Liberals versus fiscal doom
They could avoid this dark fate — but won’t
The budgeting process in the past was a foreign country; they did things differently back then.
In my memory at least, Canada’s Department of Finance pushed back against Liberal and Conservative governments. And if budgets produced surprises, they were generally on the positive side: more revenue or lower expenses than had been laid down in what was considered a hallowed tablet of stone.
No longer. A presentation on the upcoming budget by the Business Council of Canada included a table that showed the various spending projections that appeared in Budget 2022, the fall economic statement of 2022 and the fall economic statement of 2023.
For the fiscal year 202324, the respective documents projected expenditure of $436.7 billion (Budget 2022), $493.1 billion (FES 2022) and $496.3 billion (FES 2023) — a $59.7 billion increase in less than 18 months.
As the three documents looked further out to 2026-27, that differential increased to $93 billion — presumably because more recent economic plans included spending Ottawa couldn’t afford but included anyway, to be paid for by some future government. Spending 20 per cent more than you said you were going to 18 months previously is not a small miss. It indicates a government afflicted by fiscal incontinence.
The inescapable conclusion is that the numbers in any budget document presented by this government cannot be believed and the credibility of the venerable Department of Finance is in tatters.
In the last fall update, Chrystia Freeland, the finance minister, introduced three new fiscal guardrails: that the government will hold to the $40.1-billion deficit announced in Budget 2023; that it will lower the debt-to-gdp ratio next year, relative to the 2023 fall update, and keep it on a declining track; and that it will keep deficits below one per cent of GDP in 2026-27 and in future years.
Who doubts that the budget document will say the government is on track to fulfil all those obligations? Not me.
However, 853 Californians died by MAID in 2022, compared to 13,241 in Canada.
In 2022, MAID accounted for 4.1 per cent of all deaths in Canada, compared to 0.27 per cent of all deaths in California.
In the Netherlands and Belgium, which legalized assisted suicide 22 years ago, 5.1 per cent of Dutch citizens and 2.5 per cent of Belgians die by assisted suicide. While Canada’s overall rate remains lower than those two nations, British Columbia and Quebec have rates, respectively, of 5.5 per cent and 6.6 per cent, outpacing the assisted-suicide pioneers.
The authors of the new study suggest that if there is an upper limit in euthanasia deaths it is not going to max out at five per cent of all deaths.
At this point, the study suggests, 25 per cent of Canadians would choose MAID if they faced a long and painful death from a disease like cancer. This suggests that Canada’s upper limit could be 10.5 per cent of all annual deaths.
In the new study, researchers tested 10 hypotheses that might explain the 15-fold difference in MAID deaths between Canada and California — what factors might be driving Canada’s strikingly higher MAID uptake, “or, conversely, preventing Californians from taking advantage of a legal route towards relieving unnecessary suffering,” said co-author Peter Reiner, professor emeritus of neuroscience and neuroethics at the University of British Columbia.
Reiner and co-author Adrian Byram, who is a member of the advocacy group End of Life Choices California, conducted online surveys of 556 adults aged 60 and older — the age group that accounts for most MAID requests — 228 each in California and Canada (excluding Quebec).
Only 25 per cent of Californians said they were aware that MAID was legally available as an option if they had a terminal illness such as advanced cancer, compared to 67 per cent of Canadians who were aware “that MAID was an option were such a calamity to befall them,” Reiner said in an email to the National Post.
The data “represent rather strong evidence” that greater public awareness of MAID is an important, if not the driving factor, behind the differing rates of assisted suicide, Reinder said.
Other “stand-out” factors included the number of MAID practitioners in Canada and higher “institutional support.” Canada has six times the number of MAID practitioners per capita — 5.2 practitioners per 100,000 people versus 0.87 per 100,000 in California.
“In Canada, every provincial and regional public health authority in Canada makes accessing MAID straightforward,” the authors wrote.
Information is readily available on websites, and almost all provide staff to help patients navigate the process. No such assistance exists in California, they said.
The researchers, though, found no differences in the moral acceptance of MAID. Two-thirds or more of both Canadians and Californians felt MAID was morally acceptable.
Canada recently expanded access to MAID by removing the requirement for a “reasonably foreseeable death,” such as a diagnosis of terminal cancer. Now, Canadians can receive MAID for a ”grievous and irremediable” condition, even when natural death isn’t imminent.
But the authors said that doesn’t account for the discrepancy, since 96.5 per cent of MAID procedures in Canada in 2022 still relied upon the reasonably foreseeable death criterion.
California requires that death be expected within six months, though “both jurisdictions recognize that any such prognosis is fraught with uncertainty,” the authors wrote.
Canada, the authors said, also has more explicit punishment for failure to comply with safeguards or reporting standards than California.
Critics have suggested that lax oversight could contribute to higher rate of MAID deaths in Canada.
“California is silent on the matter,” Reiner said.
In the Calgary case now before the courts, the father of a 27-year-old woman approved for MAID argues his daughter has been misdiagnosed with physical ailments that are psychological, and therefore ineligible under current law.
Trudo Lemmens, a University of Toronto professor of law and ethics, has argued that MAID is being promoted as a form of therapy, “even for only remotely disease-related suffering.”
“Canadian patients are much more frequently confronted with offers of MAID and with a physician providing it as a form of care,” Lemmens said in an email.
Yet Lemmens is also not convinced that “it’s all about public awareness,” because Canada’s rate of MAID deaths is higher than in jurisdictions with greater public awareness, as it has been an option for decades.
If Canada’s MAID deaths grow to one in 10 deaths, Canada will have “failed miserably to protect the vulnerable,” said Daryl Pullman, a professor of bioethics at Memorial University.
“Death is now ‘therapy’ in Canada and the MAID regime is the most efficient part of the Canadian healthcare system,” Pullman said. “Far from celebrating this, as these authors appear to do, we should be revisiting how we got things so terribly wrong in this space and what needs to be done to fix it.”