We’re richer than we think
OTTAWA — Canadians are richer than ever, even if they also have near-record debt.
A new report by Environics Analytics puts Canadian household net worth at the start of the year at over $400,000 for the first time in history — although it only rose above the mark by $151.
The average household’s net worth grew by 5.8 per cent at the end of last year from $378,093 at the end of 2011 thanks to a 5.4 per cent gain in liquid assets and a 5.1 per cent increase in real estate values, the report says.
Meanwhile, debt rose by a relatively modest 3.3 per cent.
The new calculation keeps Canadian households ahead of their U.S. counterparts in terms of net worth for the sixth straight year — $400,151 compared with $381,086 US.
At the time, the two dollars were worth about the same but Canada’s loonie has since lost ground to the U.S. greenback. At current rates, the U.S. net worth would be equivalent to $391,871 in Canadian money.
The gap has also narrowed since the end of 2011 — in part because Canadian households continued to borrow and American household debt actually declined 2.4 per cent.
Most measures of Canadian household finances have tended to focus on the all-high levels of debt which in the past year has topped 160 per cent of disposable income, one of the highest ratios in the world.
Analysts note, however that, along with a lot of debt, Canadians hold real assets, particularly the highest level of home ownership in history. Home prices in most parts of Canada have steadily risen despite a weak economy, and equity markets have recovered most of the losses sustained during the 2008-09 recession.
There is risk, economists say. If there is a sharp housing correction in Canada, household net worth will plummet along with home values.
Bank of Montreal chief economist Doug Porter says about half of household net worth is attributed to real estate values. “At various stages last year, Canadian home prices were about 60 per cent above those of average U.S. home prices, which is off the charts. That accounts for the difference in net worth,” he said.
The Bank of Canada, which has long warned about high debt levels, noted last week that Canadian households are becoming more cautious both in retail spending and in real estate purchases, the latter in part due to stricter mortgage rules that came into effect last July.
“In the first quarter of 2013 ... consumption rose only modestly and residential investment declined for the third consecutive quarter,” the bank reported in its quarterly economic outlook.