National Post

A CLIMATE OF FEAR

POLITICIAN­S OF ALL STRIPES AFRAID TO TAKE A MODERATE APPROACH TO ENVIRONMEN­T

- CONRAD BLACK

ALARMIST PREDICTION­S HAVE BEEN RINGING IN THE EARDRUMS OF ALL OF US FOR DECADES. — BLACK

CANADA’S CARBON FOOTPRINT IS NOT MATERIAL TO THE WORLD AS A WHOLE.

Upon being re-elected prime minister in 2019, albeit with a minority of MPS and fewer votes than his chief opponent, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said that it was time to tackle “our greatest problem: climate change.” It is routinely and endlessly bandied about by most of our politician­s and practicall­y all of our media that climate change is, in the secondmost tedious and toe-curling platitude in the current political lexicon (after “systemic racism”), “an existentia­l threat” — i.e., our existence as human beings is threatened by climate change. Yet there is a great deal of learned dissent from that conclusion, and even those reports most frequently cited as evidence that the end is nigh if we don’t pull up our socks and, in the case of Canada, shut down Alberta, if read carefully, do not justify the terrifying headlines that the media normally attaches to them.

These alarmist prediction­s have been ringing in the eardrums of all of us for decades. For one of the weekly internet columns I write in the United States, I recently recited a few of the more memorable of these jeremiads, including from Al Gore, the centi-millionair­e producer of the “settled science” of the Inconvenie­nt Truth, which hasn’t happened yet, and the Prince of Wales, who has been advising us for some time to live under thatch and travel in carpools or on bicycles. At one point, former British prime minister Tony Blair advised us that we only had a few months to take the measures necessary to avoid our self-inflicted doom. As I’ve written before, what really happened was that after their overwhelmi­ng defeat in the Cold War, the intellectu­al and faddish appendages of the internatio­nal left, severed from the defunct torso of the Soviet Union, and with unsuspecte­d talents of improvisat­ion, crowded onto the bandwagon that had been rolled determined­ly forward by the authentic conservati­onists and naturalist­s (as well as the pacifistic kooks), who were rightly complainin­g about pollution levels and commendabl­y extolling the welfare of wildlife.

This movement had begun unexceptio­nably enough: everyone is in favour of the environmen­t and no sane person likes pollution. And it was assisted in a multiplici­ty of unforeseea­ble ways, such as by U.S. President Richard Nixon, who founded the Environmen­tal Protection Agency and 642 national parks because his parents, in his youth, were too poor to afford real vacations, so they made extensive use of state and national parks. (This is among his many presidenti­al munificenc­e for which his media enemies have given him practicall­y no credit.)

In Canada, the Progressiv­e Conservati­ve party under Brian Mulroney had an enviable record in environmen­tal matters, for which the former prime minister has been justly recognized. But once the internatio­nal left had shouldered the birdwatche­rs and lepidopter­ists aside and mounted their full flank attack on capitalism from this new angle, focusing on the fossil fuel industry, it was going to be a real problem for the Conservati­ve party to hold its support in Alberta and Saskatchew­an, while defending itself from the rising crescendo of deindustri­alization set up in the rest of the country, in obedience to the fads of the democratic world. It became like a meeting of born-again evangelica­ls or renouncers of bad habits like alcohol: one country after another required ever-cleaner emissions standards from its automobile manufactur­ers or abandoned nuclear energy, not because it wasn’t efficient or had damaged the environmen­t, but because if there ever were a problem, it would be a serious one. Thus has Germany, Europe’s greatest power since it was unified by Bismarck 150 years ago, transforme­d itself into an energy vassal of the decrepit, truncated state of Russia, through natural gas imports and an abandoning of nuclear energy.

Those who guided Ontario through an insanely costly pursuit of so-called “sustainabl­e energy” and almost drove it into the status of a have-not province, departed the provincial Liberals shortly before they sank and took over the wheel house of the federal Liberals and began pursuing essentiall­y the same environmen­tal policy. Prime Minister Stephen Harper, an Alberta MP, managed this issue capably, especially when John Baird was environmen­t minister. They spoke of a “Canadian solution,” and backed judiciousl­y away from the insane Kyoto Protocol, under which all economical­ly advanced countries were to pay Danegeld to underdevel­oped countries — including to China, the chief polluter of the world and ever-present economic threat to the West — in huge dollops of cash as a penalty for developing our economies and thus supposedly endangerin­g the planet. China made itself the head of the claimant countries, known as the G77, despite being the chief wrongdoer.

It is demeaning to see Conservati­ve Leader Erin O’toole claim that “the debate is over” about fossil fuel use generating environmen­tal damage, and then losing a vote on the importance of this issue to his party’s membership. Anyone who has been alive for the last 50 years can see that the climate is not changing very quickly. This week, the Obama administra­tion’s undersecre­tary of energy for science, Steven Koonin, published his book, Unsettled: What Climate Science Tells Us, What It Doesn’t, and Why It Matters. This follows such publicatio­ns as former British chancellor Nigel Lawson’s An Appeal to Reason: A Cool Look at Global Warming, Rupert Darwall’s Green Tyranny and Bjorn Lomborg’s False Alarm. As Koonin points out, in their latest assessment­s of climate science, both the United Nations and the U.S. government make the points that humans had no detectable impact on hurricanes over the last century, the Greenland ice sheet isn’t shrinking any more rapidly now than it was 80 years ago and the net economic impact of manmade global warming will be minimal, at least to the end of this century. Add to this the fact that Canada’s carbon footprint is not material to the world as a whole, and that the leading climatic offenders, China and India, are not altering their high-pollution economic growth policies and consider the entire subject to be nonsense and hypocrisy. A carbon tax is just a tax increase falsely masqueradi­ng as planetary salvation.

It would be too much of a shock to our over-brainwashe­d political psyche for the Conservati­ve Party of Canada to become a climate denier, and indeed that position is not justifiabl­e. But it is certainly the role, the duty and a politicall­y advantageo­us course for the official Opposition to embrace the main body of climate science that calls for a prudent carbon emissions policy and much more comprehens­ive research until the likely extent and effects of climate change are known. This is the policy of reason and of settled science. And it is the policy that will reconcile fair treatment of the persecuted energy and pipeline industries that must be encouraged as the great generators of national wealth they are, with climate prudence. This is what responsibl­e opposition­s do, and this is how they win elections.

 ?? ASHLEY FRASER / NATIONAL POST FILES ?? Greenpeace activists were on Parliament Hill in 2007 to ask then prime minister Stephen Harper whether his government would meet Canada’s commitment­s under the Kyoto Protocol.
ASHLEY FRASER / NATIONAL POST FILES Greenpeace activists were on Parliament Hill in 2007 to ask then prime minister Stephen Harper whether his government would meet Canada’s commitment­s under the Kyoto Protocol.
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