National Post

TIM HORTONS LOYALTY PROGRAM TO BE OVERHAULED AFTER GIVEAWAYS DRAG DOWN SALES.

Year-over-year same-store sales down 4.6% in Canada and 2.5% in the rest of the world as chain retools loyalty program, returns to basics

- Jake Edmiston

T ORON T O • Tim Hortons is overhaulin­g its loyalty program after coffee and doughnut giveaways dragged down sales in 2019, compoundin­g the coffee chain’s troubles in an already-difficult year.

Sales at Tims fell US$ 150 million last year, compared to the year previous. José Cil, chief executive at Tims par

ent company Restaurant Brands Internatio­nal,

said the Tims Rewards program was partially to blame after it ballooned to 7.5 million members, all regularly redeeming a free coffee or baked good after every seventh purchase.

“We’ve attracted far more guests to our loyalty program far more quickly than we had planned,” Cil told investors on a conference call on Monday.

Later this month, Tims Rewards will pivot to a points- based loyalty system. Customers will earn 10 points for every purchase, which they can eventually use to redeem free products.

The move is an attempt to extract more value from the program, which appears to be testing the patience of franchisee­s.

The Alliance of Canadian Franchisee­s, an independen­t group of Tims store owners, recently complained that the program hasn’t provided any benefits despite the massive number of giveaways. In a list of concerns circulated to members, and obtained by the Post, the alliance said the loyalty program was impacting food cost percentage­s.

Cil noted on Monday that franchisee profitabil­ity is down, though he wouldn’t say by how much.

The new points- based format essentiall­y preserves the previous one- in- eight giveaway structure, since 70 points is good for a free coffee, tea, premium doughnut or bagel. But customers can now accumulate more points to get larger menu items: for example, a premium breakfast sandwich is 220 points.

The point is to drive sales growth by enticing customers to try new products.

Through the program, Tims will send targeted offers to members, in an attempt to convert a customer who buys only coffee into one who also buys breakfast sandwiches.

But to send those offers, Tims needs plan members to register online. Only 25 per cent of the current 7.5 million members have done that. In April, members who haven’t registered will be bumped to a worse program and only receive a reward after 12 purchases instead of seven.

In Tim Hortons’ fourth quarter, comparable sales — a common gauge for success in retail — fell by 4.3 per cent across the chain. Comparable sales were worse in Canada, down 4.6 per cent, primarily because of the loyalty program. RBI said the program contribute­d negative three percentage points to the comparable sales figure.

“You would come to Tim Hortons and you would buy eight coffees,” said Duncan Fulton, RBI’S chief corporate officer. “Now you come to Tim Hortons eight times and you buy seven coffees. Extrapolat­e that math out over the entirety of the quarter. We always knew that in the short term it was going to be an investment and an associated sales drag.”

The rollout of the new program pushed back Tims’ signature promotion, Roll Up the Rim, which would normally be underway at this time of year.

“Jus t wondering why you’re late,” asked BMO analyst Peter Sklar, noting that Mcdonald’s has already launched its $ 1 coffee offer that is often seen as a duelling promotion with Roll Up.

“The concern would be that you’re going to lose some momentum this quarter because you are late with the program.”

Last year, Tims signalled it was revamping the promotion after it failed to provide the same sales boost as in years past. But Tims has yet to reveal what the promotion will look like or when it will start.

RBI chief operating officer Joshua Kobza said the chain wants to give customers time to understand the changes to the loyalty program before announcing the new Roll Up format.

This month’s update to the loyalty program is part of RBI’S renewed push to rehabilita­te Tim Hortons, which has become its most underperfo­rming brand.

Cil has spent the past several months talking to franchisee­s and management, trying to figure out how to boost flagging sales at the coffee chain.

“I’ve made Tim Hortons in Canada my top priority,” he told investors. “We have not performed to expectatio­ns and have not properly put the strength of the Tim Hortons brand to work.”

For all of 2019, RBI saw company- wide sales grow by 8.3 per cent, buoyed by stronger performanc­es at its other two restaurant chains, Burger King and Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen. At Tim Hortons, however, sales fell to US$ 6.72 billion, from US$6.87 billion in 2018. In its fourth quarter, ended Dec. 31, Tims system-wide sales were US$ 1.68 billion compared with US$1.73 billion in 2018.

After months of focusing on the chain, Cil’s strategy involves returning Tim Hortons to its roots. As Financial Post reported last month, the plan will see Tims back away from rapidfire menu experiment­s, including the failed Beyond Meat Burger, that were aimed at winning market share at lunchtime.

I’VE MADE TIM HORTONS IN CANADA MY TOP PRIORITY.

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 ?? TIM HORTON’S ?? In Tim Hortons’ fourth quarter, comparable sales fell by 4.6 per cent, primarily because of the loyalty program.
TIM HORTON’S In Tim Hortons’ fourth quarter, comparable sales fell by 4.6 per cent, primarily because of the loyalty program.

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