PEI’s Lib­eral loss

The Coast - - THIS WEEK -

Prince Ed­ward Is­land’s re­cent elec­tion was more than the elec­torate throw­ing out a govern­ment that had worn out its wel­come af­ter three terms. Anti-Trudeau sen­ti­ment is re­port­edly strong on the Is­land, and it is note­wor­thy that Justin wasn’t cam­paign­ing there, given his propen­sity to jet­set here, there and ev­ery­where else. Did Is­land Lib­er­als deem him a li­a­bil­ity?

The federal elec­tion is a mere six months away and, given the PM’s un­pop­u­lar­ity in this Mar­itime province, a trans­fer of pro­vin­cial vot­ing pat­terns to the federal level is a dis­tinct possibilit­y. Look for Con­ser­va­tives to do well where Pro­gres­sive Con­ser­va­tives won provin­cially. Ditto for federal Greens, who are poised to do well in the same ar­eas as their pro­vin­cial coun­ter­parts.

Days of three-to-one wins or four-seat federal Lib­eral sweeps may be at an end, at least tem­po­rar­ily. Cardi­gan and Malpeque are very much in play for Andrew Scheer’s Tories, and look for a strong Green chal­lenge in Char­lot­te­town and per­haps Eg­mont. Four seats in the over­all federal con­text may not seem like much. But if Trudeau can lose in Prince Ed­ward Is­land, he can lose any­where.

—Kris Larsen, Hal­i­fax

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