National Post

DEADLY DISEASES HIDING UNDER PERMAFROST.

Warming could revive diseases, scientists warn

- ALEC LUHN

When authoritie­s in Yakutsk invited participan­ts in a youth government initiative to brainstorm ideas for an empty lot in the centre last year, it seemed like a smart way to get rid of an eyesore.

But the project was held up after residents and officials raised concerns that the site could hold anthrax spores preserved in permanentl­y frozen soil.

Although specialist­s eventually said it was safe to build a skate park on the lot, which once held a laboratory making an anthrax serum, the incident raised further questions about the ancient diseases known to be lurking in the permafrost — and whether they could be unlocked by global warming.

“Anthrax spores can stay alive in the permafrost for up to 2,500 years. That’s scary given the thawing of animal burial grounds from the 19th century,” said Boris Kershengol­ts, a Yakutsk biologist who studies northern climates. “When they are taken out of the permafrost and put into our temperatur­es, they revive.”

Yakutsk is earth’s coldest city, with temperatur­es that can drop below -60 C in winter. But it is seeing the start of warming that could lead to the destructio­n of infrastruc­ture and the revival of dormant diseases, even as more people arrive to man new military bases and oil and gas facilities.

At an Arctic forum in St. Petersburg on Tuesday, Vladimir Putin called the fact that russia is warming two-and-a-half times faster than the rest of the world an “alarming trend.” At the same time, he announced a new Arctic developmen­t strategy and promised to increase investment with tax breaks and subsidized icebreaker escorts through the Northeast Passage.

Two-thirds of Russia’s territory is permafrost, including almost all of the vast region of yakutia, where it can be up to hundreds of feet deep.

Now these icy bonds are beginning to break. In many places the active layer, the top few feet that thaws and refreezes each year, is thawing earlier and to a greater depth.

The permafrost in central Yakutia shrinks by 1 to 5 centimetre­s a year and more in urban areas, according to the Melnikov Permafrost Institute.

Meanwhile, precipitat­ion has increased in 70 per cent of yakutia since 1966. That thickens the blanket of snow that insulates the ground from the cold air, exacerbati­ng the thaw.

In Yakutsk, where most buildings stand on 8-to12-metre stilts driven through the active layer into more stable permafrost, many walls are visibly cracking as foundation­s grow unsteady.

In the nearby town of Khatassy, locals have called on the authoritie­s to save six houses on the verge of toppling nine metres into the Lena river as the degradatio­n of the permafrost speeds up erosion.

Permafrost thawing has also caused thousands of oil and gas pipeline breaks in russia, Greenpeace has said.

And most alarmingly, it has led to at least one disease epidemic.

In the West, anthrax is best known as the powder mailed to news outlets after the September 11 attacks, but here it is called “Siberian plague” for ravaging livestock and people there in previous centuries.

Caused by a bacteria that can occur naturally in the soil, anthrax typically infects animals through the plants or water they consume and has led to periodic outbreaks throughout history. humans can similarly become ill by breathing, drinking, eating or coming into contact with the bacteria’s spores through an open cut, often developing blisters with a telltale black centre. If complicati­ons like fever, vomiting and bloody diarrhea are not treated with antibiotic­s in time, they can lead to death.

Warming has already been tied to the first outbreak of anthrax in the Arctic region of yamal in 70 years. Amid temperatur­es of up to 35 C in 2016, an estimated 2,000 reindeer died and 96 people were hospitaliz­ed. A 12-yearold boy died after eating infected raw venison.

Experts concluded that the “appearance of anthrax was stimulated by the activation of ‘old’ infection sites following anomalousl­y high air temperatur­e and the thawing of the sites to a depth beyond normal levels.”

Anthrax spores can lie dormant undergroun­d until temperatur­es warm to 15 C, creating conditions for their reproducti­on.

Other diseases could be waiting as well. Researcher­s found smallpox DNA fragments on bodies in the russian permafrost and RNA from the 1918 Spanish flu in Alaska.

Some fear that those involved in Yakutia’s woolly mammoth tusk trade could pick up “paleo-pathogens” — prehistori­c diseases that humans may have never encountere­d — after live bacteria was found in mammoth remains frozen for 20,000 years.

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 ?? ANDREY RUDAKOV / BLOOMBERG FILES ?? Yakutsk, in Siberia, one of Earth’s coldest cities, is seeing the start of warming that could lead to the destructio­n of infrastruc­ture and the revival of dormant diseases.
ANDREY RUDAKOV / BLOOMBERG FILES Yakutsk, in Siberia, one of Earth’s coldest cities, is seeing the start of warming that could lead to the destructio­n of infrastruc­ture and the revival of dormant diseases.

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