National Post

Trump points finger at wrong culprit

COMMENT Job losses stem from technology advances, not bad trade deals

- David Rosenberg

Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz delivered a terrific speech last week that is definitely worth a read, basically about how “creative destructio­n” is mostly at play behind this ever- declining share of manufactur­ing employment across the globe, no longer just confined to the developed world, either.

Here are some of the more lucid findings:

“Economists’ understand­ing of the evolution of economies is based on hundreds of years of history. Advances in technology lead to higher productivi­ty and greater production, which in turn permit the developmen­t of new economic activities and increased specializa­tion in jobs. Over time, the lion’s share of these new activities has arisen in the service sector. Joseph Schumpeter called this process ‘ creative destructio­n,’ because improving how we do things destroys the old while creating the new.

The key facilitato­r of this growth process is trade, both domestic and internatio­nal; otherwise, we would all have to be jacks-of-all-trades.

Let me illustrate with the Canadian experience. At the time of Confederat­ion, about half of working Canadians were employed in agricultur­e in one form or another. Of course, technologi­cal advances led to enormous increases in productivi­ty, creating opportunit­ies for people to move away from farms and into cities.

New technologi­es, coupled with t he newly available workforce, sparked the creation of whole new activities, both in manufactur­ing and in services. By the 1920s, only onethird of Canadians were still involved in agricultur­e.

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