Lethbridge Herald

Canada in an economic decline

- Lisa Baiton

As a Canadian, I’m worried.

Our GDP performanc­e reveals six consecutiv­e quarters of shrinking per capita performanc­e, the most direct measure of a country’s living standards. The numbers confirm what many Canadians feel – Canada is falling behind and things are getting worse.

All Canadians should be distressed that the OECD is projecting Canada to be the worst-performing economy – dead last – of all 38 advanced countries over the next 40 years.

Political leaders of all parties should be seriously alarmed that, for the past seven years, Canada’s investment growth rate has ranked 44th out of the 47 countries tracked by the OECD. The Bank of Canada has rightly warned that weak productivi­ty and low business investment represent a national emergency.

Emerging liquefied natural gas export industry is a clear win for Canadians

And it’s a hard reality that Canada is no longer one of the wealthiest countries in the world. As our competitiv­e edges erode, so do Canadian living standards and opportunit­ies for future prosperity.

How did Canada so profoundly lose its way? The answer lies in our insular approach to the economy, our failure to act when other countries do, and our cumbersome and uncompetit­ive regulatory environmen­t that the country’s most productive industries face.

But what’s the solution?

One of Canada’s greatest competitiv­e advantages in the global economy is our energy.

We have a world-class resource base. We’re the fourth largest oil producer and the fifth largest natural gas producer in the world. Our oil reserves are larger than Russia’s.

A recent report by RBC forecasts a substantia­l increase in global energy demand by 2035, equivalent to the energy needs of the entire United States.

We have a growing market for our products, and the energy industry is building the types of projects that can power an entire economy.

The Trans Mountain Pipeline Expansion project has already created thousands of jobs for Canadians, including over 3,000 indigenous workers, and injected billions of dollars into our economy. When complete, the project will deliver billions more over the next decades by significan­tly increasing the internatio­nal export capacity of our most valuable commodity.

The $40 billion LNG Canada natural gas export facility is the largest private investment in Canadian history.

Not only will this project generate substantia­l revenue through the export of low-emission liquefied natural gas, it will also contribute to our GDP and enhance our economic prospects for years to come.

Furthermor­e, there are attractive opportunit­ies for investment in decarboniz­ation projects, which can help mitigate emissions from our oil and natural gas sectors.

For instance, the Pathways Alliance, comprising the country’s six largest oil sands companies, just announced regulatory filing for its estimated $16.4 billion carbon capture project.

We have three more LNG export facilities in various stages of progress. In addition, LNG Canada is considerin­g an expansion that would double its export capacity. In Alberta alone, there are 25 carbon capture projects under considerat­ion.

However, seeing these projects come to fruition in the current environmen­t is far from guaranteed. To realize these opportunit­ies, we need to tackle the fundamenta­l policy barriers that drive away investment.

The evidence shows we need to urgently overhaul our regulatory framework to restore Canada’s competitiv­eness and attract global capital.

To build projects, export goods, and create jobs and opportunit­ies for a growing population, we need successful and growing businesses.

Our government­s must actively champion major investment opportunit­ies, as they do in every other jurisdicti­on worldwide.

The OECD’s grim prediction of Canada becoming the worst-performing economy among advanced countries over the next 40 years paints a bleak picture.

However, this need not be our fate. We must reject complacenc­y and strive for excellence.

Canada stands at a crossroads. Will we continue to repel the investment necessary to revitalize our economy, or will we chart a new course, bolstering our key industries and reclaiming our position among the world’s most prosperous nations?

I know which path I choose. Lisa Baiton is the President & CEO of the Canadian Associatio­n of Petroleum Producers.. © Troy Media

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