PEI’s Liberal loss
Prince Edward Island’s recent election was more than the electorate throwing out a government that had worn out its welcome after three terms. Anti-Trudeau sentiment is reportedly strong on the Island, and it is noteworthy that Justin wasn’t campaigning there, given his propensity to jetset here, there and everywhere else. Did Island Liberals deem him a liability?
The federal election is a mere six months away and, given the PM’s unpopularity in this Maritime province, a transfer of provincial voting patterns to the federal level is a distinct possibility. Look for Conservatives to do well where Progressive Conservatives won provincially. Ditto for federal Greens, who are poised to do well in the same areas as their provincial counterparts.
Days of three-to-one wins or four-seat federal Liberal sweeps may be at an end, at least temporarily. Cardigan and Malpeque are very much in play for Andrew Scheer’s Tories, and look for a strong Green challenge in Charlottetown and perhaps Egmont. Four seats in the overall federal context may not seem like much. But if Trudeau can lose in Prince Edward Island, he can lose anywhere.
—Kris Larsen, Halifax