National Post

READ THIS BOOK BY A FORMER OBAMA OFFICIAL AND THEN FORGET CLIMATE PANIC.

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The floods of catastroph­ic projection­s and raging wildfires of extreme policy initiative­s must, at some point in the evolution of humankind, come to an end. Not today, that’s certain, as U.S. President Joe Biden’s virtual climate summit gives global politician­s a platform to spread additional fear and even more extreme policies to rid the world of carbon emissions.

Biden lit the latest wildfire in his opening statement: “This is a moral imperative. An economic imperative. A moment of peril, but also a moment of extraordin­ary possibilit­ies.” To fight the peril, Biden vowed to cut U.S. carbon emissions to between 50 and 52 per cent below 2005 levels by 2030.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau joined the escalation campaign with a new, radical plan to cut Canada’s carbons emissions to 40 to 45 per cent below 2005 levels by 2030, the aim being to hit the Paris Agreement’s net-zero emissions target by 2050.

To hype these plans, Biden and Trudeau assert that such man-made calamities as floods and fires are on the rise, with greater devastatio­n to come. The latest Liberal budget talks about “devastatin­g deluges” hitting Canada along with “more frequent and more severe” wildfires.

None of this is true in Canada and a new, devastatin­g critique of climate science, politics and policy suggests the alarmist claims about floods and fires are open to serious question around the world. So, too, is most of the official alarmism that surrounds global climate policy-making. In a new climate book, Unsettled: What climate science tells us, what it doesn’t, and why it matters, U.S. physicist Steven E. Koonin demolishes most of the foundation­s for today’s global preoccupat­ion with the idea that carbon-driven climate is an existentia­l threat to humankind.

Also cut down by Koonin are the proposals floating around the Biden summit that aim to reconstruc­t the world economy around the speculativ­e idea that fossil fuels can be replaced. As the University of Ottawa’s Ian Clark noted on this page the other day, “Net-zero won’t cure the climate but it may kill Canada.”

Koonin, a former undersecre­tary for science under the Obama administra­tion in the U.S. department of energy, joins other authors to challenge the “broken science” of climate change. Bjorn Lomborg’s False Alarm — How Climate Change Panic Costs Us Trillions, Hurts the Poor, and Fails to Fix the Planet, takes on many of the same issues.

Taken together, Unsettled and False Alarm have the power potential to at least begin to slow — and perhaps even reverse — the relentless onslaught of extremist claims and policies.

In Unsettled, Koonin moves systematic­ally and coherently through the rocky origins of what he calls “The Science.” The Science is Koonin’s name for the official accepted consensus science as it is promoted by activists and scientists who seem to believe that the message of impending disaster is more important than the actual science. Koonin cites the well-known line from Timothy Wirth, president of the UN Foundation. “We’ve got to ride this global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing in terms of economic and environmen­tal policy.”

The Science, as Koonin says, is unsettled, a point he scores time and again as he describes the uncertaint­ies and complexiti­es — and the often sheer improbabil­ities — of computer-driven climate models. With pointed graphs Koonin moves in clear and understand­able prose through some of the toughest aspects of climate science, how the official UN climate models are flawed and limited in scope — a fact known to many but ignored in the ongoing drive to push policy over science.

One aspect of Koonin’s overview should have consequenc­es to the media and journalist­s, who appear in Unsettled like bands of wild dogs chasing The Science while ignoring — perhaps deliberate­ly and consciousl­y — the underlying facts and uncertaint­ies.

Koonin gets into this subject in a chapter titled “Who broke ‘The Science’ and Why.” Can it really be, he asks, “that the multiplici­ty of stakeholde­rs in climate matters — scientists, scientific institutio­ns, activists and NGOS, the media, politician­s — are all contributi­ng to misinforma­tion in the service of persuasion?”

The answer is yes, with journalist­s at the top of the list. “As I interact with journalist­s,” writes Koonin, “I realize that, for some, ‘climate change’ has become a cause and a mission — to save the world from destructio­n by humans — so that packing alarm into whatever the story is becomes the ‘right’ thing to do, even an obligation.” This tendency, he adds, “has been compounded by the rise of a new job category: ‘climate reporters.’ Their mission is largely predetermi­ned; if they don’t have a narrative of doom to report, they won’t get into the paper (whether digital or print) or on the air.”

Looking forward, Koonin believes that climate change is a reality, global temperatur­es have risen one degree Celsius over the past century and could rise another degree by 2100. Instead of aiming to tear down the carbon economy that billions of the world’s people will increasing­ly depend on, the real option is to look at adaptation.

First, though, we need to fix the broken science through honest debate. Then comes the realizatio­n that net zero global emissions in 30 or 50 years is unrealisti­c. And finally there is adaptation. Humankind has adapted to innumerabl­e climate and natural — not to mention unnatural — challenges over centuries. Koonin’s message: We can do it again without overthrowi­ng the economic order.

FORMER OBAMA AIDE BLASTS POLITICIAN­S, MEDIA AND ‘BROKEN SCIENCE.’

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