National Post (National Edition)

Are lockdowns worth it?

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Re: More deficit, more dead, Tristin Hopper, Feb. 10

About 300,000 people die in Canada every year — roughly 200,000 from illness and accidents and 100,000 from old age. Canada has lost more than 20,000 to COVID-19, which could rise to 40,000. Thus, on a oneevent basis, annual Canadian deaths will likely increase by 13 per cent due to COVID.

At 40,000 deaths, Canada's death rate is relatively low and benefits partially from tight regulation­s — lockdowns, school closures, mask wearing, safe spacing, etc. But how would the population behave without these regulatory restrictio­ns? We are an intelligen­t and informed nation and without regulatory restrictio­ns, the population would surely adopt its own individual protection­s that would act very much like the prescribed government regulation­s. The result? Perhaps an additional 20,000 would die because they did not take the care or effort to properly protect themselves and those in their communitie­s. This begs the question — is shutting down the economy and killing thousands of businesses to protect those 20,000 (most of whom seem to care less) and adding $400 billion to the national debt really worthwhile when the cost is $20 million per avoided incrementa­l death?

John P. A. Budreski, Vancouver

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