Endowments avoid cryptocurrency

Bitcoin, the first widely used and largest digital currency, is proving to be among the most intriguing — and terrifying — asset classes. In the span of just nine months, it has reached a record high of almost US$20,000 only to plummet to roughly half that. Yet that still leaves the notoriously volatile currency up more than 300 per cent since July, the start of the fiscal year for most universities. Which explains why NEPC doesn’t recommend cryptocurrencies to institutional clients.

“There are still just so many questions surrounding volatility, liquidity and regulation,” Perry said. “We take a strong view against its representation in our clients’ portfolios.”

Aside from avoiding digital currencies, 40 per cent of survey respondents said they planned to dump their domestic equity holdings in part because they don’t expect the bull market to continue its run.

The NEPC expects U.S. stocks to gain 6 per cent annually over the next five years. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up about 14 per cent since July 1. That comes after a particularly lucrative fiscal 2017, when U.S. stocks outperformed private equity and hedge funds, raising questions as to why endowments and foundations were paying high fees for low returns.

Endowments and foundations are looking abroad for returns. Almost half of the business officers surveyed by NEPC said they thought emerging market stocks would produce the highest returns in 2018. About a quarter said they were increasing allocations to the asset class, while 68 per cent said their positions would remain unchanged. On average, among the endowments and foundation polled, business officers allocated about 6 per cent to emerging markets.

The NEPC survey, conducted last month, is based on interviews with 47 business officers at U.S. endowment and foundations.