OF COURSE TEAMS WANT KARLSSON
Trade talk involving senators’ captain will linger up to deadline, but don’t expect move
The talk surrounding Erik Karlsson’s future with the Ottawa Senators has reached a feverish pitch.
The Senators don’t want to trade their captain and franchise player, but word around the NHL is they’re listening to offers.
With the annual trade deadline falling at 3 p.m. ET Monday, general manager Pierre Dorion isn’t shopping the 27-year-old Karlsson, but teams have called because his contract is set to expire on July 1, 2019.
As has been reported, the expectation is any team wanting to acquire Karlsson must also commit to taking winger Bobby Ryan and his US$7.25-million on the salary cap through 202122. That’s a big commitment in addition to a package that would include high-end prospects and first-round draft picks.
Three league executives told Postmedia they doubted Karlsson would be moved before Monday’s deadline, but the fact the Senators are listening may be setting a tone for the off-season, when they are expected to see if their top player wants to sign a contract extension to remain in Ottawa, or not.
One executive noted the Senators may have a chance at a better deal in the off-season. For now, the market is limited.
“I suspect they wouldn’t get their ( best value right now). You’d have more teams vying for him in the summer,” a league executive said.
While Karlsson and winger Mark Stone were considered the only untouchables at this deadline, the Senators aren’t sure Karlsson will sign an extension after July 1, when talks can commence, nor do they know what his demands might be on an eight-year deal — but the guessing is somewhere in the range of $10 million to $12 million per season.
If the Senators can’t get Karlsson to buy into a plan to stay, they’ll have a good idea what teams are willing to offer if it gets to the point of talking trade in the summer. To compare, parts of the deal that sent defenceman Dion Phaneuf to the Los Angeles Kings last week were first put in place at the NHL draft in Chicago last June.
The Senators’ first priority is to keep Karlsson. They want him to be part of the solution, but both sides have to agree.
The team must be willing to ante up to his salary demands. Karlsson would have to be willing to sign on for a re-tool, a crucial step on the path back to respectability.
If you want a list of the teams interested in Karlsson, just write down the other 30 franchises in the NHL. Every club wants Karlsson.
Yet the one everybody has circled is Thursday’s opponent, the Tampa Bay Lightning, because it’s believed they’ve expressed interest several times.
The Lightning are already considered a Stanley Cup contender. Can you imagine what would happen if they added Karlsson? The thinking is, if anybody is going to pay the price the Senators are asking, they’ll want Karlsson for two playoff runs. That makes sense.
Can anybody really take on Ryan’s contract as well, though? The answer to that is no because they can’t clear the cap space, and anybody with the assets to pay the price for Karlsson can’t add that kind of cash.
Dorion has stated several times the club’s priority is to keep Karlsson, but there’s still a lot of uncertainty.
The thinking is Karlsson likes being in Ottawa, but maybe not with a team that will undergo changes and may take a step back competitively in the short term.
Karlsson is under the microscope. Last season, he helped lead the Senators through the post-season with a dynamic performance. This season, he had five goals and 36 assists in 53 games going into Wednesday’s contest against the Chicago Blackhawks.
His average ice time is 26:19 per game and the Senators have had a bad season so, of course his plus-minus rating would take a hit, and it has, sitting at minus-27 before Wednesday’s game.
Don’t blame the Senators for listening, but there’s no sense of urgency to make a deal involving Karlsson.
That won’t stop the speculation, though, since every team is open for business.
I suspect they wouldn’t get their (best value right now). You’d have more teams vying for him in the summer.