Edmonton Journal

Moe balances policy, politics in pipeline battle

- MURRAY MANDRYK Regina Mandryk is the political columnist for the Regina Leader-Post.

Where politics stops and legitimate policy concerns start is a spot that’s hard to find.

Consider the Saskatchew­an Party’s hardline opposition to any carbon tax. Undeniable is the reality that carbon pricing to the tune of $50 a tonne by 2022 stands as a potentiall­y huge disruption to our economy driven by oil, mining and farming. This has been Premier Scott Moe’s argument since long before his leadership run.

But while Moe (and his predecesso­r, Brad Wall) can legitimate­ly make arguments about offsetting carbon sinks created by the agricultur­al and forestry sector, or the net increase in greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) if the Evraz steel mill has to abandon its cleaner furnaces in Regina for operations in the U.S. or Russia, or even the value of carbon capture and storage at Boundary Dam 3, what’s also undeniable is the politics.

Rallying the Saskatchew­an Party/Conservati­ve base against a tax imposed by a prime minister named Trudeau is good politics. And now that most Saskatchew­an voters have bought into this narrative, it becomes even better politics.

One might argue that Moe’s recent tirade against B.C.’s opposition to the Trans Mountain pipeline also fits into the category of political posturing. After all, it’s Alberta heavy oil that would flow through Trans Mountain — not Saskatchew­an oil.

Moreover, it suspicious­ly dovetails into that political narrative opposing the carbon tax.

What both issues have in common is legitimate criticism of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his federal Liberal government’s wishy-washy dithering over standing up to B.C.’s NDP government leaning heavily on largely nonsensica­l environmen­talist arguments.

But consider that the political rhetoric you hear can be and often is the vocalizati­on of sincere frustratio­n politician­s have over policy disputes.

The spot where policy/ political frustratio­n appears to intersect is where Moe is now standing his ground on Trans Mountain.

To hear the baritone farm boy from Shellbrook rumble “if (the NDP government in) Alberta does turn the taps off, it won’t be Saskatchew­an filling up the fuel tanks in British Columbia” may sound so much like politics.

But in landlocked Saskatchew­an, getting oil to tidewater is a big issue. And when Moe asks whether it’s B.C.’s coastline or Canada’s coastline, he poses a pretty serious question regarding national unity.

Moe, and Wall before him, proposed the viable alternativ­e of pipelines — of Keystone XL that would move Saskatchew­an oil to refineries in Louisiana or the now-shuttered Energy East pipeline that would have moved Western Canadian oil to refineries in Eastern Canada.

Besides standing as a practical symbol of national unity via oil self-sufficienc­y, it would seem a great way of getting oil off the rails, thus avoiding railway spills of oil and even worse disasters like Lac-Megantic. Also contrary to environmen­talists’ notions, we still need oil, and it does little to clean up the world’s greenhouse gas emissions to have half the country east of the Lakehead import dirty oil from Saudi Arabia.

To Saskatchew­an, getting oil to port means the difference between selling it for West Texas Intermedia­te (WTI) price (which was US$67.53 a barrel Friday) and the Brent world price (which was US$72.61 a barrel).

Better access to internatio­nal markets would have earned the oil industry in Saskatchew­an an additional $2.6 billion in 2017 and would have added an additional $210 million in taxes, royalties and other revenue, the Saskatchew­an government said Friday.

So if they are sensitive to those blocking anyone’s attempts to getting Western oil to port, maybe the anger from politician­s coping with budget frustratio­ns and economic recovery is real.

So you can appreciate why Moe might be a little frustrated over environmen­talists and B.C. NDP/federal Liberal politician­s preventing the approval of a project that essentiall­y replaces a 60-year-old existing pipeline.

Consider how they might view this as piling on after the likes of former Montreal mayor Denis Coderre blocking Energy East for similar partisan political gain. Sometimes, that rhetoric you hear is real political frustratio­n.

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