National Post

Trump’s tariffs cost U.S. firms $46B so far

- Andrea Shalal

• Tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump to restructur­e the United States’s top trade relationsh­ips have cost American companies US$ 46 billion since February 2018, and U. S. exports of goods hit by retaliator­y tariffs have fallen sharply, according to an analysis of Commerce Department data.

The lion’s share of the higher tariff costs, some US$ 37.3 billion, stemmed from duties on imports from China, said Washington-based consultanc­y Trade Par tnership Worldwide, which calculated cumulative tariff costs through November 2019, the latest data available.

Exports of U. S. goods hit by retaliator­y tariffs from China and other countries fell by 23 per cent in the 12 months ended November, compared with 2017, before the tariffs began, the analysis showed. Even when retaliator­y tariffs have ended, those exports haven’t bounced back, said Trade Partnershi­p Vice President Dan Anthony.

Seasonally adjusted U. S. Commerce data released on Tuesday showed the overall U. S. trade deficit narrowed to a more than three- year low in November.

The Trade Partnershi­p uses raw, not seasonally adjusted, data, which is specific enough to match tariff codes to categories of goods, and then break it down by state. It conducted the analysis for Tariffs Hurt the Heartland, which includes a coalition of more than 150 business associatio­ns and the Farmers for Free Trade coalition.

Two states that hold early primaries in the 2020 presidenti­al election, Nevada and New Hampshire, saw their exports of goods facing retaliator­y tariffs drop by nearly twice the national average, Anthony said. Nevada exports integrated circuits and New Hampshire produces computer and electronic­s products.

Trump’s trade policies have not been a key issue to date for Democrats seeking their party’s nomination.

C hina’s Vice Premier Liu He is slated to sign a Phase 1 trade deal at the White House on Jan. 15 at the White House, China’s commerce ministry said on Thursday.

As part of that deal, the United States will halve 15 per cent tariffs imposed in September 2019 on US$ 120 billion in Chinese goods, but 25 per cent tariffs on US$250 billion in Chinese goods applied earlier will remain in place.

U. S. exports of goods subject to retaliator­y tariffs in China were 26 per cent lower in the 12 months ending November than in 2017, while exports of items not facing such tariffs were 10 per cent higher than 2017 levels, Anthony said.

Total U. S. exports were higher than in 2017, but retaliator­y tariffs slowed growth in 2018 and exports have declined in 2019, he said.

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