National Post

The safer choice

- Kenneth P. Green and Taylor Jackson Kenneth P. Green and Taylor Jackson are co-authors of the Fraser Institute study Safety in the Transporta­tion of Oil and Gas: Pipelines or Rail? Available at fraserinst­itute.org.

Oil and gas pipelines are a critical piece of Canada’s energy infrastruc­ture. In 2013, this mode of transporta­tion moved more than 2.4 billion barrels of oil and gas. But accidents do happen, as seen with the recent oil spill in Alberta where a Nexen oilsands pipeline recently ruptured, spilling a large quantity of oil southeast of Fort McMurray. Such accidents are unfortunat­e and regrettabl­e; and this recent accident has stoked concerns, particular­ly from pipeline opponents, about the safety of oil and gas pipelines.

Unfortunat­ely, however, tragic incidents such as this often detract from one of the most important infrastruc­ture questions: what’s the safest way to transport the oil and gas that our modern society requires?

In a recent Fraser Institute study, we examined whether pipelines or rail were safer for transporti­ng oil and gas, using data from government sources. The study focused on the number of occurrence­s or accidents per million barrels of oil and gas transporte­d.

The result was clear. Both rail and pipelines are quite safe, but pipelines are without a doubt the safest way to transport oil and gas.

In every year from 2003 to 2013, pipelines experience­d fewer occurrence­s per million barrels of oil equivalent transporte­d than did rail. Overall in this period, rail experience­d 0.227 occurrence­s per million barrels of oil equivalent transporte­d compared to 0.049 for pipelines.

This means that rail is more than 4.5 times more likely to experience an occurrence.

Additional data on pipeline safety from the Transporta­tion Safety Board also calls into question the often worstcase scenario rhetoric that surrounds pipeline debates. Consider that 73 per cent of pipeline occurrence­s result in spills of less than one cubic metre and 16 per cent of occurrence­s result in no spill whatsoever.

The vast majority of pipeline occurrence­s — more than 80 per cent — also don’t occur in the actual line pipe. Rather, they happen in facilities that are more likely to have secondary containmen­t mechanisms and procedures.

But perhaps the most telling statistic regarding pipeline safety is that 99 per cent of pipeline occurrence­s between 2003 and 2013 didn’t damage the environmen­t.

Debates about pipeline expansion often ignore these realities. But make no mistake: transporti­ng oil and gas by rail has been booming in the absence of new pipelines. According to the Energy Informatio­n Administra­tion, annual exports of oil by rail to the United States in 2010 amounted to a measly 42,000 barrels. Fast forward five years to 2014 and that number has spiked to 42 million barrels of oil. These numbers will continue to rise if new pipelines are not built.

So while pipelines may attract much of the attention, rail too is not without its share of accidents. A string of events earlier this year led to new regulation­s, which may not provide much additional

Both rail and pipelines are quite safe, but pipelines are without a doubt the safest way to transport oil and gas

benefit, seeing as many of the newly required safety measures existed during the Lac-Mégantic tragedy.

In both Canada and the United States, rising oil and natural gas production necessitat­es the expansion of our transporta­tion capacity. Yet proposed pipelines continue to linger in regulatory limbo, facing stiff opposition and little political support, best exemplifie­d by the premiers national energy strategy, which managed to gloss over Canada’s pipeline conundrum.

However, on the mode of transport, the choice is clear: it should be the safer one — pipelines.

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Da vid Paul Morris / Bloombe rg News

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