Regina Leader-Post

Federal support would help Sask. hit net-zero by '35

Stop squabbling and focus on the future, Lynn Oliphant says.

- Lynn Oliphant is a professor emeritus at the University of Saskatchew­an and is writing on behalf of the Saskatchew­an Coalition of Sustainabl­e Developmen­t.

The 2023 federal budget allocates $80 billion in support of clean electricit­y and green infrastruc­ture designed to clean up Canada's electricit­y grid by promoting zero and low-emissions technologi­es.

Premier Scott Moe's recent statements about the cost and practicali­ty of transition­ing electricit­y supply in Saskatchew­an to net-zero emissions by 2035 demonstrat­e either a lack of understand­ing of this opportunit­y or a politicall­y calculated rejection of a federal initiative regardless of the benefits to Saskatchew­an.

So, what are the implicatio­ns of this funding announceme­nt for Saskatchew­an?

Federal financing for clean energy will be administer­ed by the Canada Infrastruc­ture Bank and the Canada Growth Fund along with investment tax credits. Canada's current electricit­y system consists of a mix of public and privately held utilities operating within largely isolated grids under provincial jurisdicti­on.

While 80 per cent of Canada's population is served by near-zero emissions through hydropower, neither Alberta nor Saskatchew­an have internal access to large-scale hydropower, which can support intermitte­nt renewables like wind and solar.

In Saskatchew­an, 80 per cent of our electricit­y comes from burning coal and natural gas.

In keeping with the recommenda­tions of the Internatio­nal Energy Agency and the Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change, Canada has committed to transition­ing its electricit­y supply sector to net-zero emissions by 2035.

Many major economies such as the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom have also committed to net-zero electricit­y by 2035. Achieving this goal in Canada requires shifting electricit­y supply to zero-emissions alternativ­es within a 12-year time frame.

Prior to the release of the 2023 federal budget, the government of Saskatchew­an was justified in expressing concerns as to the practicali­ty and the financial burden of this net-zero transforma­tion.

The new federal budget will fund the constructi­on of interprovi­ncial east-west electricit­y transmissi­on corridors along with modernizin­g electricit­y grids and the replacemen­t of existing unabated fossil fuel power. Publicly owned utilities such as Saskpower are eligible to apply for such projects.

Grid modernizat­ion and expansion of long-distance transmissi­ons corridors means Saskatchew­an would no longer be isolated from the large-scale, low-cost hydro generated in B.C. and Manitoba, thereby unlocking the immense potential for renewables in Saskatchew­an.

With access to distant hydro to support renewables, Saskatchew­an can provide lowcost, clean and reliable electricit­y to consumers and industry.

Contrary to Premier Moe's statements that unabated natural gas power plants (without carbon capture and storage) could not operate after 2034, under the upcoming federal Clean Electricit­y Regulation­s they can continue to operate as needed to meet peak demand and provide backup power, although it will be cost-prohibitiv­e to provide major baseload power to the grid.

Canada's Energy Regulator has modelled provincial energy mixes under a set of least-cost pathways to achieve net-zero electricit­y by 2035.

By 2030, the regulator's model predicts that Saskatchew­an could have six gigawatts of windfarm capacity installed, cutting emissions by 87 per cent, and enabling the complete transition to zero-emissions electricit­y by 2035.

This projected expansion of renewables in Saskatchew­an exceeds the current total installed capacity for power generation in Saskatchew­an.

Under this scenario, the intermitte­nt electricit­y from renewables would be supported by the hydro capacity in B.C. and Manitoba, acting as a battery to accommodat­e periods when the sun doesn't shine or the wind doesn't blow.

The economic benefits to Saskatchew­an of the federal clean electricit­y funding announceme­nt are obvious. The time has come to end provincial-federal squabbling over carbon pricing, stranded assets, jurisdicti­onal rights and timing of transition.

Instead, the provincial government, Saskpower and the private sector should act in the best interest of consumers, industry and the planet by partnering with the federal government, neighbouri­ng provinces and other stakeholde­rs to build the clean electricit­y supply sector that will power the economy of tomorrow.

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