Prairies hit hardest by second wave
EDMONTON • The three Prairie provinces have become the epicentre of COVID-19'S second wave in Canada — surpassing Ontario and Quebec, the two most populous provinces that were initially the hardest hit.
Some i nfectious disease experts say the exponential growth in cases on the Prairies can be linked to pandemic fatigue and a reluctance by politicians to impose stricter health measures in the fall.
“Ten infections in Manitoba means something completely different than 10 infections in Toronto or New York City,” said Dr. Kelly Macdonald, a professor of infectious diseases at the University of Manitoba.
“Our rates didn't look like a problem for quite a long time when they probably were,” said Macdonald, who added that there has been “a complete lack of appreciation for the case per unit of population.”
Since the fall, the spread of COVID-19 has increased everywhere, but daily case numbers on the Prairies have been matching areas with about double the population.
The three provinces have about 6.7 million residents combined and reported a total of 2,480 new cases on Thursday. Alberta alone reported 1,854 new infections.
Ontario, with a population of about 14.5 million, reported 1,824 cases. Quebec, which has almost two million more people than all three Prairie provinces, had 1,470 new infections.
When the first wave of the pandemic hit Canada in the spring, Ontario and Quebec were particularly affected. Now, the infection rate per capita is highest in Alberta, followed by Manitoba and Saskatchewan.
On Wednesday, Ontario's health minister singled out Alberta. “You want to speak about who is in crisis. Have you taken a look at Alberta, where they're doubling up patients in intensive care units? We're not doing that in Ontario,” said Christine Elliot.
A spokesman for federal Health Minister Patty Hajdu said she spoke Wednesday night with Alberta Health Minister Tyler Shandro about the surge in cases and offered federal resources.
It's a major turnaround since April when Premier Jason Kenney touted the success of his province's COVID-19 response.
Dr. James Talbot, a professor of public health at the University of Alberta, said COVID-19 fatigue has descended along with colder weather preventing people from meeting outside as much, he said.
“Another part of it is we have inconsistent regulations,” said Talbot, pointing to bars and restaurants being open, while people cannot have guests over.
“When people think something is unfair or illogical, then they just make decisions not to follow the rules that are out there,” he said. “Until you regain their confidence, the situation is going to continue to get worse.”