National Post (National Edition)

MARKETS ROAR BACK TO LIFE ON HOPES OF STIMULUS.

ITALY VIRUS EASES

- RoSS marowitS

TORONTO stock markets roared back to life Tuesday on hopes of a massive U.S. government stimulus package and positive data from Italy regarding the novel coronaviru­s outbreak.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 1,342.59 points or almost 12 per cent at 12,571.08.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average enjoyed its largest daily gain since 1933 by rising 2,112.98 points or 11.3 per cent at 20,704.91. The S&P 500 index was up 209.93 points at 2,447.33, while the Nasdaq composite was up 557.18 points at 7,417.86.

The steep climbs came after some volatile days of trading that has seen the TSX lose about 40 per cent of its value since posting record highs about a month ago.

“You’ve got to put this in context. We’ve had some horrific days preceding today,” said Natalie Taylor, a portfolio manager with CIBC.

After two failed attempts to reach a US$2-trillion stimulus package, the U.S. Congress appears to be getting close to reaching a deal. That’s on top of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates a number of times and agreeing Monday to unlimited quantitati­ve easing.

“I think that there’s some view that we’ve had the start of a capitulati­on in the market,” she said, referring to a final purge of quality names that’s typical of the latter stages of a sell-off.

Adding to hopes are signs that the number of new confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths is starting to taper off in Italy, pointing to a positive outlook for North America.

“I think that that is a positive given the efforts that have been put into trying to contain population­s and quarantine and social distance that maybe there’s a glimmer of hope that we’re closer to the end and there’s a road map for other jurisdicti­ons.”

However, Taylor is loath to call the bottom given the number of times markets have fallen after posting a rebound.

“So I’m not going to speculate as to whether we would hit the bottom or what tomorrow is going to look like. I just know, after a number of consecutiv­e days of selloff, it’s not unusual to have a strong interim rebound or a bear market rally.”

Even if there’s a control of the number of coronaviru­s cases, the longer-term implicatio­ns remain serious as most economists are calling for a recession.

“I think that we’re going to see some longer-term volatility and maybe more downside in the near term before we start that road to recovery.”

The Canadian dollar traded for US69.01 cents compared with an average of 69.05 cents on Monday.

All 11 major sectors on the TSX closed substantia­lly higher, led by consumer discretion­ary, financials, materials, utilities and energy.

Consumer discretion­ary climbed 13.6 per cent as Magna Internatio­nal Inc. jumped nearly 20 per cent.

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