National Post

Game over for climate activists

- Lawrence Solomon Financial Post Lawrence Solomon is executive director of Energy Probe, a Toronto- based environmen­tal group. LawrenceSo­lomon@nextcity.com.

Environmen­talists’ faint hope that they can get internatio­nal action on climate change gets fainter by the day. This week the United States Supreme Court added to their despair by kiboshing President Obama’s pledge, at December’s climate talks in Paris, to lead the world on climate change. “This could be the proverbial string which causes Paris to unravel,” The New York Times reported.

At the heart of Obama’s Paris pledge was his Clean Power Plan, an executive order hyped as “the first- ever carbon pollution standards for existing power plants.” The plan, rolled out with much fanfare prior to the Paris meetings to create a sense of momentum, was designed to shut down America’s fleet of coal- powered generating plants. The White House boasted its plan would help reduce CO2 emissions by 32 per cent by 2030 and lead to 30 per cent more renewable energy generation in 2030.

Except it was an empty boast based on an unconstitu­tional plan, said 29 states and state agencies, which successful­ly argued that the Obama plan needed congressio­nal approval to proceed. The Supreme Court agreed to an immediate halt of Obama’s plan, sending it to a lower court and all but guaranteei­ng that, when Obama leaves office in 2017, the plan will remain in deep freeze.

India, China and other countries that were cajoled into making carbon- cutting commitment­s at Paris are now under no pressure to cut emissions either. As one adviser to China’s Paris delegation put it, “Look, the United States doesn’t keep its word. Why make so many demands on us?” U. S. environmen­tal groups concur. “If the U. S. isn’t moving on climate action, it makes it really hard to go back to other countries and say, ‘ Do more, we’re delivering,’” admits the Natural Resources Defense Council.

Not that any of the car- bon reduction demands were binding, or even meaningful. The Paris talks succeeded only in continuing the pretence that the countries of the world were morally committed to action on climate change. Now even that pretence is vanishing. Seven years after Obama declared that, under his transforma­tive presidency, the oceans would stop rising, it is dawning on environmen­talists that his entire contributi­on to the debate amounts to no more than lofty rhetoric. Obama’s climate change legacy will be remembered for two terms of hope without change.

Environmen­talists last year had more than a transforma­tive president going for them — they had El Nino, the Pacific Ocean phenom- enon that periodical­ly brings unusually warm weather to us, and opportunit­ies for propaganda to global warming enthusiast­s. Yet the public yawned at the claims that the Earth was experienci­ng its hottest year in record — people have tired of this mantra, as polling consistent­ly shows. And environmen­talists must know that, if they can’t be persuasive in an El Nino year, what are their chances in subsequent years, during which La Nina typically brings unusually cold weather?

The presidenti­al election season can only add to the environmen­talists’ funk. With the Democrats fielding either an unpopular Hillary Clinton or an unelectabl­e, socialist Bernie Sanders, the Republican­s are widely believed to be favoured to win, landing a death blow to climate change activism. With both Republican front- runners, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, considerin­g global warming claims to be outright shams, funding for the climate change industry will dry up. Cruz promises to defund the United Nations’ Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change, the world’s premier global warming lobbyist, along with every other program promoting climate change alarmism. Trump likely would, too, given his belief that global warming policies hurt American business.

Even if a Democrat should win the presidency, the climate change industry has no hope for a comeback. Republican­s will still hold the purse strings through their control over the legislatur­e — that’s why Obama resorted to an executive order to impose his Clean Power Plan, in a faint hope of his own that he could further the agenda he so passionate­ly believes in.

So much hope in that fount seven years ago; so little left today. For those environmen­talists still clinging to climate change beliefs, hope does not spring eternal.

THE PRESIDENTI­AL ELECTION SEASON CAN ONLY ADD TO THE ENVIRONMEN­TALISTS’ FUNK.

 ?? DOMINIQUE FAGET / AFP / GETTY IMAGES ?? Activists protest at the United Nations climate change conference in Paris last year. The U. S. Supreme Court has struck down President Barack Obama’s pledge to lead the world on climate change, Lawrence Solomon writes.
DOMINIQUE FAGET / AFP / GETTY IMAGES Activists protest at the United Nations climate change conference in Paris last year. The U. S. Supreme Court has struck down President Barack Obama’s pledge to lead the world on climate change, Lawrence Solomon writes.

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