Ontario budget deficit ballooning to $9.8B next year
Government red ink to almost double
THE RUSSIAN DIVORCE, WHICH WAS OBTAINED LESS THAN TWO MONTHS AFTER SEPARATION, GIVES (THE HUSBAND) A BACK DOOR WITH WHICH TO ESCAPE HIS LEGAL RESPONSIBILITIES. — JUSTICE JANA STEELE OF THE ONTARIO SUPERIOR COURT OF JUSTICE
• Ontario is delaying its path to balance as lethargic economic growth drags the province’s books further into the red, with a $9.8-billion budget deficit projected for the coming fiscal year.
Finance Minister Peter Bethlenfalvy is acknowledging the challenging economic times, saying life has rarely been this expensive, but the budget he is presenting contains few new affordability measures.
“The pressure of managing a government budget pales in comparison to the pressures many families are facing as they manage their family budget in a time when everything is costing more,” Bethlenfalvy told the legislature.
“These are the real challenges and real problems of real life and real people, of making rent, of paying the bills, of affording groceries. And the best way to help people is by getting the big decisions right. Making smart investments. Watching the expense line. And most of all, keeping costs on people low.”
The deficit for 2024-25 is almost double what the province projected in the fall economic update, which had also eyed a return to surplus the following year — but Bethlenfalvy now says that surplus will not happen until 2026-27.
The $214.5-billion budget forecasts real GDP growth of just 0.3 per cent in 2024, and Bethlenfalvy says he has made a choice to increase the deficit rather than cutting spending or raising taxes or fees for Ontarians.
“We are going to follow through on a plan that is working — knowing that the higher deficits, compared to what we projected last year, will be time limited while the return on investment will be felt for decades,” he said.
New money in the budget includes an additional $2 billion over three years for home and community care, a $200-million community sport and recreation infrastructure fund and more money for autism therapies.
The Progressive Conservative government is also putting $100 million more into its Skills Development Fund for increasing the numbers of skilled trades professionals.
As well, the province is planning auto insurance reforms, putting money toward four police helicopters for Greater Toronto Area forces, and supporting a new York University medical school focused on training family doctors, and increasing the eligibility threshold for a program that helps families with the cost of electricity.
NDP Leader Marit Stiles said there are many gaps in the budget, which she said doesn’t put enough toward affordable housing or boosting primary health care.
“I see nothing here that’s going to support Ontarians in their day-to-day lives,” she said.
In addition to the sluggish economy, the budget document also cites higher public sector salaries, increased infrastructure spending and gas tax relief as reasons for the deficit figures.
Bethlenfalvy and Premier Doug Ford announced earlier this week that a 5.7-cent per litre cut to the gas tax first introduced in 2022 that had been set to expire in June will now continue to the end of the year. The budget shows that move is costing the treasury $620 million.
The Canadian Federation of Independent Business said that relief is welcome, but more is needed.
“We appreciate the extension to the fuel and gas tax cuts,” said Julie Kwiecinski, CFIB director of Ontario affairs. However, she said small businesses were hoping for “some more direct measures to assist them,” such as a lower tax rate.
The government is spending billions more on broader public sector compensation, particularly in health and education, after its wage restraint law was declared unconstitutional last month. The province has mostly relied on large, multibillion-dollar contingency funds to pay for retroactive payments it has had to make, but going forward the contingency fund is set at a more standard level of $1.5 billion.
Ontario’s revenues have also deteriorated since the last budget, Tuesday’s document reports, saying they have decreased by $7.3 billion for the upcoming fiscal year, due to both slower growth and lower tax assessment information from the federal government.
As well, a recent federal announcement of a two-year cap on international student study permits will negatively affect the province’s books since colleges’ finances are consolidated into the province’s financial statements.
Colleges have increasingly relied on the much higher tuition fees paid by international students.
The budget shows the province’s net debt rising above $439 billion in the upcoming year.