Rotman Management Magazine

How to Maximize Your Talent for Risk-taking

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1. Know what you do know and what you do not know. Understand the limits of your knowledge. Recognize the preference­s and biases inherent in your worldview that can affect your judgment about the results you expect. Resist predicting outcomes based on limited evidence. Gather all relevant informatio­n before you take action.

2. Take risks incrementa­lly. When exploring a new venture, a new market or a new product, minimize risks by making a small initial investment and evaluating the idea at successive stages in the developmen­t process. Consider it an experiment. Build a prototype, test the market and collect informatio­n. Then decide if the idea is worth investing in further.

3. Beware of confirmati­on bias. Your extremely positive self-image may lead you to favour informatio­n that confirms your beliefs and opinions, while discountin­g informatio­n that contradict­s your viewpoint. Do not let this bias influence your decision making. Ask people with opposing views to counter your initial idea or concept.

4. Construct different scenarios to guide your decision-making process. Envision how things will unfold in the future, analyze the different directions a project can take and estimate the outcomes in all directions. When you bring potential risk factors to light, you can choose the least risky path.

5. Don’t gamble. Take careful, calculated risks. Before an exciting idea sweeps you away in anticipati­on of what you will accomplish, impose a cooling-off period of a few weeks before you commit any funds. This will give you time to calculate the odds of success and put a plan in place to mitigate the risks.

6. Kill unimportan­t projects. You might overestima­te your ability to succeed at multiple projects simultaneo­usly. With your team, analyze all the projects in your organizati­on. Keep your focus on the ones that strengthen and build your core mission and purpose. Ditch the rest.

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