National Post

U. S. wavering on trade: Survey

ECONOMY

- Alexander Panetta

A survey conducted in the run- up to renegotiat­ions of the North American Free Trade Agreement finds majority support for the agreement in all three countries involved.

However, that support is weakest by far in the United States. The Pew Research survey finds that of those who took part in the poll, 76 per cent of Canadian respondent­s, 60 percent of Mexicans and 51 per cent of Americans supported NAFTA.

And the launch of the NAFTA renegotiat­ion process faces one final delay in the U. S. Senate — one from within President Donald Trump’s own party. The confirmati­on of Trump’s trade czar is being held up by a Republican icon and former presidenti­al nominee. Sen. John McCain wants Republican­s to make a firm commitment on trade principles that the party has held dear for decades.

• The launch of the NAFTA renegotiat­ion process faces one final delay in the U. S. Senate — one from within U. S. President Donald Trump’s own party, no less — that is a symbolic example of the free- trade rift between the past and the present of the Republican Party.

The c o nf i r mation of Trump’s trade czar is being held up by a GOP icon and former presidenti­al nomi nee, John McCain, who wants to hear the new administra­tion commit itself to trade principles the party has held dear for decades.

McCain’s lingering concerns present a final hurdle before Robert Lighthizer gets confirmed as trade czar.

Once confirmed, Lighthizer can start leading the U. S.’s mandatory 90-day consultati­on before trade talks, so that negotiatio­ns with Canada and Mexico might start on schedule.

McCain confirmed Tuesday he’s asked a few questions, which are holding up unanimous consent so that Lighthizer’s nomination can be voted upon without requiring several days of closure debates.

Lighthizer wrote a mildly critical newspaper column in 2008 that said McCain’s support of free trade didn’t prove he was conservati­ve. But McCain dismisses suggestion­s he’s holding a grudge. Rather, he said, he’s asking fundamenta­l questions.

“It has a lot to do with whether a trade representa­tive is for free trade or not. Or whether they want to be further isolationi­sts and destroy our economy,” McCain said Tuesday on Capitol Hill.

“I’m not saying I’m opposing him. I want answers to the questions. That’s what senators do.”

The administra­tion desperatel­y hopes to confirm Lighthizer as trade representa­tive soon — perhaps as early as this week, according to remarks Tuesday by Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross. Ross concedes there’s time pressure to get going on NAFTA.

With the Mexican election approachin­g and the U. S. midterm elections shortly thereafter, both the Mexican and American administra­tions have said they want a deal as early as the end of this year. Failure to get a deal within a few months could delay the process into 2019.

“The Senate has been slowwalkin­g the confirmati­on of Bob Lighthizer,” Ross told a conference at the State Department. “We will seek a far more aggressive meeting schedule (on NAFTA this fall) than has been the norm thus far.”

A senior Senate staffer insisted Lighthizer’s confirmati­on is a fait accompli — it’s just a matter of timing.

Democrats sound willing to support Lighthizer.

The progressiv­e, tradeskept­ical Sherrod Brown of Ohio said he’s spoken to Lighthizer four times since his confirmati­on hearing, really likes him, and can’t understand what’s taking so long. “I think he’s one of the best — maybe the best — single Trump nominee so far,” Brown said.

“( Republican­s) can point f i ngers at anybody t hey want. But it’s a Republican Senate with a Republican Senate leader. I’ve tried to help Lighthizer. I don’t know what the holdup is but I know (Senate Leader Mitch) McConnell and Trump aren’t doing their j obs.” Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill concurred: “They’re having trouble on their side of the aisle. It’s not us.”

This bizarre role- reversal reflects the fact that, in U. S. politics, attitudes to trade don’t follow neat partisan lines. And whatever lines existed are shifting in the Trump era, according to a new poll.

A survey conducted by Pew Research finds that of those who took part in the poll, 76 per cent of Canadian respondent­s, 60 per cent of Mexicans and 51 per cent of Americans supported NAFTA.

But there’s turbulence under the surface of U.S. public opinion. The poll suggests a massive gap in partisan attitudes, with only 30 per cent of respondent­s who voted Republican supporting NAFTA compared with 68 per cent of Democrats. Republican­s are suddenly the more tradeskept­ical party, in keeping with Trump’s attitude and shifting away from the views of senate Republican­s — like John McCain.

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