National Post (National Edition)

Canada's COVID Follies

- GWYN MORGAN Financial Post Gwyn Morgan is a retired business leader who has been a director of five global corporatio­ns.

History will record that multiple vaccine breakthrou­ghs ended the COVID-19 pandemic. But it will also show that ill-considered responses by our federal and provincial government­s left highly damaging long-term legacies. Here's a list of what I call the COVID Follies.

Destructio­n of the Canadian aviation industry: Canada's airlines have been burning through their dwindling cash since the first wave of lockdowns. A major deterrent to attracting passengers has been the two-week quarantine requiremen­t, which turns a two-week vacation into a month off the job. The airline industry has long been calling for rapid arrival testing to limit quarantine periods. Many other countries have implemente­d this approach, including Finland, where arriving passengers get rapid testing followed by a second test a few days later. If both are negative, they can snap out of quarantine. A similar program is being offered at the Calgary airport on a pilot basis. Instead of extending that, the federal government announced a requiremen­t that passengers get tested before they board their returning flight, with no relief from the two-week quarantine. And if the flight originates at a location where certified pre-flight testing is unavailabl­e, passengers must spend that two-week quarantine locked in some federal facility, rather than at home.

And it gets even worse. Airlines were hoping that the arrival of winter would bring rising bookings from passengers wanting respite from our Canadian winter. Then came the edict to avoid “non-essential” travel, setting off a media and political firestorm labelling sun-seeking travellers as careless rule-breaking pariahs.

The aviation industry now faces a doomsday situation: pre-return flight testing, a 14-day quarantine, possibly at a government “hotel,” all made even worse by an edict against “non-essential” travel. As usual, it is taxpayers who will be on the hook for these senseless government actions. The Trudeau government was already planning a multibilli­on-dollar bailout of the airline industry. Now that those ill-conceived measures have further hindered airlines' ability to generate passenger revenue, the bailout will need to be even larger, taking our country yet another step closer to financial oblivion.

Bankruptin­g small business owners while big boxes boom: Here come those fearsome words “non-essential” again. COVID-19 had already forced many small-business owners to shut down. Those still in business, depending on Christmas sales to help them survive, prepared carefully to keep shoppers safe from the virus. Then, just weeks before Christmas, big government teamed up with big-box stores to strike a fatal blow. Quebec, Ontario and Manitoba banned “non-essential” shopping. Big-box stores, such as Walmart and Costco, which sell many fewer groceries than potential Christmas gifts, were allowed to remain open. With bigbox stores as their remaining choice, anxious shoppers formed long lineups outside before rushing inside to find coveted items ahead of others — a COVID-spreading nightmare.

Meanwhile, many owners of small shops who have spent much of their lives building their businesses have lost everything. As the inestimabl­e Rex Murphy wrote in a recent column in this newspaper, “a small shop selling knick-knacks is too risky, but a big box is perfectly fine.”

Wasteful income support programs: Each morning from March 12 to June 30, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made COVID-19 support program announceme­nts that totalled $170 billion, by far the biggest and fastest expenditur­e commitment­s in Canadian history. This “announce-it-now-fix-itlater” approach was understand­able when much of the economy was shut down virtually overnight. But the flaws in the programs were not fixed later, even after they became clear. One of the most serious flaws is that a lot of the money went to those who didn't need it. A study by the Fraser Institute found that, of four programs totalling $82 billion, over $22 billion went to making recipients better off than before the pandemic. An even more serious flaw is that the Canada Emergency Response Benefit (CERB) actually paid people not to work, leaving businesses struggling to find workers needed to reignite the economy. This could have been prevented by providing a sliding-scale incentive to return to work.

Fighting back against the Follies: Here's what you can do to fight back: Take that winter vacation if you can, helping to keep tens of thousands of airline and airport workers employed. Shop local, and soon! Shun those who avoid returning to work in favour of collecting CERB and other government support payments. Above all follow sensible public health guidelines, but keep your brain switched on to detect such hard-to-define words as “non-essential” that may have harmful unintended consequenc­es.

 ?? NATHAN DENETTE / THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES ?? The aviation industry faces a “doomsday situation” writes Gwyn Morgan, due to government-imposed quarantine responses to the COVID-19 pandemic.
NATHAN DENETTE / THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES The aviation industry faces a “doomsday situation” writes Gwyn Morgan, due to government-imposed quarantine responses to the COVID-19 pandemic.

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