National Post

EPA’s dumb mercury rules

To prevent an I.Q. loss of 0.00209 points, the EPA’s mercury rule will effectivel­y shut down every coal-fired power plant in America

- Patrick J. Michaels Financial Post Patrick J. Michaels is director of the Center for the Study of Science at Cato, a Washington D.C.-based think tank.

This year, the United States Supreme Court is going to review the Environmen­tal Protection Agency’s outrageous rules for mercury emissions from power plants, and hopefully the Court will see through the Agency’s patently absurd reasoning.

The EPA’s mercury rule is yet another example of the Obama administra­tion’s extreme bending of the law in service of its perseverat­ion on global warming. In this case, the point of regulating mercury emissions — which are minuscule — is to further the administra­tion’s goal of shutting down every coal-fired power plant in the country, even though they currently supply about 40 per cent of America’s electricit­y.

The EPA has to justify regulation­s in order to shoehorn them into some mystical interpreta­tion of a small section of the 1990 amendments to the Clean Air Act that allows it to regulate hazardous air pollutants. And what could be more hazardous than dreaded airborne mercury from the combustion of coal in our power plants? The Court should be aware that: There is more mercury in the air from natural sources — volcanoes come to mind — than from all human activity.

Mercury emitted from both volcanoes and coal-fired smokestack­s resides for months in the air, usually until it is precipitat­ed out by some rainstorm. As a result, a large amount of the mercury that falls in North America originated in highly polluted China.

All U.S. emissions are a mere 2 per cent of the global total.

U.S. power plants emit only half of that — about 0.5 per cent of the total — and by 2016 will emit even less than that.

In its rule-making, the EPA had to demonstrat­e benefits, or more precisely, how much cost is extracted by current mercury emissions. So, who would benefit?

No one. The EPA had to literally in- vent a population that does not exist, but which might be affected. So it estimated, in its imaginatio­n, the effect on children who were born to a hypothetic­al population of 240,000 “women of child-bearing age in subsistenc­e fishing population­s who consume freshwater fish that they or their family caught.”

And “consume” these hypothetic­al fisher women did — 300 pounds per year.

And now for the harm this would visit upon their children. To determine this the EPA, of course, has a computer model, which determined how much consumptio­n of this fish would lower the kids’ I.Q.

I.Q. scores, which are supposed to measure processing speed, logical inference, and creative insight, have an average value of 100, with a measuremen­t error of plus or minus five points. It is a fact that repetitive testing — something I endured in grade school — tends to reveal very similar scores.

The EPA’s model predicts that mercury will lower the I.Q. of these poor children by 0.00209 points, a negligible rounding error when the range of measuremen­t error is 10 points. The EPA doesn’t show that this loss of I.Q. could have any impact on a person’s life.

The EPA has another model, which claims that the loss of 0.00209 I.Q. points will cost this imaginary population up to $6,000,000 (in 2007 dollars) a year due to reduced earnings.

Yet, to prevent an I.Q. loss of an impossible-to-measure 0.00209 points, or some 3 hundred thousandth­s of the range of error in I.Q. scores, the EPA’s mercury rule will effectivel­y shut down every coal-fired power plant in America. Hopefully the Supreme Court will see through the absurdity.

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