National Post

CHINA STATISM STRATEGY CREEPS IN.

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As Canadians struggle to wrap their isolated economic heads around the $300-billion exploding Canadian COVID-19 fiscal imbalance, along comes a new report from the Public Policy Forum that asks Canadian policy-makers to launch a massive post-pandemic state-run industrial strategy program.

Released this week, “A Challenge-driven Industrial Strategy for Canada” is the second in the think-tank’s New North Star series spearheade­d by former economic advisers Sean Speer (Conservati­ve) and Robert Asselin (Liberal), with help from Royce Mendes (bank economist).

Here’s a one-sentence summation of the “challenge-driven” industrial strategy proposal outlined in the report: The Canadian and global economies have performed magnificen­tly through most of the past four decades of trade liberaliza­tion, globalizat­ion and market-driven growth, therefore it is now time to abandon those successful policies and adopt a new economic model based on the top- down economic policies imposed by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in China.

In others words, Canada should now import from China what is fast becoming one of China’s biggest exports: state economic planning and control. According to the Speer/ Asselin/mendes report, “The Chinese government has been ahead of the United States in particular and Western countries in general in terms of implementi­ng a deliberate industrial strategy in order to develop comparativ­e advantages in the intangible­s economy. It has worked.”

China’s rise, they say, is due to the Communist Party’s adoption of a state- driven “alternativ­e to democratic capitalism.” China’s rise is allegedly due to its ability to use state planning to dominate the new global paradigm that’s taking shape around the “intangible­s economy.”

No space here to get into the nature of the intangible­s economy, except to say that apparently the world is shifting away from a tangible goods- producing model and toward a new technology- driven model in which corporatio­ns produce thoughts and software and data rather than things. As a result, corporatio­ns today tend to be valued more on the basis of their technology than their investment in plant and equipment.

But even if one accepts that the market economy has fostered a transition to more intangible­s and fewer tangibles, it does not necessaril­y follow that a new Chinese Communist- style national economic strategy is needed. Which may explain why the Speer/asselin/mendes paper depends heavily on references to a long line of anti-free-market economic thinkers to support their conclusion­s.

First they go after the free-market policies of the past 40 years, dropping the names of Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher ( the Reagan-thatcher “ethos”). They dismiss the 1985 Canadian Royal Commission on economic growth headed by former Liberal finance minister Donald Macdonald as a piece of antiquaria­n economic thought. The Macdonald commission supported privatizat­ions, free markets and free trade. Canada thrived. But while the Macdonald plan “served Canada well” for three decades, say Speer et al., 2020 is a different time that requires dismissing all that neo-liberal Milton Friedmanis­m.

Throughout the Speer/asselin/ Mendes paper lie references to a slew of anti- globalizat­ion books, commentari­es and assessment­s that are part of the burbling leftist anti- capitalism that is sweeping the academic and media world. Cited authoritie­s include The Entreprene­urial State by Mariana Mazzucato and ( indirectly) The Corruption of Capitalism by Guy Standing, which portrays Goldman Sachs, Uber and just about any owner of assets as part of a “rentier capitalism” that oppresses workers. Standing’s work has been championed by Martin Wolf at the Financial Times, which has recently become a bastion of anti-capitalism.

It turns out that the basis for much of the Speer/asselin/ Mendes paper has at least one foot dangling in the neo-marxist side of the great ideologica­l divide over the role of government in the economy — inequality is growing, the rich are getting richer, and the financial/big-tech economy is rigged.

To overcome all this alleged failure of free market, free trade and globalizat­ion policies ( and despite the massive 40 years achievemen­t of such policies) Speer et al. provide a sketchy outline of how their new “challenge-driven industrial strategy” would function in practice.

First we need some typical consultanc­y advocacy gobbledygo­ok to get the strategy ball rolling. “An industrial strategy would focus on a mix of policies, including financing research and developmen­t, taxation, innovation, intellectu­al property, procuremen­t, regulatory and human capital, to build comparativ­e advantages in key parts of global supply chains. It is about creating a coherent strategy to build domestic productive capacity in the new sources of wealth, opportunit­y, and in turn strategic relevance in the new geoeconomi­c environmen­t.”

Got that?

As to which key sectors to target, the Speer/asselin/ Mendes paper provides few suggestion­s. It rejects the idea of “picking winners” and instead proposes that state planners dedicate themselves to spurring “domestic technologi­es and commercial applicatio­ns” in three key areas: climate change, smart cities and an aging population, with maybe some military work to create a kind of U. S.- style military- industrial complex.

The COVID-19 pandemic story has been patched into the paper, including via two footnote references to a Foreign Policy magazine survey of experts who are said to agree that the pandemic “will change the world forever,” therefore supporting the need for a new industrial strategy.

One of those foreign policy thinkers, however, is Stephen M. Walt at Harvard University. He said the pandemic will cause a further retreat from globalizat­ion and increase the power of national government­s. Such moves “will create a world that is less open, less prosperous, and less free.”

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