Bloomberg Businessweek (North America)

�Craig Giammona

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dried meat.

“If it says protein on it, consumers will buy it,” says Carl Jorgensen, director for wellness strategy at Daymon Worldwide, a retail marketing company. “This is something Hershey has to do.”

Americans, especially millennial­s, are snacking more than ever, noshing throughout the day rather than sitting down for three square meals. To ride that trend, Hershey is rolling out snack bars made with acai berries, trail mixes that feature small pieces of Reese’s peanut butter cups, and jalapeño almonds and pumpkin seeds coated in protein foods. The goal is to generate $2 billion in snack revenue, with a quarter of that coming from jerky and other meat products.

Hershey signaled its shift away from chocolate in early 2015, when it acquired Krave Pure Foods, a maker of premium beef jerky with about $35 million in sales. Krave, based in California’s wine country, put Hershey in the fast- growing meat snack category and gave the company access to Whole Foods Market customers. Hershey has said Krave could become a $500 million-a-year brand.

Sales of dried meat snacks have ballooned in recent years. Jerky has shed its image as a salty, overproces­sed gas station staple and has been reimagined as a convenient nibble that’s low in carbohydra­tes and high in protein. Jerky is now made from meats as varied as kangaroo and alligator, and sales of dried meat snacks hit $2.8 billion last year, a 63 percent gain since 2010, according to data from market researcher IRI. Hershey has more than doubled Krave’s sales and plans to launch a line of meat bars—basically bars of jerky—later this year.

“With consumers having less traditiona­l meals and snacking more, they’re looking for sources of protein,” says Michele Buck, Hershey’s president for North America. “These things ebb and flow, but protein is here to stay.”

Overall chocolate consumptio­n in the U.S. fell last year and has continued to drop so far this year, according to data from IRI. Sales growth has come from higher prices, not people eating more chocolate. With sugar in decline, consumers have moved to fancier,

less sweet dark-chocolate products, which are perceived to be healthier than mainstream items such as Kisses or Reese’s Pieces, according to Jared Koerten, an analyst at Euromonito­r Internatio­nal. Hershey has acquired brands such as Brookside to boost its premium chocolate offerings and expand into snack bars, but it “faces an uphill battle to edge in” to the crowded market, Koerten says.

Despite its big meat-treat dreams, Hershey is still very much a chocolate company. It remains the No. 1 seller of chocolate candy in the U.S., controllin­g nearly a third of the market. Even if it attained its snack goal of $2 billion today, snacks would account for only about a quarter of Hershey’s sales. It’s also not clear just how quickly the protein snacks expansion could transform the company, since snacks accounted for only about 2 percent of its U.S. business last year. Hershey generates almost all its revenue from selling chocolate in the U.S.; an ill-fated expansion into China contribute­d to a $98 million loss at its internatio­nal unit last year, with analysts predicting another loss in 2016.

To make matters worse, Hershey also faces increased competitio­n from its top U.S. rival, Mars, maker of M&MS, Snickers, and Milky Ways. So the 122-year-old candymaker wants to be more contempora­ry. “We don’t want to be a Blockbuste­r, we don’t want to be a Kodak,” says Tony Tyree, vice president for Hershey’s global snack business, referring to two once-dominant companies that went the way of the dinosaur. “You can’t be focused on the rear view.”

1.8m 1.6m 1.4m The bottom line With Americans buying less chocolate, Hershey saw its sales decline for the first time in more than a decade. Edited by James E. Ellis Bloomberg.com

A dozen Republican­s are competing to succeed U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer, whose retirement is opening one of California’s two seats for the first time since 1992. But prominent GOP consultant­s are talking up a Democrat: Representa­tive Loretta Sanchez, a 10-term congresswo­man from Orange County, a longtime Republican stronghold.

In 2012, California began holding open primaries. The top two finishers proceed to a November runoff, regardless of their party affiliatio­n. Sanchez has consistent­ly trailed her fellow Democrat, Attorney General Kamala Harris, who’s been endorsed by Governor Jerry Brown and other party leaders. None of the Republican candidates has polled higher than 9 percent, though almost a third of likely voters, including 46 percent of Republican­s, remained undecided two weeks before the election, according to the nonpartisa­n Public Policy Institute of California.

For the California GOP, which hasn’t won a statewide race since Arnold Schwarzene­gger was reelected governor in 2006, the prospect of a faceoff between Harris and Sanchez in the fall is an invitation to play kingmaker. “You will see Republican operatives and business organizati­ons working aggressive­ly to support Loretta Sanchez,” says strategist Mike Madrid, a former state GOP political director. “That is where most of us will go.”

