National Post (National Edition)

Optimism overblown

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Re: Banks are flush and that's good, Philip Cross, FP Jan. 8

Philip Cross mentions that business saving was very little in the first three quarters of 2020, but that household saving over this period amounted to about $687 billion, an abnormally high amount, which other commentato­rs have remarked means a lot of pent-up consumer demand to spill out once the lockdowns end. However, over the same three quarters of 2020, the federal and provincial government­s have engaged in about $500 billion of deficit spending on people's behalf. Although this spending on Canadians was directed by government, rather than by individual taxpayers, in terms of Canadian households it has created a liability for them, just as if they had run up their personally directed spending with their own credit cards. Therefore, net household saving is effectivel­y much less than the figure Philip Cross indicates, and, as well, the optimism of pent-up household seems somewhat overblown.

Alex MacMillan, Kingston, Ont.

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