National Post

HUAWEI IS AT ‘LIVE-OR-DIE MOMENT,’

U.S. sanctions cut into sales of smartphone­s

- Vlad Savov Gao Yuan and

• Huawei Technologi­es Co.’s founder Ren Zhengfei warned in an internal memo the company is at a “live- or- die moment” and advised underutili­zed employees to form “commando squads” to explore new projects. Workers who fail will have their salaries cut every few months and may lose their jobs, the billionair­e said.

Since May, Huawei has occupied the uncomforta­ble position of being both an establishe­d global technology brand and a member of the United States Entity List, which bars it from trading with American suppliers. Despite a series of 90- day reprieves, the latest of which came Monday, the uncertaint­y caused by American sanctions has already cost the company a great deal. Even if Huawei is eventually brought in from the cold, the impact of this summer’s upheaval will be widespread and painful.

The most immediate of Huawei’s losses is the internatio­nal smartphone market. The company’s internal estimates show it expects to sell 60 million fewer phones in 2019 than it would have done without the U.S. imposition­s.

In 2018, Huawei grew its mobile shipments by 34 per cent to 206 million, according to IDC data, and in the first quarter of 2019 its pace accelerate­d to a 50 per cent improvemen­t while rivals Samsung Electronic­s Co. and Apple Inc. both saw shrinking sales. By the second quarter, partially affected by U. S. sanctions, Huawei’s growth had been slashed to 8.3 per cent.

Having successful­ly penetrated the European mobile market, Huawei was on a path to becoming the world’s biggest phone vendor, however the loss of Google’s Android, the brains inside its handsets, and the related Play Store app ecosystem made Huawei devices undesirabl­e outside of China.

Ren warned in his memo that redundant staff need to find a way to make themselves useful.

“They either form a ‘ commando squad’ to explore new projects — in which case they could be promoted to company commander if they do well,” he wrote. “Or they can find jobs in the internal market. If they fail to find a role, their salaries will be cut every three months.”

The consumer division is, according to Huawei itself, its growth engine. Accounting for 45 per cent of its revenue last year, the business that sells phones and other gadgets is instrument­al to Huawei’s future health, and it’s taken a substantia­l reputation blow from all the allegation­s and sanctions levied against Huawei. That won’t be repaired anytime soon.

On the same front is Huawei’s loss of software engineerin­g time as it’s had to scramble to create a potential Android substitute. In the wake of the U. S. ban, the company switched to 24- hour days, working as many as 10,000 developers across three shifts and three offices to eliminate the need for American software and circuitry.

Huawei ended up hurrying its Harmonyos out this month, just to demonstrat­e it can code its own operating system, though it convinced very few people that it has anything approachin­g an Android alternativ­e waiting in the wings.

Less quantifiab­le but still significan­t will be the talent drain that Huawei suffers from the tarnishing of its global reputation and the overwork that’s resulted from its efforts to recover. The company has downsized its workforce in response to its new circumstan­ces.

Ren wrote that the company’s priorities are for employees to make “meritoriou­s deeds” and for management “to promote outstandin­g employees as soon as possible and infuse new blood to our organizati­on.”

In explaining the fresh extension to Huawei’s reprieve from U. S. sanctions, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said that some American telecoms are “dependent” on Huawei tech and need time to wean themselves off it. So while the Washington authoritie­s are giving Huawei a little more breathing room, the company’s situation is still very much precarious, as its founder has indicated.

Without the U. S. trade interventi­on, Huawei would be threatenin­g Samsung for the crown of the world’s most prolific smartphone vendor and it would be capitalizi­ng on its lead in 5G technology instead of counting the cost of lost customers.

The company remains in a strong position, but the dynamism of its growth and the lustre of its cutting-edge technology have both been diminished by the measures taken by the American government.

On Tuesday, U. S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said the U. S. was not sending “mixed messages” on Huawei Technologi­es and he does not believe a U.S. blacklist of the Chinese telecommun­ications giant will block a trade deal with Beijing.

“I don’t think there’s a mixed message at all,” Pompeo said in an interview with CNBC.

“The threat of having Chinese telecoms systems inside of American networks or inside of networks around the world presents an enormous risk, a national security risk,” he said.

President Donald Trump, however, indicated over the weekend there would be no extension, saying what would happen would be the “opposite.”

“We’r e actually open not to doing business with them,” Trump said on Sunday.

ACTUALLY OPEN NOT TO DOING BUS INESS WITH THEM.

 ?? Jason Alden / Bloomberg files ?? Ren Zhengfei, president of Huawei Technologi­es Co., has told employees they face salary cuts if they cannot find a way to boost the company’s business.
Jason Alden / Bloomberg files Ren Zhengfei, president of Huawei Technologi­es Co., has told employees they face salary cuts if they cannot find a way to boost the company’s business.

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