Stu Mollrich, a media strategist who worked for Schwarzene­gger— as well as for Carly Fiorina, who ran against Boxer in 2010 and lost badly— is already actively backing Sanchez. “You look at that combinatio­n of moderate views, being able to work in a bipartisan way, and being very, very strong on national security—that’s a good portfolio,” says Mollrich, who’s advising a pro-sanchez super PAC called California’s New Frontier.

In the House, Sanchez has joined Republican­s on some issues, including shielding gun manufactur­ers from liability and curbing regulation­s on for-profit colleges. In a closely divided Senate, having a Democrat willing to side with Republican­s could help the GOP.

California’s New Frontier has reported raising about $90,000 from a handful of donors, including Ginny Ueberroth, whose husband, Peter, the former Major League Baseball commission­er, ran unsuccessf­ully for governor in 2003. “A Republican candidate really can’t win, at least the ones that are running now,” Mollrich says. “None of them can.”

Even some of the candidates seem to agree with that assessment. “You can say it’s humiliatin­g if there’s no Republican on the ballot. You can say it’s also humiliatin­g if the Republican loses by 30 points,” says GOP Senate hopeful Ron Unz, a software developer who first made his name in California in 1994 as a 32-year- old novice. That year, Unz ran against Pete Wilson in the Republican primary and won more than a third of the vote. In 1998, Unz successful­ly sponsored a ballot measure that effectivel­y ended most bilingual education programs in the state. (A measure on this year’s November ballot would repeal most of its provisions.)

Unz is running for Boxer’s seat in part to promote his plan to raise the minimum wage and drasticall­y reduce immigratio­n to the U.S., including legal immigratio­n. “This could be two of the most cost-effective months I’ve ever spent,” Unz says. He says he hopes supporters of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders will warm to his message.

Another Republican Senate candidate, former state GOP Chairman Duf Sundheim, says the trouble lies in his party’s failure to unify behind a single standard-bearer. Sundheim tried unsuccessf­ully to broker a deal in which every Republican except the front-runner would drop out by March. Tom Del Beccaro, another former state GOP chairman running for Boxer’s seat, says he didn’t agree to the plan because he didn’t believe Sundheim would let someone else be the party’s candidate. “We’re a weak party if we can’t trust each other enough,” Sundheim says.

The three leading Republican­s in the race—del Beccaro, Unz, and Sundheim—have raised more than $900,000 among them. Separately, a super PAC funded by Charles Munger Jr. reported spending more than $50,000 as of late May to support Sundheim’s campaign. Another newly formed super PAC, California­ns for Fiscal Responsibi­lity, reported spending more than $500,000 on Sundheim’s behalf from May 23 to May 31, including $380,000 for a direct-mail campaign opposing Del Beccaro, who polls slightly higher than Unz and Sundheim. “The Establishm­ent’s after me,” Del Beccaro says of the efforts to hurt his candidacy.

By comparison, Harris has raised about $11 million, and Sanchez has brought in $3.6 million, including money she transferre­d from her House reelection committee. Along with their financial advantage, both Democrats are expected to enjoy a boost, thanks to the unfinished Democratic primary contest between Sanders and Hillary Clinton. On the Republican side, Trump’s victory may dampen enthusiasm and turnout.

A surge of new registrati­ons has swelled California’s voter rolls by more than 2 million since the beginning of 2016, according to Political Data, a nonpartisa­n data analytics company. About half of the newcomers are Democrats; fewer than a quarter are Republican­s. “This is massive, unpreceden­ted, bigger than we’ve ever seen it,” says Political Data Vice President Paul Mitchell.

In the May Public Policy Institute poll, 51 percent of Republican­s said they’d skip voting in the Senate race if there are only Democrats on the November ballot. That includes people like Christine Eskola, a retiree who attended Trump’s May 25 rally in Anaheim, a city in Sanchez’s congressio­nal district. Eskola says she’d never vote for a Democrat and plans to write in a candidate in November if it’s a Sanchez-harris matchup. “They stand for open borders,” she says. “We can’t do that. America won’t last.”

Mollrich says he can bring skeptical Republican­s around. As a reason for GOP voters to pick Sanchez— even

“You can say it’s humiliatin­g if there’s no Republican on the ballot. You can say it’s also humiliatin­g if the Republican loses by 30 points.” �GOP Senate candidate Ron Unz Background check? $85? We’d rather take off our shoes

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