Edmonton Journal

Federal NDP cites Alberta budget to back claims about job losses

- PETER O’NEIL poneil@postmedia.com Twitter.com/poneilinot­tawa Read my blog , Letter from Ottawa, at edmontonjo­urnal. com/oneil

OTTAWA – The federal New Democratic Party is citing informatio­n in Alberta’s 2012 budget to back leader Tom Mulcair’s argument that a high dollar caused by booming natural resource exports is hurting Canadian manufactur­ers.

A section of the provincial government’s spring budget, titled Risks to Alberta’s Economic Outlook, refers to the importance of the oilsands to Alberta’s economy.

But the report notes the province’s manufactur­ing sector is challenged by the high Canadian dollar, which in turn is linked to natural resource exports.

“The Canadian dollar remains elevated, buoyed by high commodity prices. An appreciati­on of the Canadian dollar could hurt exporters,” the report states.

In another section, the authors noted that “manufactur­ing companies will continue to be challenged by a strong Canadian dollar and moderate external demand,” though it added that “they should benefit from growth in energy and agricultur­al sectors.”

B.C. New Democrat MP Peter Julian, who accompanie­d Mulcair to Alberta this week, said the statements lend support to Mulcair’s notions about the socalled “Dutch disease.”

The term was first coined by the Economist magazine in the 1970s to describe problems experience­d by the Netherland­s, where offshore gas sales pumped up the currency and hurt manufactur­ers.

Mulcair has maintained that the Canadian dollar, artificial­ly inflated by oilsands exports by companies that don’t pay the full cost of their pollution, have caused 250,000 manufactur­ing job losses in recent years.

Many critics have ridiculed Mulcair’s argument and suggested he’s deliberate­ly dividing Western Canada from the rest of the country to win votes in Ontario and Quebec.

Alberta Premier Alison Redford didn’t meet with Mulcair during his visit, suggesting prior to Mulcair’s arrival that a meeting would be premature.

“Once he’s actually seen the oilsands, once he’s actually been briefed, then I’m prepared to try to have a constructi­ve conversati­on with him,” she said.

While academic studies on the “Dutch disease” have resulted in conflictin­g results, Julian said Mulcair is supported by studies such as those by the Pembina Institute and the Institute for Research on Public Policy.

Both recent reports say the Canadian economy is experienci­ng milder versions of the “Dutch disease,” though neither embraced Mulcair’s estimate of 250,000 job losses.

“It reinforces what we’ve been hearing,” said Julian, his party’s natural resources critic.

But the Macdonald Laurier Institute came out with a report this week saying the oilsands is a net winner for Canada.

Conservati­ve MP Brian Jean, who represents Fort McMurray-Athabasca, said evidence is overwhelmi­ng that the oilsands generates enormous wealth — and manufactur­ing jobs — across the country.

He said it appears Mulcair is backing off some of his more extreme positions and is “grasping at straws” by citing the Alberta budget.

The budget document cites positive aspects to the high dollar. “With the dollar elevated, Canadian firms have seized the opportunit­y to import machinery and equipment, a developmen­t that may help close the productivi­ty gap between Canada and the U.S.”

The oilsands is described as the “key driver” of the economy.

While Alberta is known for its oil and gas industry it also has a robust manufactur­ing sector, dominated by petroleum products, food, chemicals, machinery and fabricated metal products, according to Statistics Canada.

The natural resources sector employed 187,000 Albertans in April of 2012 compared to 137,000 in manufactur­ing. By far the biggest employer, according to StatsCan, was the service sector, with roughly 1.5 million workers.

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