National Post

New Zealand ‘effectivel­y eliminated’ virus

- Jonathan Marshall

For five weeks, New Zealanders have endured some of the toughest lockdown conditions anywhere in the world.

The rules were conveyed loudly, clearly and frequently: no socializin­g with anyone outside your household; no beach swimming or boating; no holidays; no hiking; no children’s playground­s; no weddings; no funerals; no haircuts; and no restaurant­s or even Uber Eats.

“Educationa­l” police roadblocks — and, in about 500 cases, prosecutio­n — faced anyone failing to comply with the “stay home and save lives” mantra of Jacinda Ardern, the prime minister.

Now, the country appears to be on the verge of victory.

This week, health officials announced that infection rates had fallen low enough to hope that the island nation had achieved effective eliminatio­n of the disease, and Ardern lifted some, but not all, of the restrictio­ns.

From today, New Zealanders can visit fast- food outlets, buy takeaway coffee, purchase plants from garden centres and visit some family members living outside their household.

“I feel like Sir Edmund Hillary at base camp ready to attack the mountain,” said Murray Traill, a Mcdonald’s franchise owner, as he switched on the fryer to serve his first customer.

He is expecting a busy day. Traffic controller­s have been hired and police prepared to deal with frustrated customers facing long queues for their first takeaway in weeks.

“I am not sure how much longer we could have kept going,” said Margaret Fullon, a florist in Wellington. “It is really too soon to say if the sales we are now allowed to do under the new conditions will provide enough income. But we have no other choice, and this is better than being completely closed.”

The guidelines are still stricter than most nations’ highest alert level.

Some school gates have been unlocked and classrooms disinfecte­d — but only for children of parents employed in “essential services”.

Shops can resume trading, but customers must phone ahead or go online to make orders, and collect goods from pavements outside the store, or have them couriered.

Swimming at local beaches is allowed, but only as long as it’s done near the shoreline, and building and constructi­on labourers can only work if they can keep apart from colleagues.

Most importantl­y, families may now hold funerals to bury their loved ones — provided they are attended by no more than 10 people.

Initial modelling for the epidemic in New Zealand was dire. Prediction­s included 14,000 fatalities, twothirds of the population infected and up to 32,000 needing hospital care, 4,000 potentiall­y requiring ventilator­s.

But the country went into the crisis with several advantages. It has a well developed health service, a population of just five million, and a government that had already won the confidence of the public following its handling of the 2019 terrorist attack in Christchur­ch, on the east coast of the South Island, and the volcanic eruption at White Island, off of the northeaste­r tip of the North Island.

Its geographic isolation proved to be an unexpected blessing.

Knowing the concept of isolation was woven into the very fabric of Kiwi life, culture and identity, Ardern moved quickly to a total lockdown long before many larger nations.

It wasn’t without moments of panic. When Ardern imposed the level four lockdown, Kiwis bought enough toilet paper to last several years and alcohol sales went up 1,800 per cent. But by and large people embraced the restrictio­ns.

New Zealand has recorded just 19 deaths and 1,469 cases of COVID-19, of which 1,180 have since recovered.

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