National Post

Trump planning on cuts for top earners, reports say

Departure from rhetoric against breaks for rich

- Sahil Kapur

• President Donald Trump and Republican leaders plan to release a tax framework this week that would dramatical­ly cut taxes for corporatio­ns and the wealthy, provide a measure of middle-class tax relief and punish some households in Democratic-leaning states such as New York and New Jersey.

That summary, based on a list of details that’s circulatin­g among Washington lobbyists, breaks from the president’s recent rhetoric against tax cuts for the rich. It sets the stage for a battle with Democrats and faces a litany of obstacles, including intra- party disputes about whether to pay for the tax breaks upfront or increase the deficit.

The emerging framework includes a proposal to cut the corporate tax rate to 20 per cent from 35 per cent — a costly move in revenue terms that Trump and Republican­s say is necessary to create job growth. But its provisions for individual taxes may hit clos- er to home for many Americans.

Three tax lobbyists familiar with those changes said they include cutting the top individual tax rate to 35 per cent and creating a 25 per cent rate for certain “passthroug­h” business owners — both down from the current top rate of 39.6 per cent. Such changes would cut taxes substantia­lly for the top 1 per cent of earners, said Kyle Pomerleau, an expert with the Tax Foundation, a right- leaning Washington policy group.

An analysis by Washington’s Tax Policy Center last year found that half of the business income earned by all pass- through businesses, such as partnershi­ps and limited liability companies, goes to those making US$ 693,000 or more annually — placing them well within the top one per cent of taxpayers by income.

“I don’t have a good way to thread the needle between the president’s promises and where they are,” said Republican economist Doug Holtz- Eakin. There’s a reason why individual incometax cuts would tend to favour higher earners, he said: “The income tax is not a broadbased revenue- raiser anymore, it’s a surtax on high income people.”

Trump, who’s planning to travel to Indiana to discuss the tax measures in a speech Wednesday, emphasized the benefits for lower earners Sunday. Asked to confirm that the top individual rate will be 35 per cent, the president sidesteppe­d the question and focused on the bottom rate — which affects the lowest earners.

“We think we’re going to bring the individual rate to 10 per cent or 12 per cent, much lower than it is now,” he told reporters. “This is a plan for the middle class and for companies so they can bring back jobs.”

Actually, the lowest income-tax bracket in 2017 applies a 10 per cent rate to taxable income of US$ 9,325 or less. After that, a 15 per cent rate applies to income up to US$37,950.

Tr u mp’s plan would double the standard deduction that benefits many middle-class Americans, making it the centrepiec­e of the tax relief Trump has promised them. It would also seek to pay for some of the tax cuts by ending the state and local tax deduction, which is used mostly by middle- to- high earners in high- tax states such as California, New York and New Jersey. The tax break, which is worth more than US$ 1 trillion over 10 years, is favoured by representa­tives of influentia­l industries, like real estate.

Attempts to end it may run into Republican opposition, too.

“You have some members from higher- tax states who are concerned about the deductibil­ity of state and local taxes,” said Representa­tive David Schweikert of Arizona, a member of the tax- writing Ways and Means Committee and the conservati­ve Freedom Caucus. “You have others who want to really aggressive­ly lower rates.”

The framework that Trump and congressio­nal Republican­s plan to release Wednesday would form the starting point for the tax debate in the coming months, which comes as the administra­tion seeks a legislativ­e victory in 2017 after failing to repeal Obamacare or win full funding to build a wall on the southern border.

“We’re excited,” House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady said Sunday night, after Republican­s on his panel left a meeting to discuss their plans. He said the White House would determine the timetable for releasing more informatio­n, “but definitely this week.”

“I think this is going to move a lot faster than people think,” said Representa­tive Vern Buchanan, a Florida Republican.

GOP officials argue the tax overhaul is crucial for boosting economic growth, while Democrats are gearing up to paint it as a giveaway to the wealthy.

“Democrats have strongly and firmly stood for the position that not one penny of tax cuts should go to the top 1 per cent,” Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said in a statement Sunday.

A White House official said that i ncreasing the standard deduction would expand the number of Americans who don’t pay any net income taxes, and argued a low individual rate would encourage Americans at the bottom of the economic ladder to climb up.

The framework is also expected to eliminate the estate tax, three people familiar with the discussion­s said. That tax applies to estates worth at least US$ 5.49 million per tax filer. Many Republican­s want to end it.

One immediate purpose of the framework is to secure House GOP approval for a budget resolution to unlock the Senate’s procedure for passing a tax bill without Democratic support. Lead- ers of the conservati­ve House Freedom Caucus have declined to support a budget before members see details of a tax plan; GOP leaders are hoping they’ll be satisfied.

Time is short, and many details have yet to be resolved. Republican­s still haven’t decided how much a tax bill can add to the deficit, a decision they must make before beginning to advance a bill. They have also yet to come to agreement on what tax deductions and carveouts to limit in order to simplify the code, raise revenues and — as Trump has said he wants to do — reduce the tax cut for the wealthiest Americans.

“I think the wealthy will be pretty much where they are” in terms of tax liabilitie­s, Trump told reporters on Sept. 13.

“The whole objective here is to get the growth rate up to three per cent- plus,” conservati­ve economist Stephen Moore, who advised Trump’s presidenti­al campaign on tax policy last year, told reporters on Friday. “Not because we want more money in the hands of millionair­es.”

 ?? OLIVIER DOULIERY, POOL / GETTY IMAGES ?? “We think we’re going to bring the individual rate to 10 per cent or 12 per cent, much lower than it is now,” U. S. President Donald Trump said Sunday. “This is a plan for the middle class and for companies so they can bring back jobs.”
OLIVIER DOULIERY, POOL / GETTY IMAGES “We think we’re going to bring the individual rate to 10 per cent or 12 per cent, much lower than it is now,” U. S. President Donald Trump said Sunday. “This is a plan for the middle class and for companies so they can bring back jobs.”

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