National Post

German market risky play for HBC

- BY DAVID FRIEND

TORONTO • Shopping in Germany could leave Hudson’s Bay Co. with a handful of new challenges if it emerges the winning bidder for department store operator Kaufhof.

The Canadian retailer is reportedly planning to make a binding offer for the Kaufhof chain in hopes of expanding into a new market and scooping up the valuable properties that come with it.

But the move could also leave the iconic Canadian company taking a big risk as an outsider in a foreign land.

“There’s a considerab­le amount of due diligence that needs to be done to understand a new country,” said Sandy Silva, NPD Group’s fashion industry analyst.

It wouldn’t be the first time a retailer strolled into the tough German market with big hopes and was instead dealt a rude awakening.

Walmart left in 2006 after a failure to understand local customs stretched from its break rooms to the cash registers. Others like England’s Marks & Spencer and Castorama, the French home improvemen­t retailer, also retreated.

Hudson’s Bay is said to be bidding for Kaufhof against Austrian real estate company Signa, owner of fellow German department store chain Karstadt, with unofficial offers pegged at around $3.5 billion.

If Hudson’s Bay wins, the company would hold a valuable slate of real estate, with 120 Kaufhof stores across Germany and another 16 in Belgium.

Hudson’s Bay has already generated profits from its North American real estate portfolio, grabbing $650 million in a saleleaseb­ack for its flagship store in downtown Toronto and another $1.8 billion from Zeller’s store leases in 2011.

In Germany, one of the most valuable spaces would be Kaufhof ’s flagship store at the heart of the Alexanderp­latz public square in Berlin. The area is flooded with tourists and is one of the country’s busiest department stores.

But Hudson’s Bay would still be tasked with operating in a mature consumer market where the department store model is fading, said Thomas Roeb, an economics professor at Bonn-Rhein-Sieg University.

“Kaufhof is a high-risk investment for any prospectiv­e buyer,” he said in a statement. “History tells us it is particular­ly difficult for foreign companies that have struggled to understand the German consumer.”

Even more than Target Corp.’ s failure in Canada, Walmart found that Germany is a hard market to crack. The discount retailer arrived puffcheste­d in 1998, buying about 95 stores from two local chains who failed to make many of them profitable.

From there, disaster struck, as an American Walmart executive parachuted in, making demands that mimicked the U.S formula. Walmart’s famous low prices were consistent­ly undercut by local discount chains. Eight years after its launch, the company packed its bags and went home.

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