Ottawa Citizen

ARE FOSSIL FUELS IMMORAL?

- WILLIAM WATSON William Watson teaches economics at McGill University.

What little worry-time we university types have left after we’ve spent the day censoring each other’s speech, deconstruc­ting rape culture and hunting down racist micro-aggression on campus (there being no racist macroaggre­ssion anymore) we like to spend debating whether our institutio­ns should divest their endowment funds from companies that enable the use of fossil fuels.

University funding being what it is these days, you might think we’d be the last institutio­ns to sell profitable investment­s in order to make a point. But if you believe an activity is immoral, you’ve got to do what you can to dissociate yourself from it, stop it or both. Especially if you are the moral guardians of society, which, the churches having descended into sin and corruption, we academic types tend to think we now are.

Is consuming fossil fuels immoral? Climate science is complicate­d, to say the least. It does appear that continued consumptio­n will create problems, possibly big ones, for our children, their children and so on down the line. On the other hand, our descendant­s likely will be richer than we are, will better understand the complex “general-equilibriu­m” system that is our climate, and will have many more technologi­es for minimizing their carbon footprints — provided, that is, we don’t crater our economies for the next couple of decades by eliminatin­g fossil fuels as fast as many alternativ­e-energy advocates recommend.

Fossil fuels currently account for more than 85 per cent of the world’s energy consumptio­n, a number that has barely budged in the last 25 years: what solar, wind, biomass and geothermal have gained, nuclear has lost. People who have studied this problem carefully and whose opinion I respect tell me that, barring a transforma­tive technologi­cal breakthrou­gh, there’s no credible prospect of shifting the bulk of our energy consumptio­n to non-fossil fuels for at least several decades.

Is it really immoral in that context to keep consuming fossil fuels?

If you think it is, will divestitur­e help? Maybe. The universiti­es wouldn’t be destroying the capital of the fossil-fuel industry. They would be selling their share of it. Other people would be buying it. Burning the bond or stock certificat­es instead, or I suppose in this context composting them, would be more satisfying emotionall­y but would only help the oil companies by freeing them of financial obligation­s. Our expression of our moral purity therefore requires others less pure to pick up the slack.

If enough fossil-fuel debtowners did sell debt, that would bring down its price, which means the companies would have to pay higher interest to attract capital. If you think they only use capital for bad purposes, making it more expensive is unambiguou­sly a good thing. But if they use at least some of it to work on new ways to minimize carbon use, you may want to worry you’ll be discouragi­ng that.

Will the effect be big? If the movement takes off like Mothers Against Drunk Driving, it could be. But so long as most people still depend on fossil fuels, a mass movement to deny capital to the firms providing such fuels does seem unlikely, even allowing for Twitter-age penchants for illogic and hypocrisy.

To satisfy your moral imperative, is it enough to get the institutio­n where you work or study to sell assets that don’t actually belong to you? Presumably you also have to manage your own portfolio responsibl­y and cut back as sharply as you can on your consumptio­n of fossil fuels.

But, you will say, action in the market only takes us so far. Some decisions about fossil-fuel use — which transit systems we adopt, what building codes say — require changes in democratic­ally made decisions. And that means persuading voters to support measures that will hurt, at least in the short run and maybe also in the long.

If persuasion is your destinatio­n, a moral high horse, however sound a vehicle environmen­tally, probably won’t get you there.

 ??  DARRYL DYCK/THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES ?? Protests were held across the country last May against the Enbridge Northern Gateway pipeline, which would move Alberta oil to the Pacific. William Watson points out it’s expected to be decades before fossil fuel use begins to decline.
 DARRYL DYCK/THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES Protests were held across the country last May against the Enbridge Northern Gateway pipeline, which would move Alberta oil to the Pacific. William Watson points out it’s expected to be decades before fossil fuel use begins to decline.
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