National Post

CIBC BEATS ESTIMATES AND RISES, TD FALLS

U.S. results make the difference

- Doug Alexander

• Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce rose the most in six months after posting fourth- quarter profit that beat analysts’ expectatio­ns, while larger rival Toronto-Dominion Bank fell as earnings disappoint­ed investors.

CIBC, Canada’s fifth- largest lender by assets, gained 2.3 per cent at 10: 06 a. m. in Toronto, the biggest intraday gain since May 29, making it the best performing Canadian bank stock on Thursday. It ended that day at $ 118.14, up 2.9 per cent. Toronto- Dominion, the nation’s largest lender, fell as much as 3.5 per cent, the most intraday since March 10. It fnished the day at $73.24, down 2.4 per cent.

“CIBC came in well ahead of expectatio­ns on the back of exceptiona­lly strong domestic retail and a better than forecast contributi­on from its new U. S. platform,” Barclays Plc analyst John Aiken said in a note. Given the negative sentiment on the stock, including short sellers, one would expect to see solid outperform­ance on CIBC as the market begins to rerate the stock, he said.

CIBC net income for the quarter ended Oct. 31 rose 25 per cent to $1.16 billion from a year earlier, the Torontobas­ed bank said in a statement.

Gains in c ommercial banking and wealth management, along with added contributi­ons from its U. S. acquisitio­ns of PrivateBan­k and Geneva Advisors LLC, helped lift earnings. Adjusted earnings, which exclude some items, were $2.81 a share, beating the $ 2.61 average estimate of 12 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

The major contributo­r to CIBC’s earnings continued to be its Canadian personal and small business banking division, which earned an adjusted quarterly profit of $ 623 million, up 11.3 per cent from a year earlier.

But i t was CIBC’s U. S. commercial banking and wealth management unit that saw a major bump in profit, with net income for the quarter of $ 107 million — more than four times the $23 million reported during the same quarter a year earlier.

That reflected a full quarter of “strong performanc­e” f rom PrivateBan­k, after CIBC purchased its parent PrivateBan­corp for roughly US$ 5 billion in June and rebranded it in September as CIBC Bank USA.

“U. S. commercial banki ng and wealth manage- ment continue to exceed our expectatio­ns ... The former PrivateBan­k showed one of its best quarters ever,” CIBC president and chief executive Victor Dodig told analysts on a conference call Thursday.

In contrast, TorontoDom­inion missed analysts’ expectatio­ns after posting an 18-per-cent jump in quarterly profit to $ 2.7 billion from a year earlier. Adjusted profit was $1.36 a share, missing the average estimate of 11 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg by two cents.

“Q4 was a great quarter for TD and a strong finish to fiscal 2017,” said TD presi- dent and chief executive Bharat Masrani on a call with analysts.

TD’s U. S. retail business earned $ 776 million, up 11 per cent in the same quarter last year. However, that was down sequential­ly 13.9 per cent from the $901 million in the third quarter of this year.

Wholesale banking, which includes TD’s capital markets and investment banking business, earned $ 231 million in net income, down from $238 million a year ago.

Provisions for credit losses, or money set aside for bad loans, for the quarter rose to $578 million compared with $548 million a year ago.

TD, meanwhile, “disappoint­ed on the back of a retracemen­t in earnings in its U. S. retail segment,” Aiken told clients.

“While far from a disaster, we are concerned that, with the strength of TD’s valuation over the past few months, the results ( Thursday) could lead to some relative weakness as expectatio­ns become reset some- what heading into 2018,” Aiken said in a separate note.

“Overall, we have a negative view on Q4 results,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Darko Mihelic said in a note on TD, citing weaker revenues and higher provision for credit losses, although efficiency was better than forecast.

Analysts may be seeing a loss of momentum from the third quarter, TorontoDom­inion CFO Riaz Ahmed said. “But from my perspectiv­e, I look at the year- overyear results and feel very good about the performanc­e.”

PRIVATEBAN­K SHOWED ONE OF ITS BEST QUARTERS EVER.

 ?? NATHAN DENETTE / THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES ?? The major contributo­r to CIBC’s earnings continued to be its Canadian personal and small business banking.
NATHAN DENETTE / THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES The major contributo­r to CIBC’s earnings continued to be its Canadian personal and small business banking.

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