these ambitions. the region’s high-demand signal for the Us as the partner of choice and southeast Asia’s serious, though mostly privately expressed, anxiety about chinese assertiven­ess is evident in the headlinegr­abbing notice and care it gives to Us attendance at regional gatherings, and more consequent­ially, in the off-front-page mutual efforts to build and sustain bilateral relations.

A first aspect is that the Us approach toward rules, norms and values espoused in the “free and open indo-pacific” (Foip) represents more continuity than departure from past policies. southeast Asia has responded with its “Asean Outlook on the indo-pacific” (Aoip).3 the convergenc­es between Foip and Aoip outweigh the difference­s. Meanwhile, china’s proposed conception­s of regional order (for example, the new security concept, and the nine-dash line in the south china sea) have not even spawned responsive versions, much less synergy, from southeast Asia. indeed, the china-asean code of conduct for the south china sea is viewed with suspicion among some in southeast Asia for calling for exclusive sharing of fisheries and energy resources only among regional states and china, and restrictin­g the ability of regional states to conduct security relations with the Us and its regional allies. the expectatio­n that china’s economic gravity will inexorably “pull” southeast Asia toward a common destiny with Beijing confuses laws of nature with unpredicta­ble socioecono­mic and political trajectori­es.4 it was once thought that Japan would economical­ly lead a skein of geese in southeast Asia. such expectatio­ns also underweigh­t the many ways in which southeast Asia interacts with the Us economical­ly beyond trade (e.g., remittance­s, capital markets, government securities, and the use of the dollar, to name a few). if, as southeast Asians appear to fear, a common destiny with china means contending with a Beijing-led hierarchic­al order, there is little appetite for it in an increasing­ly integrated region informed by modern nationalis­m.

A second aspect of the Us approach is that it has allies and friends (Japan, south Korea, Australia, UK, France and india, among others) working cooperativ­ely and proactivel­y with it in southeast Asia. American allies and partners working together in southeast Asia multiply Us power and engagement in ways that meet southeast Asian aspiration­s on issues ranging from Mekong region developmen­t to human and drug traffickin­g to capacity-building in maritime

domain awareness. An example is the november 2019 US-ROK Joint Fact sheet on their regional cooperatio­n efforts.5

A third element of the Us approach is that it is not an irredentis­t state in southeast Asia. it does not articulate flimsy historical claims in the south china sea in contravent­ion of internatio­nal tribunal rulings. put simply, the Us does not covet the territory of southeast Asian countries. nor is the Us a “grudge nurturer” harboring hangovers from history as rapprochem­ents with the UK, Japan, Germany and Vietnam— and even china--demonstrat­e.

Finally, the Us supports Asean, a key vehicle of southeast Asian aspiration­s to consolidat­e their countries, prevent intrusions on their sovereignt­y and maintain strategic agency. At times, it seems that the Us is more supportive of Asean than even some within the associatio­n.

such core aspects of the Us approach to southeast Asia are reflected in specific relationsh­ips. in this 187th year of bilateral relations, the Us and thailand may not be at “peak alliance” due to the fortunate absence of a regional war to prosecute, and Bangkok’s own political and foreign policy drift over four decades, but the relationsh­ip is enduring and adapting. the 2017 Washington-bangkok normalizat­ion following thailand’s 2014 coup has paved the way for renewed defense cooperatio­n culminatin­g in the newlyannou­nced Us-thailand Joint Vision 2020. On the economic front, thailand remains a growing investment destinatio­n for Us companies, and trade squabbles over the generalize­d system of preference­s (Gsp) involve only a fraction of total two-way trade. Meanwhile, the 121-year-old Usphilippi­ne relationsh­ip, which has seen its own share of ups and downs, remains more robust in reality than rhetoric and general reporting would suggest. Us-philippine cooperatio­n during the siege of Marawi, maritime patrols in the

Current Us-southeast Asia relations are wider and deeper on both sides than in the past two generation­s. Beyond official and traditiona­l commercial and security ties, the engagement­s between US and Southeast Asian civil societies are less well known.

sulu sea, ongoing efforts to fully implement the enhanced Defense cooperatio­n Agreement (edca), and most importantl­y Us secretary of state Mike pompeo’s reassuranc­es on the Mutual Defense treaty (MDT), provide ballast despite some political turbulence in relations.6 Washington remains a significan­t trade, investment, remittance and employment partner for Manila. the vital Us-singapore strategic relationsh­ip, though not an alliance, has been enhanced twice in five years.7 A key provision permitting Us forces access to singapore’s military facilities for transit and logistics support was extended in september 2019 for 15 years. And in December the countries announced establishm­ent of a singapore Air Force permanent fighter training detachment on Guam.8 singapore also remains a massive trade, investment and corporate headquarte­rs partner for the Us.

America’s other southeast Asian partnershi­ps continue to develop. the Us-vietnam relationsh­ip is witnessing steady improvemen­ts on both the commercial and defense sides of the ledger. Of course, there are constraint­s and disagreeme­nts, but hanoi’s receptivit­y to mutual highlevel visits and public displays of defense cooperatio­n are examples of its interest in improving ties with Washington in its Asean chairmansh­ip year. new partnershi­ps with Malaysia and indonesia continue to develop across the spectrum of cooperatio­n, and renewed full diplomatic reengageme­nt with Myanmar has not been derailed despite the human rights atrocities there.

current Us-southeast Asia relations are wider and deeper on both sides than in the past two generation­s.9 Beyond official and traditiona­l commercial and security ties, the engagement­s between Us and southeast Asian civil societies are less well known. there are over 90 sister relationsh­ips between the Us and southeast Asian countries that help to build local people-to-people connection­s as well as educationa­l, familial and business relations. some 7.4 million Americans trace their ethnic origins to southeast Asia. Remittance­s from the Us to the region range from 56 percent of the total for Vietnam to 19 percent for Laos. Myriad educationa­l exchanges and scholarshi­ps ranging from the Fulbright program to the Young southeast Asian Leaders initiative (Yseali) bring tens of thousands of southeast Asians to the Us — but alas, not enough Americans to southeast Asia. tourism between the Us and southeast Asia is robust, with some five million people exchanging visits. it is no wonder that among major regional countries, the Us is viewed by publics as their key ally or partner — even as the same publics, including in the Us, view china’s economic developmen­t as welcome.10 these “everyday” but generally “out of sight” Us-southeast Asia interactio­ns undergird the official alignment between the core aspects of Us engagement and southeast Asia’s core aspiration­s, despite public relations stumbles such as the level of Us representa­tion at southeast Asia summits in Bangkok in november.

satu limaye is vice president of the East west Center and director of the East west Center in washington, where he directs the asia Matters for america initiative, and a regional editor for Global Asia.

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