National Post

Strong signs of resilience in the U.S.

- LUCIA MUTIKANI

WASHINGTON • U. S. job growth increased by the most in 10 months in November as the health care industry boosted hiring and production workers at General Motors returned to work after a strike, the strongest sign yet the economy is in no danger of stalling.

The unemployme­nt rate ticked back down to its lowest level in nearly half a century and wage gains remained near their strongest in a decade, the Labour Department’s closely watched monthly employment report showed on Friday.

The numbers suggest consumers will keep the longest economic expansion in history, now in its 11th year, chugging along into next year when Americans will decide whether to re- elect President Donald Trump.

The report added to other fairly upbeat data on the trade deficit, housing and orders for big- ticket goods. Together, the improving data appear to validate the Federal Reserve’s decision in October to signal no further interest rate cuts are needed for now. The U. S. central bank cut rates three times this year, starting in July when it reduced borrowing costs for the first time since 2008.

U. S . central b a nk policy- makers are expected to highlight the economy’s resilience when they meet Dec. 10-11, though trade tensions continue to reverberat­e in the background.

“This was a strong report, with a solid rise in payrolls, another drop in the unemployme­nt rate, and decent growth in hourly earnings,” said Chris Low, chief economist at FHN Financial in New York. “The Fed will see this as clear vindicatio­n of their decision to stop cutting rates.”

Non- farm payrolls increased by 266,000 jobs last month, lifted by the gain of 60,200 health care workers, the most since March, and increased hiring at restaurant­s and bars, the government’s survey of establishm­ents showed. Manufactur­ing recouped all the 43,000 positions lost in October.

But colder- than- normal temperatur­es in November curbed hiring at constructi­on sites and helped to sink mining payrolls.

The l argest i ncrease in payrolls since January pushed job growth well above its monthly average of 180,000 this year. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising by 180,000 jobs in November. The economy created 41,000 more jobs in September and October than previously estimated.

Even discountin­g the roughly 46,000 GM returnees, employment growth exceeded 200,000 jobs last month. The robust payroll gains suggest the Trump administra­tion’s 17- month trade war with China, which has plunged manufactur­ing into recession, has not yet spilled over to the broader economy.

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