National Post

CAE gets upgrade from RBC

- Jonathan Ratner

CAE Inc. was upgraded to outperform from sector perform by RBC Capital Markets because of its attractive valuation and anticipate­d margin improvemen­t.

Analyst Steve Arthur noted the flight simulation equipment and pilot training company has spent several quarters restructur­ing and streamlini­ng operations, including the relocation of approximat­ely 20 simulators from areas with overcapaci­ty to regions with stronger demand.

“We believe that much of that work is now complete, and we should see these redeployed simulators begin contributi­ng materially to revenue and margins in the second half of fiscal 2014,” Mr. Arthur said in a research note.

Montreal-based CAE hiked its quarterly dividend by 20% to 6¢ on Wednesday after re- porting second-quarter revenue of $487-million, which was below analysts’ estimates of $534-million.

Mr. Arthur noted the miss was largely due to a 6% yearover-year decline in civil revenues, which came as little surprise given the ongoing simulator redeployme­nts. Adjusted earnings per share of 15¢ was in line with analysts’ forecasts.

The analyst noted recent operationa­l issues have caused CAE to lag its peers and the stock now trades at a material discount to the aerospace and defence group.

“We expect that CAE shares will react positively to growing evidence of operating margin improvemen­t, and suggest that investors build positions ahead of that,” Mr. Arthur said, raising his target price on the stock to $14 from $13.

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