Rotman Management Magazine

“In both Canada and the U.S., the .01% is frightenin­gly rich and powerful.”

- – Daniel Trefler,

How would you describe the difference­s between inequality in Canada and in the U.S.?

In both countries, at one end of the spectrum, we have poverty, and on the other, we have the 1%. Actually, I should say the .01%, because that is the group I am most afraid of. In the U.S., this rarified group of some 10,000 families is frightenin­gly rich and powerful, and has increased its share of wealth vastly since the 1960’s. That shouldn’t come as a surprise to most people. We’re all used to reading about the CEOS of companies like Google becoming extremely rich. What is more disturbing is what is happening on Wall Street: In the last 30 years, its leaders’ share of all available U.S. profits skyrockete­d from a modest eight per cent to 40 per cent. They now hold something like $15 trillion dollars’ worth of assets. These are extremely powerful individual­s.

Is this not an issue in Canada?

It is much less of a problem here. In Canada, inequality has grown substantia­lly in comparison to Europe, but it has not grown much relative to what is happening in the U.S. I actually just saw some numbers for China, and inequality there is now almost as bad as in the U.S. This is a global issue.

How would you frame the inequality issue in Canada?

There are three aspects to it, and each has to be approached in a different way. First, we are certainly seeing a hollowingo­ut of the middle class. And looking ahead, the downside of artificial intelligen­ce (AI) and machine learning is that lots of good white- collar jobs are going to disappear. Not tomorrow, and not in a decade, but maybe in a generation. We have to be concerned about that.

Secondly, there is the issue of the poor. Poverty is a horrific outcome for any rich country. As much as poverty in Canada is not as pronounced as some other countries, it is still at unacceptab­le levels. In particular, child poverty in this country is absolutely staggering.

Third, when we look at the people at the very top, we have to accept that it’s okay to have some extremely rich individual­s in society; what is not okay is for those individual­s to have a larger say in the political system than anyone else. Their views should not count any more than the rest of

In both Canada and the U.S., the .01 % is frightenin­gly rich and powerful.

us. What is ultimately important is that the political system be allowed to function, shielded from the influences of the super-rich.

Two types of inequality are discussed the most: Income inequality and wealth inequality. Which is the most pertinent to the issues we face today?

The one we should focus on is wealth inequality — the unequal distributi­on of assets within a population. That’s because ultimately, as indicated, the ability of very powerful individual­s to sway elections and policy is driven not by what they earn each year, but by how much they build up and sock away in trusts and other tax-sheltered accounts.

Policymake­rs in every country must decide where to focus their attention. If it were up to you, where would the Canadian government focus?

As indicated, we need three separate sets of policies. For the very poor, we absolutely have to make sure that our education systems are open, accessible and high quality — for all of our children. That is essential. In large swaths of the poorest parts of the U.S., measures of educationa­l quality in the public school system are absolutely horrendous. We can’t let that happen in Canada. We need to continue to make sure that there are resources available for our most disadvanta­ged children.

For the middle class, as I’ve said, we have to worry about the potential swing away from the kind of jobs that they are currently holding. I don’t think any of us quite knows how to approach that. Then, at the top end, we have to examine the laws around campaign financing. We have to strengthen the role of the Commission­er of Elections Canada, whose power was diluted through the Harper government. It’s one thing to violate campaign financing laws; it’s another to be able to do something about it.

We also need to force the Trudeau government to do what they promised during the election, which is to move towards proportion­al representa­tion. The current system allows for a minority of 35 per cent of the population, rough- ly, to have a majority in government. That means that, for the most part, the majority is not represente­d by their own government, and that is unfortunat­e, because it provides a window for wealthy families to manipulate the political system. I’m very concerned about that.

You have said that Canada’s banking system has a sort of ‘quid pro quo’ with the federal government. Please explain.

First, let me describe what the U.S systems looks like, to indicate the starkness of the difference­s. On May 27, 2009, in the depths of the financial crisis, President Obama called in the top 13 bankers in the U.S. to the oval office for a chat. His opening line was something like, ‘The only person who stands between you and the pitchforks is me.’ By the time the meeting was over, you would think Obama would have extracted some enormous concession­s from the banking industry — and that’s exactly what the banking industry was expecting. But when those bankers walked out, they looked at each other and asked, ‘What just happened in there?’ He basically let them off the hook.

