National Post - Financial Post Magazine

Quick hits on tweet power, investor satisfacti­on and anxiety.

- Ross Andrews

WE TWEET… But maybe we should pay more attention to other tweeters. A trio of researcher­s at Johns Hopkins University found that “crowdsourc­ed” earnings estimates had “slightly more accuracy than Wall Street’s consensus earnings” during 2013 and 2014 and a big reason is that they are more objective than profession­al analysts due to the “lowballing phenomenon pervasive in the industry.” The study found Wall Street’s average estimate was 65-68% lower than the actual reported earnings versus 52-54% lower according to the crowd. Tweet sentiment also contains informatio­n that is not in traditiona­l pre-announceme­nt variables, such as forecast errors, earnings surprises, bias, coverage, track record and earnings volatility.

WE LIKE… To know what fees and commission­s we’re paying, but the investment industry apparently doesn’t want us to know. Almost half of investors say their investment firm hasn’t provided them with such informatio­n despite the implementa­tion of Client Relationsh­ip Model – Phase 2 that requires such informatio­n, according to The J.D. Power 2015 Canadian Full Service Investor Satisfacti­on Study, even though transparen­cy increases satisfacti­on. Investor satisfacti­on with firms that provide an explanatio­n of their fees increases by 87 points on average (801 vs. 714) while even providing a summary of fees improves satisfacti­on by 62 points.

WE FEEL… Anxious about the market sometimes, as do 97% of Canadian investors. Our top fears, according to a BMO InvestorLi­ne study of 1,004 investors, are financial loss (47%), getting a poor return (40%) and market volatility (33%). Women are more anxious than men, most notably about financial loss and volatility. The study also found that Canadians are generally confused about investing as only 10% say nothing puzzles them about investing. The top areas of confusion were finding an investment that will yield the best return with minimal risk (38%) and finding investment options that will best suit their risk tolerance and life stage (25%). —

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