The Hamilton Spectator

Global economy losing steam, IMF chief Christine Lagarde warns

Recovery remains ‘too slow, too fragile,’ but it’s not a crisis

- DAVID MCHUGH

FRANKFURT — The head of the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund is warning that the global economy is losing momentum and urging government­s to take action to preserve the recovery.

Christine Lagarde said in a speech Tuesday in Frankfurt, Germany, that “the recovery remains too slow, too fragile.”

She said that the global economy isn’t in a crisis — and that’s good news. She said, however, that slow growth risks becoming ingrained as a “new mediocre.”

Advanced economies still face a hangover from the global financial crisis of 2007-2009 in terms of too much debt, low investment, and, for some, high unemployme­nt. A stronger dollar has weighed on growth in the United States, while China’s economy has slowed.

She said the global outlook for the next six months has weakened, suggesting the IMF may be revising its forecasts. The speech sets the stage for the IMF and World Bank meetings in Washington later this month.

In January, the IMF forecast global growth of 3.4 per cent this year, increasing to 3.6 per cent in 2017.

Lagarde urged government­s to take pro-growth reforms and to increase spending on public infrastruc­ture.

Mediocre growth that doesn’t help ordinary people much risks political backlash that “has consequenc­es for the social and political f abric in many countries,” she said.

She warned against turning to protection­ism — favouring domestic producers in competitio­n with foreign firms — as a response. “The answer to the reality of our interconne­cted worth is not fragmentat­ion, it is co-operation.”

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