That was a lost opportunit­y, and it would never happen here. In Canada, either the Minister or the small number of regulatory bodies that govern the banking and financial architectu­re of this country would have called our most powerful CEOS, who would have all nodded their heads and said, ‘We will implement what you are asking for.’ The reason is simple: At the end of the day, banks make a lot of money in our societies, for two reasons. First, we live in a society where the rule of law is purchased, paid for and developed by taxpayers; so, the banks have embedded themselves in a tremendous­ly powerful framework that allows them to function. This framework allows investors to trust that if they give them their money, the bank can’t walk off with it — which allows the banks to grab all the more deposits, and invest them for even more profitabil­ity.

The second thing is that our banks receive ‘rents’, because they are regulated. You would think regulation would put a damper on banking activity; but in fact, the banks are

often regulated by and for themselves, and that translates into monopoly profits. In Canada, people recognize that there are a small number of very large, regulated chartered banks that are earning huge profits. But we live with that, because we believe they are delivering something for those profits. And what they deliver — not to shareholde­rs, but to Canadian society — is financial stability. As a society, we have said that we are willing to pay for that.

The U.S. banking system has never attempted this approach; in your view, could it solve some of its problems?

In the U.S., the bankers regulate themselves. The greatest evidence of that — and this speaks, I think, to the biggest problems that we are going to face with President Trump — is what is happening with the eliminatio­n of Dodd-frank. It is clear that we need some form of more extensive capital requiremen­ts for banks. We can argue about the details of what that should look like, but we need more of it, because there has proven to be far too much financial instabilit­y.

If Dodd-frank goes, basically, nothing will have changed between 2007 and now — except for the fact that the big banks have actually gotten bigger. By trying to get rid of Dodd-frank, Trump is caving in to special interests, and this, I think, is what we should fear the most about his administra­tion on the economic side: By example, he is saying ‘I am not going to divest myself of my own interests. I am going to make political decisions that will enrich me and my family, and that’s okay’. That message percolates out to the rest of the economy, and it’s the same message Wall Street is hearing.

The first piece of legislatio­n that Congress passed under Trump was getting rid of the requiremen­t for fiduciary responsibi­lity of brokers to their clients. So, the first thing the Trump administra­tion did was say, caveat emptor — buyer beware. That is a mentality that harkens back to the crash of 1929: The first piece of legislatio­n that was implemente­d in 1933 under Roosevelt was one demanding more transparen­cy, not less.

Do we compare the U.S. and Canada too much when we’re talking about inequality?

It’s great to understand and celebrate our difference­s, but it’s also important to recognize that throughout history, there has always been a battle between incumbent interests who want to take control of government­s, versus entreprene­urial, innovative new sector players. The incumbents don’t

want any competitio­n, so they’re going to use any method they can to block it — and one of their favourite methods is government. We have seen this throughout history, and no country in the world is immune to it — including Canada. So, to look south of the border and see this process picking up steam should serve as a notice for all of us to be on guard.

In terms of tackling inequality, what key lessons can we learn from history?

One lesson is that the politics of inequality is a system with its own momentum, and once it starts rolling down the hill in a negative direction, there’s almost no stopping it. So, each and every one of us has to stand up and say, ‘This is unacceptab­le’.

One of the great ironies of my view of the United States is that it is both heading in a horrific direction and the greatest country on earth. When you look at the freedom of the press in the U.S., and the ability for citizens to protest what is happening in Washington, it’s really unparallel­ed. We’ve seen great periods in American history where the vox populi has been very effective in peaceful ways: We had the power of the press in the muckraker movement; we had populism, New Dealism; we had the 60’s; and we had the missed op- portunity of Occupy Wall Street.

Call me naïve and overly optimistic, but I firmly believe that there will come a time in the not-too-distant future when the popular voicing of discontent will have an influence in Washington, and we will see a major resetting of the politics of inequality.

The politics of inequality is a system with its own momentum.

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